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a2k

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Everything posted by a2k

  1. IGN - 0, Human Brain - 1 That's a 4.5x multi by the way. So really IGN - 0, Human Brain - 2
  2. F2 is looking at 3.65x multi which is great for it's ow. Dory did 3.6x, TS4 3.58x and TS3 3.77x. (Personally felt the movie sucked and feel 1.45b ww is astonishing for it's quality,)
  3. Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D 1 N Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $23,500,000 3,775 $6,225 $23,500,000 1 2 N Dolittle Universal $6,300,000 4,155 $1,516 $6,300,000 1 3 (1) 1917 Universal $6,200,000 +103% -56% 3,612 $1,717 $60,816,984 24 4 (5) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $2,175,000 +199% -35% 3,323 $655 $263,087,975 36 5 (3) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $1,978,000 +84% -49% 3,058 $647 $485,623,801 29 6 (6) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $1,650,000 +145% -55% 2,457 $672 $15,262,643 24 7 (4) Little Women Sony Pictures $1,630,000 +65% -25% 2,503 $651 $80,121,052 24 8 (7) Like a Boss Paramount Pi… $1,210,000 +120% -69% 3,081 $393 $14,293,588 8 9 (8) Knives Out Lionsgate $1,150,000 +145% -30% 1,667 $690 $142,827,387 52 - (9) Underwater 20th Century… $954,000 +123% -62% 2,791 $342 $10,174,707 8 - (10) Frozen II Walt Disney $774,000 +136% -37% 2,080 $372 $461,925,690 57 - (12) Spies in Disguise 20th Century… $503,000 +156% -51% 1,761 $286 $56,329,867 24 - (-) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $379,000 +822% +586% 1,005 $377 $22,508,072 92 - (-) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $287,000 +222% +30% 1,080 $266 $112,097,388 64 - (13) The Grudge Sony Pictures $265,000 +39% -75% 977 $271 $19,397,641 15 - (15) Bombshell Lionsgate $178,000 +12% -59% 410 $434 $28,842,908 36 - (-) Once Upon a Time…in Holly… Sony Pictures $85,000 +1,916% +732% 705 $121 $141,243,021 176 - (-) A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $80,000 +24% -47% 365 $219 $60,283,849 57 - (-) Chhapaak FIP $32,000 +109% -64% 100 $320 $462,994 8 - (-) Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Walt Disney $15,000 +183% -14% 105 $143 $113,693,295 92 - (-) A Hidden Life Fox Searchlight $13,000 -34% -47% 55 $236 $1,581,268 36
  4. Tough for Mercy to get past 35 dom imo. Won't match Harriet and QnS. Mercy had bigger names and even louder marketing I guess. Both Harriet and QnS show that female made and female led films are very much in demand.
  5. +60% on Fri. Last FSS holds were +58% +50% -28% Using +60%, +55%, -23% gives 1.6 + 2.5 + 1.9 = 6 (-23%) 5.5 at least looks locked with ~1.6 Friday.
  6. 2.2 for JUM2 is a very good Fri. May not get the 10m FSS Deadline is predicting but 9m seems feasible. Fair hold for TROS too but 510+ at most imo after 8m 3-day. LW lost many theaters but should still make it to 100. FRZ2 not showing strong holds but 475-480 is huge.
  7. Bad Boys trailer had an FF vibe. Even have a shout out to Family. The franchise could have longevity if they play their cards well and it does very well OS. Bad Boys in space before FF in space.
  8. - (4) Little Women Sony Pictures $985,000 -5% -29% 3,216 $306 $78,487,696 23 - (5) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $720,000 -13% -42% 3,904 $184 $260,905,634 35 Very good for LW and good for JUM2. 5.25+ and 8.25+ over FSS for them imo.
  9. even if it doens't make it to 20-22 od, i have used 0% bump on sat from true fri which is unlikely. so 45-50 4-day is very conservative.
  10. going very conservative, 6.4 + 12 + 12 (+0%) + 8.5 (-29%) + 6.1 (-28%) = 45 so even by GP standards being cautious about 50+ makes more sense than 40+ over the 4-day weekend.
  11. Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures 3,323 3,904 -581 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Walt Disney 3,058 4,279 -1,226 Little Women Sony Pictures 2,503 3,216 -713 Frozen II Walt Disney 2,080 2,655 -575
  12. JUM2 guess (0.825 Wed; 260.18 cume) Thu 0.68 (-18%); 260.86 // looks steep but theater loss + Dolittle previews +175%, +95%, -28%, -24% 1.87+3.65+2.63+2.0 = 10.6 (8.6 FSS); 271.5 cume
  13. Wed # Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D - (4) Little Women Sony Pictures $1,040,000 -28% -28% 3,216 $323 $77,501,759 22 - (3) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $825,000 -43% -40% 3,904 $211 $260,180,353 34 - (5) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $770,000 -43% +9,084% 2,375 $324 $12,941,803 22 - (-) The Grudge Sony Pictures $285,000 -35% -54% 2,642 $108 $18,940,641 13 - (-) A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $65,000 -23% -55% 519 $125 $60,138,158 55
  14. Very strong Wed hold after 102% Tue bump. Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D - (5) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $770,000 -43% +9,084% 2,375 $324 $12,941,803 22 Selma Thu-Mon was Jan 15, 2015 2 $1,115,563 +12% +1,941% 2,179 $512 $17,664,030 22 Jan 16, 2015 5 $2,364,281 +112% -37% 2,235 $1,058 $20,028,311 23 Jan 17, 2015 5 $3,695,777 +56% -21% 2,235 $1,654 $23,724,088 24 Jan 18, 2015 5 $2,719,237 -26% -4% 2,235 $1,217 $26,443,325 25 Jan 19, 2015 3 $5,070,792 +86% +537% 2,235 $2,269 $31,514,117 26 That gives Just Mercy 0.86 Thu // 13.80 1.74 + 2.71 + 2.0 = 6.45 FSS (-33.6%) + 3.72 = 10.17 FSSM (+4.7%) // 23.97 cume Selma added 1.41x+ it's 4-day to the cume. Around that gives Just Mercy 24 + 10.2*1.4 = 38.3 dom Hope it does better and makes it to low-mid-40s.
  15. Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D 1 (1) 1917 Universal $5,288,640 +68% +4,556% 3,434 $1,540 $48,161,424 21 2 (2) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $1,856,300 +61% -53% 4,279 $434 $481,307,423 26 3 (4) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $1,455,094 +89% -42% 3,904 $373 $259,355,353 33 4 (3) Little Women Sony Pictures $1,453,239 +76% -31% 3,216 $452 $76,461,759 21 5 (5) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $1,352,131 +102% +13,327% 2,375 $569 $12,171,803 21 6 (6) Like a Boss Paramount Pi… $1,250,186 +103% 3,078 $406 $11,877,038 5 7 (7) Underwater 20th Century… $790,160 +56% 2,791 $283 $8,305,787 5 - (10) Frozen II Walt Disney $598,519 +79% -44% 2,655 $225 $460,465,624 54 - (9) Uncut Gems A24 $569,627 +68% -51% 2,081 $274 $44,229,982 33 - (-) Spies in Disguise 20th Century… $461,022 +102% -45% 2,671 $173 $55,371,529 21 - (11) The Grudge Sony Pictures $440,852 +51% -58% 2,642 $167 $18,655,641 12 - (-) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $127,458 +59% -40% 567 $225 $111,626,329 61 - (-) A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $84,627 +52% -56% 519 $163 $60,073,158 54 - (-) Cats Universal $80,555 +34% -79% 818 $98 $26,539,480 26 - (-) Queen & Slim Universal $57,015 +52% -64% 442 $129 $43,587,335 49 - (-) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $45,268 +58% -18% 125 $362 $22,050,268 89 - (-) Richard Jewell Warner Bros. $34,221 +69% -87% 376 $91 $22,054,542 33 - (-) A Hidden Life Fox Searchlight $15,132 +21% -61% 119 $127 $1,533,357 33 - (-) Harriet Focus Features $12,045 +41% -37% 122 $99 $42,925,765 75 - (-) Joker Warner Bros. $11,871 +23% -40% 85 $140 $334,127,373 103 - (-) Dark Waters Focus Features $10,635 +32% -50% 100 $106 $11,107,654 54
  16. - (5) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $1,352,131 +102% +13,327% 2,375 $569 $12,171,803 21 - (6) Like a Boss Paramount Pi… $1,250,186 +103% 3,078 $406 $11,877,038 5 - (9) Uncut Gems A24 $569,627 +68% -51% 2,081 $274 $44,229,982 33
  17. TROS 478.3 on Sun 1.1(-76%)+1.65(+50%)+1.0(-39%)+0.85(-15%)=4.6 // 482.9 1.65(+94%)+3.0(+82%)+2.2(-26%)=6.85(-55%) // 489.75 489.75 + 6.85*2.25 = 505.2
  18. made some cosmetic changes to my post but yeah, 300 looks tough.
  19. JUM2 257.13 on Sun 0.77+1.23(+60%)+0.68(-45%)+0.59(-13%)=3.27 // 260.4 cume 1.65(+180%)+3.2(+100%)+2.35(-27%)=7.2(-48.6%) // 267.6 cume 267.6 + 7.2*3.0=289.2
  20. Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D - (5) Little Women Sony Pictures $825,000 -65% -41% 3,216 $257 $75,007,402 20 - (3) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $770,000 -81% -63% 3,904 $197 $257,900,112 32 - (4) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $675,000 -72% +9,461% 2,375 $284 $10,824,216 20 - (11) The Grudge Sony Pictures $290,000 -68% -64% 2,642 $110 $18,211,895 11 - (-) A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $55,000 -64% -61% 519 $106 $59,988,020 53
  21. adding 2x the global weekend (15.1 dom + 24.2 os) will take it just shy of 1070. 2.25x will take it to high 1070s. 3 2019 movies could end up 1070s.
  22. F1 had a 25% drop this weekend Jan 10, 2014 2 $14,728,118 -25% 3,239 $4,547 $317,319,106 8 and added 5.66x this weekend to the cume. That gives F2 33.4 more but it's not gonna follow F1's amazing trend especially with a 50% drop this weekend compared to F1's 25%. Jan 10, 2020 8 $5,910,150 -50% 2,655 $2,226 $459,533,192 8 25 odd more for 485 (assuming an expansion) looks like a good target. Felt the movie was very forgettable a quicker than expected end to 480 won't surprise me.
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