Rsyu
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Posts posted by Rsyu
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Actually in South Korea, sundays are weaker than saturdays. I mentioned to someone it in the TASM2 OS thread.
South Korea has a high Christian population, protestants and Catholics account for nearly 30% of the population which is why I guess sundays are weaker.
I've been wondering why Japan's sundays are stronger for a while. Aside from religion, the fact that it's 1 day before workday should mean it sees a decrease but apparently that's not the case.
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Top 10 in Japan
01 ¥30.40 billion - Spirited Away (2001)02 ¥26.20 billion - Titanic (1997)03 ¥22.00 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)04 ¥20.30 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)05 ¥19.30 billion - Princess Mononoke (1997)06 ¥17.35 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)07 ¥17.30 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)08 ¥15.60 billion - Avatar (2009)09 ¥15.50 billion - Ponyo (2008)10 ¥13.70 billion - The Last Samurai (2003)it'll probably pass The last samurai in yen during early may.-
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Approx 3% increase then. With luck Toho might breach 70,000 today.
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I thought Rio 2 was supposed to release last week?
Rio is being released on the first of May
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I was going to do this sometime later next week but might as well do it now.
The Fatal Encounter (04/30 release date)
The fatal encounter is a historical drama film based on a plot to assassinate King Jung of the Joseon Dynasty. The fate of those who must die, those who must live and those who must kill or protect the King is revealed over a 24 hour period. The Fatal Encounter will be hoping to follow in the footsteps of other popular historical drama films such as "Masquerade", "king and the clown" and the "face reader" among others. It is being noted for it's all-star cast and especially a comeback to the screen for popular actor Hyun-bin after his two years of army service.
There are criticisms of course from early viewers, the main one being that the actors all try too shine too much individually that the movie loses some of it's cohesiveness and tension. Whether or not those criticisms will have any bearing on the box office performance remains to be seen.
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Lol this is why I love this thread. Such crazy predictions bring a smile to my face :)Frozen already required crazy legs to reach 400 domestic, a region which has 3 times the population and a much more movie going audience than Japan. Frozen is already tracking behind Spirited away and it doesnt have summer weekdays to rely on. Also all those groudbreaking movies you mention was from a different era, when movies played months on end with less competition. True, it's not impossible in the mathematical sense but that's the same as saying it's not impossible for frozen to drop like a rock post GW because of some reason or another. Still I kinda enjoy crazy talk so don't let me stop you
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That is indeed great to hear!! I'm glad to hear you're also a frozen fan :)Also wtf with passing Dom gross talk?Looks like singalong is successful in Japan so far.See many sellouts this morning and Yahoo JP has reported the singalongwith photos in one theater. People rejoice at the atmosphereand many of them say they have practiced many times at home.Most of them are friends or family members.What a touching scene , isn't it ?Indeed, I also participated in Taipei singalong organized by a group of Frozen fans.That's my best theater experience for the first time in forever ~
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saturdays number based a on few theater reports and sunday presales. Doesnt include friday.
Are you still projecting $9m+ for frozen this weekend?
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Not sure, I think it's based on presales though you'll have to ask corpse for precise detailsoh ok. Thank you! Were those estimated based on Friday numbers?
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Those were just estimates. TASM2 is performing below expectationsWAit...did you say TASM will miss 4 million. I thought it was headed for 4.3 before. Or am I confused.
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Corpse (WoKJ):
Toho Cinemas Admissions [4/26-27]
Saturday (04/26)
56,099 (-1.1%), Frozen (Disney) Week 7
39,836 (new), Thermae Romae II (Toho)
32,042 (-50.2%), Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho) Week 2
27,694 (new), The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Sony)
19,568 (new), Partners the Movie 3 (Toei)
>Frozen is still being Frozen. Another weekend over 600,000 admissions and ¥800 million ($8 million) is likely unless its Sunday pattern changes.
>Thermae Romae II did well in the evening and night and managed a strong Saturday. It's on par with last June'sMidsummer Formula which went on to open with ¥464.9 million ($4.8 million), the second-highest opening for any live-action film last year. I don't think Romae II will see the drop like Midsummer did on Sunday, and with the higher ticket prices now, it should be able to break ¥500 million ($5 million) over the weekend.Toho Cinemas Saturday Admissions (Weekend Admissions) [since 2013]
01. 85,115 (167,188) - The Wind Rises (07/20/13)
02. 64,398 (133,273) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (04/19/14)
03. 59,492 (121,802) - Monsters University (07/06/13)
04. 59,192 (123,606) - Frozen (03/15/14)
05. 51,800 (108,724) - Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (12/07/13)
06. 42,541 (94,650) - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (03/08/14)
07. 42,537 (91,182) - The Eternal Zero (12/21/13)
08. 40,414 (74,131) - Midsummer Formula (06/29/13)
09. 39,836 (??,???) - Thermae Romae II (04/26/14)
10. 38,885 (85,462) - Pokemon: ExtremeSpeed Genesect - Mewtwo Awakens (7/13/13)>Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension fell 50% at Toho locations compared to last Saturday. The franchise has never fallen over 40% during its second weekend, but this one just might due to how huge it opened (beating the old franchise record by 18%). It'll be much stronger on Sunday, though, so a drop of 40% or slightly better is still doable. It should earn around ¥450 million ($4.5 million) in its second weekend.
>The Amazing Spider-Man 2 recovered into the evening and night as well, but still looks like it'll miss a ¥400 million ($4 million) debut. But if it can see an increase on Sunday, and has a respectable 3D share (which appears alright), it still has a chance.
>Partners the Movie 3 was the only one that slowed down into the evening and night due to its much older audience. It still looks on course for a debut over ¥300 million ($3 million), and Toei releases generally do better at non-Toho cinemas, so I wouldn't rule out beating Spider-Man in admissions. -
Yeah, this is pretty bad. TASM2 will have holiday bumps next week but it won't have the luxury of summer weekdays like TASM1. Furthermore, I think SK is way overdue for a local hit, and Fatal Encounter looks to be it. If it breaks out, Spidey legs won't be pretty.
I agree, although there remains a small possibility that they can coexist. The fatal encounter getting mixed reactions is making me nervous.
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BOM said ASM 1 made 10.9m four day. Are they wrong?
That is 3 day cume (Fri-Sun)
It's 4 day is around $13M
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So what is ASM 2 full opening week in USD?
It's 5 day will be around $12.5M-$13M
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So is the box office in South Korea on par with the first one?
For TASM2? Much lower I'm afraid. TASM2's 5 day will be slightly lower than TASM's 4 day OW
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You misunderstood me, I didn’t say that cap came close, I said if cap would come close it would be a very bad weekend for TASM2.
And why is 4M admission unlikely for CAP? Will they get out of the theathers soon?
I guess it depends on how much it can still do in the face of competition but it'll be doing numbers in the thousands starting next week and maybe probably less when new releases come out. It'll be close but I don't think there's enough left in the tank
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Indeed. But taking exchange rates into account, today the first one would open with $5.7 million. So it's not as bad as the dollar gap suggests.
@Rsyu : Well Roma Bath's first movie having great legs and a good final gross probably helped built the hype for the second movie hence the higher expected opening weekend. I agree about Conan, but I was just pointing out the same thing happened with IM3 last year.
Big grosses doesn't always equal big OW for the next sequel though and in any case Roman bath 2 looks to be opening around only 100million yen above the first (approx 550million yen) I think TASM2 was expected to open higher than that.
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TASM2 really should have been expected to debuted at 2, the low buzz, mixed reactions, heavy competition, early release date, opening on a friday all seems to have hurt it's OW
Disagree on Roman bath it's OW was average but it's legs were something else contributing to it's high gross. Also, while Conan may be popular it traditionally drops quite a bit in it's 2nd week. TASM's OW at least should have been able to beat it in it's 2nd week.
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Getting beaten is an understatement
it won't even do half of what frozen does-
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I don't think we're seeing a GW boost this weekend since next monday is a working day.
And if that's the case then Frozen is holding remarkably well against a barrage of heavy competition.
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So Is that close to TASM1? It needs what? 600,000 or so admissions on Sunday to match the first movie's OW right?
Yes around that. But even then it would be a 5 day OW matching up with TASM's 4 day OW
But Sundays are weaker than saturdays in Korea so it won't happen
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kinezo+Toho+109
Frozen: 80,974
Roma bath 2: 55,494
Conan: 44,582
TASM2: 41,829
Frozen increases in admissions (thanks to 109) and the gross will certainly be higher with the higher 3D share.
If sunday acts like LW sunday I don't think it will break $9M
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South Korea daily Box Office (04/26)
The amazing spider-man 2 didn't surprise and pretty much did as people predicted, not good or bad just average. Admissions is down -16.3% compared to TASM's OW saturday and now stands at a total of 1.14m $9.33m cume. It should get around 450k~ admissions on sunday for a total of 1.6 million admissions.
Captain America passed 3.8 million admissions on saturday. It's still ranked as the 9th highest CBM SH movie and looks unlikely to pass TDK's 4M admissions which is ranked 8.
The other films aside from GBH and Han gong-ju (arthouse film) did depressingly bad. The fatal encounter preview screening coming in 9th is just...sad
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South Korea (Saturday)
Admissions: 526,901
total admissions: 1,143,147
Gross: $4.4M
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it won't even do half of what frozen does
JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
in International Box Office
Posted
It's the only difference I can think of of why Sunday compared to Saturday is weaker in Korea while stronger in Japan. I'm sure families going to movies on a sunday afternoon with family isn't something exclusive to Japan.
What is it like for spain? Does sunday increase there too?