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Rsyu

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  1. SK Daily Box Office (04/28)

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    The Amazing spider-man 2 continues to track behind TASM dropping -26% compared to TASM's first monday. 

    CA: TWS drops -43% compared to last week. I thought The amazing spider-man 2 being released would kill captain america's legs completely but the sub-par performance of the former has allowed the latter to keep having respectable drops. If it continues the same pattern of drops it could just barely pass 4m admissions. 

    • Like 5
  2. May I have the full version? I'm charting. And also Ponyo and Howl, if possible. Thanks.

     

    sure!

     

    Spirited away

    ¥1.001 billion ($8.9 million)

    ¥975 million ($8.7 million), -02%, ¥4.240 billion ($34.6 million)

    ¥890 million ($7.9 million), -09%, ¥7.220 billion ($59.0 million)

    ¥940 million ($8.4 million), +06%, ¥10.75 billion ($87.8 million)

    ¥890 million ($7.9 million), -06%, ¥13.26 billion ($109.3 million)

    ¥900 million ($8.0 million), +02%, ¥14.90 billion ($123.3 million)

    ¥785 million ($6.2 million), -13%, ¥17.13 billion ($148.5 million)

    ¥695 million ($6.3 million), -11%, ¥18.65 billion ($160.8 million)

    ¥650 million ($5.8 million), -07%, ¥19.98 billion ($171.7 million)

    ¥510 million ($4.6 million), -21%, ¥22.40 billion ($183.7 million)

    ¥435 million ($4.0 million), -15%, ¥23.60 billion ($193.6 million)

    ¥395 million ($3.6 million), -09%, ¥24.40 billion ($200.2 million)

    ¥265 million ($2.4 million), -32%, ¥24.89 billion ($204.2 million)

    ¥270 million ($2.5 million), +02%, ¥25.37 billion ($208.1 million)

    ¥330 million ($3.0 million), +22%, ¥25.97 billion ($213.0 million)

    ¥305 million ($2.7 million), -08%, ¥26.56 billion ($218.8 million) *Becomes #1 Film of All-Time, and achieves 16-consecutive weeks at #1*

    ¥195 million ($1.7 million), -36%, ¥27.04 billion ($222.7 million)

    ¥185 million ($1.6 million), -04%, ¥27.40 billion ($225.6 million)

    ¥255 million ($2.2 million), +31%, ¥27.84 billion ($229.1 million)

    ¥150 million ($1.3 million), -40%, ¥28.18 billion ($231.8 million)

    ¥115 million ($1.0 million), -26%, ¥28.40 billion ($233.5 million)

    Final Total: ¥30.40 billion ($244 million), 23.5 million admissions.

     

    Howl's moving castle

    ¥1.483 billion ($14.0 million)

    ¥1.249 billion ($11.7 million), -16%, ¥4.754 billion ($44.5 million)

    ¥1.012 billion ($9.9 million), -16%, ¥6.785 billion ($65.9 million)

    ¥953 million ($9.2 million), -07%, ¥8.445 billion ($81.4 million)

    ¥789 million ($7.6 million), -17%, ¥9.756 billion ($94.2 million)

    ¥622 million ($6.0 million), -21%, ¥10.72 billion ($105.1 million)

    ¥704 million ($6.9 million), +13%, ¥12.88 billion ($126.2 million)

    ¥645 million ($6.1 million), -10%, ¥15.24 billion ($146.1 million)

    ¥343 million ($3.4 million), -45%, ¥15.76 billion ($154.9 million)

    ¥310 million ($3.0 million), -10%, ¥16.42 billion ($160.1 million)

    ¥252 million ($2.5 million), -19%, ¥16.85 billion ($164.4 million)

    ¥188 million ($1.8 million), -26%, ¥17.23 billion ($167.9 million)

    ¥189 million ($1.8 million), +0.02%, ¥17.70 billion ($172.3 million)

    ¥126 million ($1.2 million), -33%, ¥17.99 billion ($175.1 million)

    ¥113 million ($1.1 million), -11%, ¥18.21 billion ($177.2 million)

    Final Total: ¥22.0 billion ($207 million), 15.0 million admissions.

     

    Princess mononoke

    ¥715 million ($6.1 million) [2 day]

    ¥1.26 billion ($10.9 million) [5 day]

    ¥1.54 billion ($13.3 million) [7 day]

    ¥2.68 billion ($23.1 million) [13 day]

    ¥7.98 billion ($67.6 million) [34 day]

    ¥8.99 billion ($76.1 million) [37 day]

    ¥10.00 billion ($84.9 million) [44 day]

    ¥13.86 billion ($115.5 million) [66 day]

    ¥14.57 billion ($121.4 million) [74 day]

    ¥16.10 billion ($134.1 million) [111 day]

    ¥17.76 billion ($145.3 million) [179 day]

    ¥18.60 billion ($152.7 million) [383 day]

    Final Total: ¥19.30 billion ($165.5 million), 14.2 million admissions.

     

    Ponyo

    ¥1.034 billion ($9.8 million)

    ¥806 million ($7.6 million), -21%, ¥3.228 billion ($30.5 million)

    ¥776 million ($7.3 million), -05%, ¥5.258 billion ($48.9 million)

    ¥755 million ($7.1 million), -03%, ¥7.212 billion ($67.1 million)

    ¥851 million ($7.9 million), +13%, ¥9.941 billion ($92.6 million)

    ¥577 million ($5.5 million), -32%, ¥11.47 billion ($106.6 million)

    ¥513 million ($4.8 million), -11%, ¥12.73 billion ($118.4 million)

    ¥378 million ($3.5 million), -27%, ¥13.44 billion ($125.1 million)

    ¥260 million ($2.4 million), -31%, ¥13.88 billion ($129.2 million)

    ¥155 million ($1.5 million), -40%, ¥14.31 billion ($133.3 million)

    Final Total: ¥15.50 billion ($156 million), 12.87 million admissions.

    • Like 2
  3. Well, SA was released in summer. That's a little bit unfair. You're right though, wee still need to see how it's gonna perform for the rest of its run to draw a conclusion. But at least from the first 8 weeks, you can't deny Frozen is up there with SA in terms of legs, even though SA had summer weekdays advantage.

    True frozen didn't have summer weekdays to rely on, but it had other things going for it such as the huge build up of word of mouth before it's release, diverse number of formats, and the benefit of social media spotlight etc. I think SA had just the 2D format which is remarkable. Also if frozen ultimately falls short, I doubt people look back and remember it as being just as impressive as SA because it didn't have summer support.
  4. Exactly! It's almost never happened. SA was 13 years ago. Even it had a drop over 10% and Frozen hasn't had a drop over 3%. And before that, probably only Titanic had the same kind of run, which was 17 years ago. Both are in a league of their own. To match that kind of historical run, is the definition of impressive. Btw, it looks like today is bigger than normal Monday, but still not quite as big as spring break Monday. It will be stronger in the evening though. Tomorrow will be HUGE, might be bigger than Sunday.

    Frozen has a way to go before being in the same bracket as SA. We can guess where it will end up but nothing is set in stone. Frozen's weekends have been extremely impressive but weekdays are behind SA's by a bit too.
  5. ^ Spirited away's run. Started bigger and managed similar drops/increases¥1.001 billion ($8.9 million)¥975 million ($8.7 million), -02%, ¥4.240 billion ($34.6 million)¥890 million ($7.9 million), -09%, ¥7.220 billion ($59.0 million)¥940 million ($8.4 million), +06%, ¥10.75 billion ($87.8 million)¥890 million ($7.9 million), -06%, ¥13.26 billion ($109.3 million)¥900 million ($8.0 million), +02%, ¥14.90 billion ($123.3 million)¥785 million ($6.2 million), -13%, ¥17.13 billion ($148.5 million)

  6. But you can't ignore that this is behind the 4 day of ASM even with a 5 day opening.

     

    It started very slowly compared to TASM but it gradually recovered and the 3 day weekend of both was about par, if not in admissions then at least in gross. More to the point, while the 5 day admissions is slightly down, the gross is actually higher by around $0.6M due to exchange rate fluctuations. Both are lower than SM3's $16.4M OW though that isn't surprising. Legs will make or break this film and at this moment the latter seems to be the more probable. Current presales have it at a distant second behind this week's big release.

    • Like 2
  7. Box Office Mojo wasn't wrong. Subers just decided that he will report all numbers in dollars even though the records usually refer to the national currency. This is the same for all countries. He's done it before for Japan (TS3 and Finding Nemo) and the UK (Avatar and Skyfall).

     

    Frozen passed TS3 in yen quite a while ago. Reporting a figure in dollar amount and a record that has been broken in local currency almost a week ago along side of it is just too stupid to believe, no one could make sense of that. 

    • Like 1
  8. Corpse (WoKJ):

     

    Weekend Estimates [04/26-27]

    01 (01) ¥842 million ($8.2 million), +02%Frozen (Disney) Week 7
    02 (--) ¥537 million ($5.3 million), 0, Thermae Romae II (Toho) NEW
    03 (02) ¥456 million ($4.5 million), -42%Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho) Week 2
    04 (--) ¥373 million ($3.6 million), 0, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (Sony) NEW
    05 (--) ¥302 million ($3.0 million), 0, Partners the Movie 3 (Toei) NEW

    06 (03) ¥198 million ($1.9 million), -41%Crayon Shin-chan: Serious Battle! Robot Dad Strikes (Toho) Week 2
    07 (05) ¥78 million ($760,000), -49%Crows: Explode (Toho) Week 3
    08 (04) ¥67 million ($640,000), -66%Captain America: The Winter Soldier (Disney) Week 2
    09 (06) ¥51 million ($500,000), -20%L-DK (Toei) Week 3
    10 (07) ¥22 million ($210,000), -61%Heisei Rider vs. Showa Rider: Kamen Rider Taisen feat. Super Sentai (Toei) Week 5
    Estimated Top 10 Total: ¥2.926 billion (#9 All-Time Weekend, #2-All Time non-July Weekend)
    11 (08) ¥20 million ($190,000), -64%The Snow White Murder Case (Shochiku) Week 5
    12 (09) ¥17 million ($160,000), -66%Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (Toho) Week 8
    13 (10) ¥13 million ($120,000), -67%Team Batista: Kerberos's Final Portrait (Toho) Week 5

    >Frozen was overestimated last week, but it had 3D dubbed versions added this weekend which should result in a weekend increase. And it earned itself the Biggest 7th-Weekend of All-Time, too! The 7-week total should be about ¥12.3 billion ($120.2 million) now as it heads into one of the biggest weeks at the box-office - Golden Week.

    >Thermae Romae II bests its predecessor's opening by ~24%, and depending on the actual it has a chance at the best opening weekend for a live-action film since Resident Evil: Retribution back in Sept. 2012. It needs to beat The Eternal Zero's ¥542 million. It won't have anywhere near the stellar legs of its predecessor, though it can still achieve ¥4 billion+ ($40 million+) based on this figure. 

    >Detective Conan achieves the biggest-second weekend in the franchise after having the biggest-opening weekend in the franchise last weekend. There's a very high chance it will go on to become the highest-grossing film in the franchise as well, and could reach as high as ¥4 billion ($40 million).

    >The Amazing Spider-Man 2 is down ~36% from the opening of the first film. The drop-off is more than expected, but it's not really surprising given the lukewarm reception of the first film and the general backlash against live-action sequels lately. One positive is that Golden Weekmight allow it to exceed ¥2.5 billion ($25 million) and get reasonably close the original's ¥3.16 billion total. It has no chance of matching it though.

    >Partners the Movie 3 performed just as expected, which is fine. It will probably be the leggiest of the openers this weekend and will also be targeting a ¥2.5 billion ($25 million) total.


    Biggest Weekends (Top 10) [2001-]:
    01. ¥3.601 billion - 07/09-10/2005
    02. ¥3.423 billion - 07/19-20/2003
    03. ¥3.329 billion - 07/21-22/2007
    04. ¥3.314 billion - 07/22-23/2006
    05. ¥3.160 billion - 04/17-18/2010
    06. ¥3.048 billion - 07/21-22/2001
    07. ¥2.963 billion - 07/17-18/2010
    08. ¥2.960 billion - 07/18-19/2009
    09. ¥2.926 billion - 04/26-27/2014 (estimate)
    10. ¥2.917 billion - 07/10-11/2010

    The Amazing Spider-Man 2 disappointing likely cost the weekend ¥3 billion and the chance at the Top 5. Still, the second-biggest non-July weekend is very impressive.

    • Like 1
  9. South Korea TASM2 vs TASM OW

     

    TASM2 sunday

    Admissions: 513,865

    Gross: $4.26M

     

    5-day opening week (Wed-Sun)

    admissions: 1,660,104

    gross: $13.59

     

    3-day opening weekend (Fri-Sun)

    admissions: 1,294,053

    gross: $10.69

     

    The amazing spider-man comparison

     

    4 day opening week (Thur-Sun)

    admissions: 1,696,133

    Gross: $13M

     

    3 day opening weekend (Fri-Sun)

    Admissions: 1,423,978

    Gross: $10.9M

     

    TASM2 has slightly higher 5 day OW gross compared to TASM. 3 day weekend is on par. Admissions are a lot lower though meaning it's probably due to exchange rate fluctuations. 

    • Like 3
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