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Posts posted by Rsyu
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TASM2's main problem in Japan isn't that it's an unnecessary reboot (even if that's what it is) TASM doing OK business proves that the spiderman franchise was still popular.
The main problem for it now is overheated competition. It's a survival of the fittest for showtimes and seats this weekend and fittest TASM2 clearly is not
Based on those early Toho numbers It'll be lucky to open to half of what TASM did
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Underwhelming for TASM2, Conan drops as expected.
Nice increase for frozen $8m+ weekend is locked.
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Corpse (WOKJ):
Weekend Forecast [04/26-27]
01 (01) ¥760 million ($7.4 million), Frozen (Disney) Week 7
02 (--) ¥545 million ($5.3 million), Thermae Romae II (Toho) NEW
03 (02) ¥480 million ($4.6 million), Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho) Week 2
04 (--) ¥450 million ($4.3 million), The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Sony) NEW
05 (--) ¥340 million ($3.2 million), Partners the Movie 3 (Toei) NEW
06 (03) ¥225 million ($2.1 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Serious Battle! Robot Dad Strikes (Toho) Week 2
07 (04) ¥110 million ($1.0 million), Captain America: The Winter Soldier (Disney) Week 2
08 (05) ¥90 million ($880,000), Crows: Explode (Toho) Week 3
09 (06) ¥50 million ($480,000), L-DK (Toei) Week 3
10 (08) ¥35 million ($330,000), The Snow White Murder Case (Shochiku) Week 5
Projected Top 10 Total: ¥3.085 billion (#6 All-Time Weekend, #2-All Time non-July Weekend)
>Frozen has locked up a 7th-week on top as it's pretty far ahead of everything else so far this morning and when looking at its afternoon and evening ticket sales. Disney and whoever else that was responsible for releasing the sing-a-long and 3D dubbed version this weekend, right before Golden Week begins, too, was genius. If it manages a 6th-consecutive week grossing over 800 million ($8 million)... we'll be discussing the potential for ¥20 billion ($200 million), making it only the fifth film to ever reach that milestone (Spirited Away > Titanic > Howl's Moving Castle > Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone).
After box-office grosses became more evenly distributed among many films around 2006 vs the top-heavy nature of the box-office of the late 90's and early 00's, the chances of seeing another ¥20 billion film occur were slim to say the least when a film reaching half that figure has become incredibly difficult in recent years, so this is tremendous.
>Thermae Romae II looks like it's going to avoid the "WE DON"T WANT SEQUELS ANYMORE!" attitude that's been causing many sequels (that aren't annual) to disappoint or flatout bomb over the past year or two.
But it also doesn't have huge ticket sales so far to suggest it's going to breakout beyond expectations, either. One thing to keep in mind regarding the film is that evening and night showings appear stronger than morning and afternoon showtimes, so there may be some potential there.
>The Amazing Spider-Man 2 should have been a lock to open over ¥500 million, but that number is looking difficult. One positive is that its 3D showings aren't doing too bad so far at most locations helping to keep a debut of ¥500 million alive, but for now I don't think it has enough interest to beat enter the Top 3 over the weekend.
>Partners the Movie 3 is doing well enough to open over a respectable ¥300 million, and may not trail far behind Spider-Man in admissions.Corpse boarding the $200m+ train?
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Cap isn't close, it's 1/12 of TASM2 on friday. Spider-man is dominating by default since there's nothing to compete with it. That will change next week and we'll see how TASM2 really fares. Sorry 1.9M admissions isn't happening. For that to happen it would need to do 1.3M admissions this weekend...As axpected The amazing spider-man continues it's dominance, nothing else came remotely close....Sorry don't wanne be rude but if Cap should come close afther more than 4 week release I don't think TASM2 would be doing good... I mean there is no new big movie that opens so it's normal for a frens. movie to be domenating. I hope it still could do 1.9M admition in it's first weekend because frensh. drop harder (normaly)
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Interesting, hollywood must love thatAlmost all blockbusters are released in 3D exclusively in China.
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Format dominance 2014 (1/1~4/26)
Higher preference for 3D compared to 2013 (2.2%) can be chalked down to hollywood films outperforming local ones. Generally though, 3D is not seen as a choice but something you see when there are no seats available. IMAX and 4DX was about the same last year too but the diffrence is huge this time, mainly because of the success of frozen which set a record for 4DX admissions.
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Holy shit POTC4 did $108m in Japan?? Ok I take back the failure comment
I still think it was pointless though
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His point was that they didn't wait too long with the sequel so it held well, unlike those other films.
It was pointless movie so it dropped. Minimizing the drop is the only noteworthy thing it did.
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But POTC 4 didn't fail, it did well.
I think the point was that it dropped.
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meh all those failed because they were pointless (POTC) / poorly made (Terminator4) / needlessly long (Hobbit) / too soon (TASM)
Obv Japanese people saw right through that
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You mean friday right ;)I bad but not horrible. I still think its possible to almost match the first.3D ratio could be a bit better and late drops could be better also.Hope is not over yet but any dream of 600 mill is over
It will have it's legs cut under it in the second week. If it had good word of mouth I would say it had a shot but it's sadly lacking in that department. TASM on the other hand had very good legs
Week-to-week drop for TASM:
week1: 1,696,133week2: 1,668,110 (-1.6%)week3: 1,033,525 (-37.6%)week4: 381,868 (-63%)Really, TASM2 needs a breakout in China to save it.-
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So very close, but my question is are films not frontloaded in places like SK as well as NA?
Films are pretty frontloaded so it's best to make the best of opening week. TASM2 faces serious competition next week and doesn't have much going for it in the way of ratings or WoM so decrease looks inevitable.
It's an amazing performance by GBH here it's getting a lot of media attention for it's success. Putting a lot of the big budget movies here to shame
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South Korea daily box office (04/25)
As expected The amazing spider-man continues it's dominance, nothing else came remotely close. It's OD and Thursday was extremely disappointing but it recovered well on Friday and is actually only 15% down from TASM's friday in it's opening week. Presales going into the weekend is also very strong and the 5day OW should come close to TASM's 4day OW but I don't see it going over.
CA:TWS should pass 3.8M admissions this weekend. A stellar performance from captain rodgers who has clearly become a favorite over here
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Sorry, I misunderstood you.
Yea, that isn't happening.
I agree but it could come close. TASM2's friday number is only down 15% from TASM's friday.
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So another 600,000 admissions in two days? That seems kind of high, doesn't? I don't think it will hit that for Sat and Sunday.
no it needs 1,100,000 admissions over sat-sun to beat Tasm's OW
currently TASM2's first 3 days (610,239) is slightly over TASM's 2 day (556,981)
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South Korea (Friday)
Admissions: 242,026
Gross: $2.03M
Presales: 200,068 (62.9% share)
Good friday increase! +40% over thursday. ASM 4 day OW saw 1.7 million admissions. To match this OW in 5 days TASM2 needs to bring in 1.1M admissions over the weekend.
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I guess the positive way to see this is Toho is only down -3% in admissions from friday 2 weeks previous. We have yet to witness a true drop.
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Any reason why friday is the only weekday that decreased this week?
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She's actually a very good singer
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15 minutes later May J will perform Let it go on the very popular national TV show...music station.
Is may J more popular than Takako Matsu? I preferred the Takako's version to be honest.
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Corpse:
Five Popular Toho Cinema Advance Ticket Sales (~24 Hours before first showings)
Tickets Sold / Total Tickets Available (%)
Nishinomiya (04/26)
502/2,578 (19.5%) - Frozen
315/2,489 (12.7%) - Thermae Romae II
242/2,220 (11.0%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension
217/1,399 (15.5%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
200/755 (26.5%) - Partners 3
Umeda (04/26)
547/4,770 (11.5%) - Thermae Romae II
474/2,005 (23.6%) - Frozen
470/2,951 (15.9%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
388/2,949 (13.1%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension
224/1,380 (16.2%) - Partners 3 (Alt. Fuchu)
Ebina (04/26)
320/4,110 (7.8%) - Frozen
277/2,085 (13.3%) - Thermae Romae II
231/1,000 (23.1%) - Partners 3
163/1,230 (13.3%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension
135/1,180 (11.4%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Kinshicho (04/26)
556/1,311 (42.4%) - Frozen
276/1,510 (18.3%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
275/2,700 (10.2%) - Thermae Romae II
227/954 (23.8%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension
223/1,260 (17.7%) - Partners 3 (Alt. Roppongi Hills)
Shibuya (04/26)
968/1,342 (72.1%) - Frozen
296/1,075 (27.5%) - Thermae Romae II
252/985 (25.6%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension
198/1,233 (16.1%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
101/932 (10.8%) - Partners 3 (Alt. Article)
Combined:
2,820/11,346 (24.9%) - Frozen
1,710/13,119 (13.0%) - Thermae Romae II
1,296/8,273 (15.7%) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2
1,272/8,338 (15.3%) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension
979/5,327 (18.4%) - Partners 3
I'm considering removing Shibuya since Frozen is the go-to film for young people (Shibuya is very popular among young people) at that cinema, and it's been selling out practically every showing since opening weekend. It doesn't really serve as a good example I don't think.-
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Ah I see it now..BOM has ASM down as $3.3m for fri-sun and the cumulative gross as $5.5m so it did $2.17M on wed-thur. I guess we can rule out an increase...
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So looks like OW will be on par with ASM?TASM2 Thursday €593617 ($0.82m), 83897 admissions, cume: $1.63m (Wed+Thu)
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Wtf where's podo
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JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
in International Box Office
Posted
True it could open higher but I wouldn't be at all surprised to see it miss. The amazing spider-man opened to $7.4 million. Unless it recovers, TASM2 will struggle to reach $3.7m OW, especially since it opened on a friday this time (slightly deflated weekened)
TASM2 is secondary at this point though, a little higher or lower it's still disappointing. All eyes on frozen!