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Posts posted by Rsyu
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Corpse:
Frozen's Path to ¥20 billion+ ($200 million+)
¥763 million ($7.5 million)
¥872 million ($8.5 million), +13%, ¥3.01 billion ($29.6 million)
¥881 million ($8.6 million), +01%, ¥5.28 billion ($51.6 million)
¥850 million ($8.3 million), -03%, ¥7.71 billion ($74.8 million)
¥841 million ($8.2 million), -01%, ¥9.28 billion ($90.7 million)
¥826 million ($8.1 million), -02%, ¥10.73 billion ($104.8 million)
¥772 million ($7.6 million), -07%, ¥12.10 billion ($118.4 million)
¥1.09 billion ($10.8 million), +40%, ¥14.60 billion ($143.2 million) *Estimate*
¥738 million ($7.2 million), -33%, ¥17.08 billion ($167.4 million)Top 10-All Time
01 :: ¥30.40 billion ($244.0 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
02 :: ¥26.20 billion ($212.0 million) - Titanic (1997)
03 :: ¥22.00 billion ($207.0 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
04 :: ¥20.30 billion ($163.7 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
05 :: ¥19.30 billion ($165.5 million) - Princess Mononoke (1997)
06 :: ¥17.35 billion ($164.5 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
07 :: ¥17.30 billion ($147.8 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
08 :: ¥17.08 billion ($167.4 million) - Frozen (2014)
09 :: ¥15.60 billion ($188.7 million) - Avatar (2009)
10 :: ¥15.50 billion ($156.0 million) - Ponyo (2008)Frozen became just the 8th film to ever gross ¥17 billion or more at the box-office this past weekend, and will effortlessly pass both Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets and Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! this week (probably on Wednesday) to rise two more spots.
It's also definitely going to end up beating Princess Mononoke and has a 99.9% probability of earning over ¥20 billion ($200 million) and passing up Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone, too.
Overall, I'd say chances are greater than 50% that it'll become the #3 film of all-time with the possibility of challenging Titanic for the #2 position very well alive. -
Atletico v barca I hope atletico win, they deserve it more8AV has started to have external competition. As Henry has said, this weekend Eurovision was watched by many people. But I think the main problem for 8AV is football. This weekend and next will be decided Liga. Next Saturday, at 18 pm, there will be played a decisive match. And then, next weekend, on May 24th, there is the final of Champions League between two Spanish teams. If you do not follow football, that match can be considered similar to Superbowl. Beyond this, next weekend comes Godzilla and some strong competition will definitely hurt it because I think fatigue is already affecting it. If it is confirmed the numbers, 8AV would have done 3 million during last week, when previous it had done 8 million. IMO, having into account these factors, it will land somewhere between 75-80 million $ (54-58 milion €)
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Where do you guys think 8 apellidos vascos will finish??
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As corpse says:
Weekend Estimates [05/10-11]
01 (01) ¥694 million ($6.8 million), -39%, Frozen (Disney) Week 9
02 (02) ¥218 million ($2.1 million), -59%, Thermae Romae II (Toho) Week 3
03 (04) ¥166 million ($1.6 million), -55%, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Sony) Week 3
04 (03) ¥153 million ($1.5 million), -65%, Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho) Week 4
05 (--) ¥103 million ($1.0 million), 0, Wood Job! (Toho) DEBUT
06 (05) ¥99 million ($980,000), -62%, Partners the Movie 3 (Toei) Week 3
07 (06) ¥83 million ($810,000), -60%, Crayon Shin-chan: Serious Battle! Robot Dad Strikes (Toei) Week 3
08 (08) ¥69 million ($680,000), -53%, My Little Nightmare (Toho) Week 2
09 (07) ¥64 million ($630,000), -61%, Enchanted Kingdom 3D (Toho-Towa) Week 2
10 (09) ¥14 million ($130,000), -69%, Crows: Explode (Toho) Week 5
Pretty standard post-Golden Week weekend full of 50/60% drops. And remember, these estimates are based on last weekend's estimates since the weekend frame (05/03-04) of Golden Week hasn't been completely released yet.- 2
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Drops look big because it's coming off a huge golden week weekend. Expect drops will normalize next week.
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01 (01) ¥694 million ($6.8 million), -39%, Frozen (Disney) Week 9
So divide by 102?
101.79 to be exact. 1 dollar=101.79 yen. 1 yen= 0.0098 dollars
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Corpse:
Biggest Ninth Weekends/Nine Week Totals (2001-)Ninth Weekend (% change) / Nine Week Total -> Final Total - Film¥694.0 million (-39%) / ¥16.90/17.00 billion -> ¥??.?? billion - Frozen (2014) *Estimate*¥650.0 million (-07%) / ¥19.98 billion -> ¥30.40 billion - Spirited Away (2001)¥419.2 million (+21%) / ¥10.47 billion -> ¥13.70 billion - The Last Samurai (2003)¥404.7 million (-20%) / ¥11.87 billion -> ¥15.60 billion - Avatar (2009)¥377.4 million (-11%) / ¥15.27 billion -> ¥17.35 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge (2003)¥343.5 million (-45%) / ¥15.76 billion -> ¥22.00 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)¥324.9 million (-29%) / ¥10.62 billion -> ¥12.02 billion - The Wind Rises (2013)¥296.5 million (-31%) / ¥17.89 billion -> ¥20.30 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)¥278.1 million (-45%) / ¥15.23 billion -> ¥17.30 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)¥259.9 million (-31%) / ¥13.88 billion -> ¥15.50 billion - Ponyo (2008)¥214.9 million (-11%) / ¥10.29 billion -> ¥11.00 billion - Finding Nemo (2003)¥201.2 million (-51%) / ¥11.92 billion -> ¥13.50 billion - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)¥200 million+Films Above ¥10 billion (~$100 million) after Nine Weeks (1998-)¥19.98 billion - Spirited Away (2001)¥17.89 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)¥16.90/17.00 billion - Frozen (2014) *Estimate*¥15.76 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)¥15.27 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)¥15.23 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)¥13.88 billion - Ponyo (2008)¥12.90 billion - Princess Mononoke (1997) *Estimate*¥11.92 billion - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)¥11.87 billion - Avatar (2009)¥11.38 billion - Alice in Wonderland (2010)¥10.62 billion - The Wind Rises (2013)¥10.47 billion - The Last Samurai (2003)¥10.36 billion - Toy Story 3 (2010)¥10.35 billion - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)¥10.31 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)¥10.29 billion - Finding Nemo (2003)(No Week 9 data for Star Wars Episode I or Armageddon)
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just $25M from IM3? It should fall with a fortnight
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Based on my calculation, ERC says 32M
SPIDER-MAN 2 top territories: CHI ($54M) UK ($37M) KOR ($32M) MEX ($26M) JAP ($22M) RUS ($20M) FRA ($18M) BRZ ($17M)
Thanks. I got $32.1M based on current exchange rates. Should be just under $1M behind TASM on it's 3rd weekend.
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weekend admissions
TASM2 346,001 (-53.3%) 3,945,868Around $33M cumeSource for $33M?
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South Korea Daily Box office (05/11)
Weekend Box office Rankings (05/09~05/11)
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South Korea Box office (05/10)
Drops from last week
The fatal encounter: -38.5%
The Target: +8.3%
TASM2: -47.3%
Rio2: -47.5%
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So no post GW crash which was the main concern for frozen this week. Anything over $7m weekend I'm happy with
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corpse:
Best Multipliers (Wide-Releases) [2001-]
01. 30.37 - Spirited Away (July, 2001)
02. 26.99 - Princess Mononoke (July, 1997)
03. 26.13 - Avatar (Dec., 2009)
04. 23.21 - Departures (Dec., 2008)
05. 20.89 - Frozen (Mar., 2014) [54 Days in Release]
06. 19.96 - Les Miserabes (Dec., 2012)
07. 16.44 - The Cat Returns (July, 2002)
08. 16.03 - The Eternal Zero (Dec., 2013) [137 Days in Release]
09. 15.69 - Monsters, Inc. (Mar., 2002)
10. 15.25 - The Last Samurai (Dec., 2003)
11. 14.98 - Ponyo (July, 2008)
12. 14.84 - Howl's Moving Castle (Nov., 2004)
13. 14.81 - Always: Sunset on Third Street (Nov., 2005)
14. 14.25 - Confessions (June, 2010)
15. 13.96 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (July, 2003)
16. 13.83 - Thermae Romae (Apr., 2012)
17. 13.64 - Crying Out Love, in the Center of the World (May, 2004)
18. 13.09 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (Dec., 2001)
19. 12.98 - Summer Wars (Aug., 2009)
20. 12.88 - Ted (Jan., 2013)
21. 12.51 - The Wind Rises (July, 2013)
22. 12.50 - The Phantom of the Opera (Jan., 2005)
23. 12.48 - Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl (Aug., 2003)
24. 12.24 - Finding Nemo (Dec., 2003)
25. 11.56 - The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki (July, 2012)
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South Korea Box Office (05/09)
The target is showing good staying power, reducing the difference between itself and the fatal encounter. Both the aforementioned films should pass 2M and 3M admissions over the weekend. The fatal encounter will become only the 2nd local film released this year to pass 3M admissions and the target will be the 3rd to pass 2M.
TASM2 increased 26% over yesterday. 4M at present looks unlikely to be passed during this weekend, but it should happen sometime next week. Cume stands at approx $29.8M.
Here is a breakdown of TASM2 since it was released:
Week 1: 1,662,187
Week 2: 1,240,287 (-25.3%)
Week 3: 751,571 (up to friday)
a realistic target for TASM2 will be to hit 1M admissions for week 3 in which case it will have dropped 19.4% over week 2. Unfortunately this figure is somewhat exaggerated due to the huge monday and tuesday which accounted for 83.2% of the total admissions from monday-friday of week 3. Godzilla will also take away showtimes and potential viewers so we could be looking at over 50% week to week drop starting next week. With 50% drops from here on out TASM2 will finish with around 4.89M admissions. If it drops harder than that, which is quite possible, it will end up somewhere in the vicinity of 4.5M admissions.
Rio 2 will hopefully pick up it's business during the weekend, being the only major animated film, and should be a target for family sized audiences. So far it's 2nd week is bigger than it's first but as with TASM2, wed-friday was really really weak. If it fails to recover during the weekend it won't increase all that much over Rio.
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Don't think so...but the Da Vinci Code was! LOL!
Pretty sure Passion of the Christ was released there
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&id=passionofthechrist.htm
Also Da vinci code isn't a religious themed film.
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Skyfall v Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle
Spider-man 3 v Michael Jackson: This Is It
Spider-man v Total Recall (1990)
Spider-man 2 v Jumanji
2012 v The Fifth Element
The da Vinci code v Charlie's Angels
The amazing spider-man v Grown Ups
Hancock v Something's Gotta Give
Men in black 3 v Bad Boys 2
Casino royale v Jerry Maguire
Men in black v Cloudy with a chance of meatballs 2
Quantum of solace v XXX
The smurfs v The Tourist
Angels and demons v Salt
Men in black 2 v Resident Evil: Afterlife
Godzilla v My Best Friend's Wedding
Hitch v Stuart Little
The karate kid v The pursuit of happiness
Hotel Transylvania v As good as it gets
The smurfs 2 v Air Force one -
Bad for Noah. China is anti-religion? Passion of the Christ was released there wasn't it?
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TASM2 has dropped like a rock post holiday, along with Rio2. Local films held relatively well, the target and The fatal encounter both increased thursday over wednesday, but TASM2 and Rio2 both dropped. They should both see bigger increases over the weekend though (hopefully)
So unless godzilla tanks, I think TASM2 will finish between 4-4.5M admissions, which is actually very decent considering the circumstances.
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So frozen grossed around $36M during golden week (april 29-may 6)? Did anyone predict that high?
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South Korea Box Office (05/08)
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81,976 admissions, it also crossed 2.5million admissions in the space of 7 days. To be honest I'm disappointed it couldn't hold over 100K, negative WoM kicking in it seemsHow's The Fatal Encounter doing?
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Everything was affected, no film made it past 100K admissions. Spidey dropped especially hard though, considering the target did 67k admissions and TASM2 did better than it during the holidays.Is that just a typical holiday drop that affected everything or was there another big film opening on Wed?
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Possibly but not for certain. It caught up a lot during the holidays but it'll probably go below 100k admissions during weekdays now that it's over. Godzilla will also take screens and showtimes away from it next week.Does this mean than TASM2 should finish higher than the first?
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
in International Box Office
Posted
Corpse:
All-Time Top-Grossing Films (USD)01 :: $244.0 million - Spirited Away (2001)02 :: $212.0 million - Titanic (1997)03 :: $207.0 million - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)04 :: $188.7 million - Avatar (2009)05 :: $167.4 million - Frozen (2014) [After 59 Days]06 :: $165.5 million - Princess Mononoke (1997)07 :: $164.5 million - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)08 :: $163.7 million - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)09 :: $156.0 million - Ponyo (2008)10 :: $147.8 million - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)11 :: $142.8 million - Alice in Wonderland (2010)12 :: $130.7 million - Toy Story 3 (2010)13 :: $126.7 million - The Last Samurai (2003)14 :: $125.3 million - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 (2011)15 :: $125.1 million - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)16 :: $123.5 million - The Wind Rises (2013) 17 :: $120.6 million - Jurassic Park (1993)18 :: $117.6 million - Star Wars Episode I: The Phantom Menace (1999)19 :: $114.9 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011) 20 :: $111.9 million - Arrietty (2010) 21 :: $102.4 million - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)21 :: $102.4 million - Finding Nemo (2003)23 :: $100.2 million - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)24 :: $100.0 million - Armageddon (1998)25 :: $97.2 million - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)26 :: $94.5 million - Rookies (2009)27 :: $93.6 million - Umizaru: Brave Hearts (2012)28 :: $91.3 million - Monsters University (2013)29 :: $90.5 million - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)$90 million+