Cosmonaut
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Posts posted by Cosmonaut
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Robocop ran away from Viy and Wolf on Feb. 13
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It seems like Viy* may get majority of IMAX shows, despite it being non-IMAX movie, lol, IMAX and it's true colors, never gets old, 1 show per day for Gravity and Frank.
Yep, they are showing non-IMAX Viy* in IMAX nationwide, lol, it's that easy.
Frozen still in the top 10 and showing some relatively strong late legs. That's great for a market like Russia!
It is amazing, Frozen is the second Avatar, here, DOM and WW.
Sonic, change the title already
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IMAX 3D then, they wanna get as much money as they can easiest way possible, meh.
It's gonna have only one full screen IMAX week in Russia, because of the First Avenger on its second week taking majority of shows, kinda stupid, since before there is only "300" in IMAX for 3 weeks, they should move release date to at least March 22 here.
$20m+ in Russia, if RUB will stay below 35.
~300m OS
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My "At Least" Forecast #14 for total gross, February 6:
Name; Copies; Total gross $;
The Wolf of Wall Street; ~1500; 12mBelka and Strelka*; ~1000; 6mIn sports only girls*; ~1500; 4mThat Awkward Moment; ~400; 1,2mThe Physician; ~700; 0,8m*Local.
**There is also a bunch of other movies, but their results not worth mentioning at all(less than 0.5m).
Openers Tuesday(ekinobilet):
1) Viy* - $1,25m+
2) Devil's Due - $92k+
3) August - $47k+
$188k+ for I, Frankenstein, $110k+ for Champions*.
1 USD = 35,23 RUB
*Local
At my favourite local theater Wolf got 2 shows on biggest screen in town(22,4m wide) + plus 2 shows in single screen(~20m wide) theater, that's big, and overall Wolf should have almost at much shows as Viy* on its 2nd weekend.
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Actual$, weekend 30.01-02.02:
1) Viy* - 17 290 005
2) I, Frankenstein - 2 028 622 (10 020 976)
3) Champions* - 1 287 209 (4 510 641)
4) Hercules - 918 517 (4 132 582)
5) Devil's Due - 867 771
6) Bad Grandpa - 823 194 (3 632 142)
7) August - 418 811
8) Saving Mister Banks - 219 033 (719 408)
9) Walter Mitty - 202 254 (11 362 873)
10) Frozen - 192 255 (33 194 405)
(-)
12) Gravity - 96 646 (21 595 178)
http://kinobusiness.com/kassa/2013/top50.php
Openers Monday(ekinobilet):
1) Viy* - $1,4m+
2) Devil's Due - $110k+
3) August - $47k+
$205k+ for I, Frankenstein, $105k+ for Champions*.
1 USD = 35,18 RUB
*Local
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Early trends for the next weekend:
It seems like Viy* may get majority of IMAX shows, despite it being non-IMAX movie, lol, IMAX and it's true colors, never gets old, 1 show per day for Gravity and Frank.
Wolf has got 4 full screens in some theaters, but only 4 shows per day on each one due to 3 hr runtime, definetely can see $1m OD though, and oldest predictions are still valid, actually even more than back then, piracy gives a positive effect.
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Openers Sunday(ekinobilet):
1) Viy* - $5,7m+
2) Devil's Due - $280k+
3) August - $150k+
$730k+ for I, Frankenstein, $530k+ for Champions*.
1 USD = 35,18 RUB
*Local
Rentrak est. for Viy* OW - $17,7m.
Actual might be over
or under...
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Rentrak est. for Viy* OW - $17,7m.
Actual might be over $18m, very good result considering such a low ex. rate.
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Openers Friday(ekinobilet):
1) Viy* - $3,3m+
2) Devil's Due - $150k+
3) August - $65k+
$350k+ for I, Frankenstein, $215k+ for Champions*.
1 USD = 35.245(!) RUB
Openers Saturday(ekinobilet):
1) Viy* - $6,4m+
2) Devil's Due - $295k+
3) August - $140k+
$770k+ for I, Frankenstein, $530k+ for Champions*.
1 USD = 35,18 RUB
*Local
Shouldn't be over with this one. Graviy will earn ~$100k this weekend, Frozen - ~$150k.
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Openers Wednesday(ekinobilet):
1) I, Frankenstein - $540k+
2) Champions* - $235k+
3) The Legend of Hercules - $232k+
4) Bad Grandpa - $230k+
5) Saving Mr. Banks - $43k+
6) Inside Llewyn Davis - $26k+
$47k+ for Grudge Match, $45k+ for JR: SR.
1 USD = 34,625 RUB
Openers Thursday(ekinobilet):
1) Viy* - $2,9m+
2) Devil's Due - $130k+
3) August - $35k+
$275k+ for I, Frankenstein, $145k+ for Champions*.
1 USD = 34,56 RUB
*Local
Hobbit 3 is probably the only one which could reach $50m
No.
^ TF will do it imo
No.
With ~40 RUB for USD nobody is likely to reach even $45m, but looking at the calendar and history, i'd say HTTYD 2 has the best shot, the only missing thing to be completely secure about it is an IMAX...
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My "At Least" Forecast #13 for total gross, January 30:
Name; Copies; Total gross $;
Viy*; ~1000(theaters); 25mDevil's Due; ~850; 1,5mAugust: Osage County; ~200; 0,5m*Local.
**There is also a bunch of other movies, but their results not worth mentioning at all(less than 0.5m).
Openers Tuesday(ekinobilet):
1) I, Frankenstein - $560k+
2) Bad Grandpa - $248k+
3) Champions* - $240k+
4) The Legend of Hercules - $237k+
5) Saving Mr. Banks - $44k+
6) Inside Llewyn Davis - $27k+
$47k+ for Grudge Match, $42k+ for JR: SR.
1 USD = 34,71(!) RUB
*Local
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Actual$, weekend 23.01-26.01:
1) I,Frankenstein - 6 336 631
2) Champions - 2 576 574
3) Hercules - 2 511 381
4) Bad Grandpa - 2 114 679
5) Jack Ryan - 495 450(3 412 717)
6) Grudge Match - 470 986(2 630 896)
7) Walter Mitty - 428 369(11 036 508)
8) Saving Mister Banks - 371 760
9) Frozen - 364 736(32 938 784)
10) 47 ronin - 350 461(26 077 653)
(-)
13) Inside Llewyn Davis - 224 035
http://kinobusiness.com/kassa/2013/top50.php
Wow,boring in this moment
Viy* is headed to $25m+, Champions still might gross $8m.
Considering exchange rates^, from now on, it'll "boring" all the time, no movie over $50m this year is likely.
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Openers Sunday(ekinobilet):
1) I, Frankenstein - $1,9m+
2) Champions* - $860k+
3) The Legend of Hercules - $800k+
4) Bad Grandpa - $680k+
5) Saving Mr. Banks - $110k+
6) Inside Llewyn Davis - $70k+
$150k+ for Grudge Match, $145k+ for Frozen, $130k+ for JR: SR.
1 USD = 34,26(!) RUB
Openers Monday(ekinobilet):
1) I, Frankenstein - $560k+
2) Bad Grandpa - $240k+
3) The Legend of Hercules - $230k+
4) Champions* - $220k+
5) Saving Mr. Banks - $40k+
6) Inside Llewyn Davis - $25k+
$42k+ for Grudge Match, $40k+ for JR: SR.
1 USD = 34,26(!) RUB
*Local
Ex. Rate for 28.01 - 34,71, for 29.01 - 34,625, situation is serious, some experts say it may hit historic maximum, 36,5, this spring, and be over 40 by the end of the year, and that's a conservative view, i hope it doesn't come to that, but $40m- for third Hobbit might be real.
BTW, Viy got 35%+ of all showings next week, 5 full screens in some multiplexes, and Gravity is back in IMAX for 2 showings a day(no hope for $22m cume, though).
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Frozen legs have been out of this world.
Actually, Saturday might be over $150k, but i'm not sure, don't want to overestimate.
How long will it continue to play in Russia? Weekend drop seems small.
1 more week(~$200k), then there is big local animated movie coming out, there is animation next week too, Ritter Rost — Eisenhart & voll verbeult, but i don't think it's worth mentioning.
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Openers Saturday(ekinobilet):
1) I, Frankenstein - $2,1m+
2) Champions* - $860k+
3) The Legend of Hercules - $800k+
4) Bad Grandpa - $745k+
5) Saving Mr. Banks - $110k+
6) Inside Llewyn Davis - $70k+
$150k+ for Grudge Match, $140k+ for JR: SR, $130k+ for Frozen.
1 USD = 34,26(!) RUB
*Local
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Openers Friday(ekinobilet):
1) I, Frankenstein - $1,1m+
2) Bad Grandpa - $400k+
3) The Legend of Hercules - $385k+
4) Champions* - $384k+
5) Saving Mr. Banks - $50k+
6) Inside Llewyn Davis - $40k+
$95k+ for JR: SR, $80k+ for Grudge Match, $15k+ for Frozen.
1 USD = 34,03(!) RUB
*Local
Since ekinobilet is suddenly so off, i add on ~60% to their numbers(~140% for "ILD"
, i guess ekinobilet doesn't track most of it ~200 screens, same with Frozen and most of the holdovers, it seems), instead of the usual ~40%, i hope i'm not over -
Is Frozen done?
Pretty much, $8k+ Thursday, there is a chance of ~$150k weekend though, thx to huge increases on Sat and Sun, we'll see.
Frozen already did amazing job, survived through all the competitors.
Thursday
1. I, Frankenstein 1,022,423
Sadly, $12m+ for I, Frankenstein is now locked
Hope for huuuuuge drops 
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I guess piracy(even hi-def Blu-ray one) really doesn't mean a thing when it comes to BO, looking at the Grandpa result here, and, of cource, DM2 gross in China, no worry for "Wolf"(#1 on torrents for more than 2 weeks already) and other leaked movies then.
Btw, Viy* has got more shows than Hobbit on OW at my local theater, ~$15m OW is quite likely.., especially since Champions are doing so bad.
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Openers Wednesday(ekinobilet):
1) Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit - $178k+
2) Grudge Match- $156k+
3) The Book Thief - $59k+
4) Best Night Ever - $31,5k+
5) The Colony - $24k+
6) All Is Lost - $11k+
$136k+ for 47 Ronin, $104k+ for The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, $94k+ for PA:TMA, $48k+ for Hobbit:DOS, $28k+ for Frozen.
1 USD = 33,82(!) RUB
Openers Thursday(ekinobilet):
1) I, Frankenstein - $850k+
2) Bad Grandpa - $275k+
3) The Legend of Hercules - $272k+
4) Champions* - $266k+
5) Saving Mr. Banks - $27k+
6) Inside Llewyn Davis - $17k+
$51k+ for JR: SR, $49k+ for Grudge Match.
1 USD = 33,87(!) RUB
*Local
Very strong start for Frankenstein and Grandpa.
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My "At Least" Forecast #12 for total gross, January 23:
Name; Copies; Total gross $;
Champions*; ~1100; 10mI, Frankenstein; ~1700; 7mThe Legend of Hercules; ~1000; 3,5mBad Grandpa; ~500; 1,6mSaving Mr. Banks; ~330; 1mInside Llewyn Davis; ~200; 0,5m*Local.
**There is also a bunch of other movies, but their results not worth mentioning at all(less than 0.5m).
Openers Tuesday(ekinobilet):
1) Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit - $176k+
2) Grudge Match- $155k+
3) The Book Thief - $56k+
4) Best Night Ever - $29k+
5) The Colony - $22k+
6) All Is Lost - $11k+
$131k+ for 47 Ronin, $95k+ for PA:TMA, $93k+ for The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, $42k+ for Hobbit:DOS, $24k+ for Frozen.
1 USD = 33,64(!) RUB
Another hard-to-predict weekend, so i'm quite conservative after last one.
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Openers Monday(ekinobilet):
1) Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit - $182k+
2) Grudge Match- $152k+
3) The Book Thief - $49k+
4) Best Night Ever - $31k+
5) The Colony - $20k+
6) All Is Lost - $8,5k+
$125k+ for 47 Ronin, $99k+ for PA:TMA, $86k+ for The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, $42k+ for Hobbit:DOS, $24k+ for Frozen.
1 USD = 33,43 RUB (33,82 for 22.01, this is nuts)
Land of the Bears; ~300; 0,5m+
Should have passed $0,5m by now, not so bad for documentary.
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Jack Ryan already passed 2.1m with some theaters still to report.
Why, why, why it's so undertracked by ekinobilet? It's an IMAX movie, but even +40% from the original number is still very far away from rentrak, while for some movies +35% is already over actuals, they should cover more than 70% on first day now.
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Openers Sunday(ekinobilet):
1) Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit - $568k+
2) Grudge Match- $448k+
3) The Book Thief - $167k+
4) Best Night Ever - $68k+
5) The Colony - $53,5k+
6) All Is Lost - $26k+
$420k+ for 47 Ronin, $292k+ for The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, $254k+ for PA:TMA, $258k+ for Frozen(!!!), $166k+ for Hobbit:DOS.
1 USD = 33,43(!) RUB
Ex. Rate for 21.01 - 1 USD = 33,64(!?) RUB, this is the end
Frozen is showing some astonishing results.
JR only had $2m OW ...
Must be less than $1,9m, actually.
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What is the best big movie? 300? Lego?
You mean the next big movie? Local ones:
situation will improve next weekend with Champions* or weekend after that with Viy*.
Looking like at least $15m+ for the first and $25m+ for the second.
From foreign movies, Robocop(Feb. 13) has a shot at $15m+, as well is Pompeii 3D(Feb. 20), but i doubt it.
First foreign movie with $15m+ locked should be 300, higher quality compare to previous two(probably), good date, and 3 weeks of IMAX.
Gravity | Re-released on 2D and 3D January 17 | IMAX 3D on January 31! | 100M+ WW IMAX
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Another mediocre BD release from WB, 16 fucking GB(movie and original audio), clap-clap.