8 of the 54 movies that opened between 35-40m did not make 100m
They were AvP (RT 21%), Oblivion (personally my least favorite movie of the year RT 53%), Red Dragon (RT 69%), Freddy vs Jason (RT 41%), Scorpion King (RT 40%), 10000 BC (RT 8%), Battle: LA (RT 35%), The Ring 2 (20%)
It is possible that the movie will not clear 100m with a 35m ow, but I think that with the reviews it has received Lone is pretty close to being a lock.