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Eric is Quiet

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Posts posted by Eric is Quiet

  1. 54 minutes ago, excel1 said:

    they're really not changing the release date, geez

    I mean you can't really change a release date this late in the game. They made their bed. They're gonna have to sleep in it.

     

    And honestly, while I'm sure the second weekend drop will be bad, I think it and Deadpool will co-exist. Important to remember this is the only big PG-13 tentpole for the rest of the summer. That goes a long way, as Planet of the Apes has shown.

  2. https://deadline.com/2024/06/bad-boys-ride-or-die-will-smith-the-watchers-box-office-1235960054/

     

    Quote

    Sony‘s Bad Boys: Ride or Die will hopefully hit $75M or more in its global outing this weekend, in a marketplace that has suffered from not only lackluster, but lack of product. Broken out that’s $40M+ in U.S. and Canada and $35M abroad in a 92% footprint.

     

    Presales for the R-rated fourthquel are behind that of the previous pre-Covid threequel, Bad Boys for Life, which hit a franchise opening high stateside of $62.5M 3-day and $101M worldwide. A few weeks ago domestic projections were at $50M domestic, but that simmered to $40M of late per several sources; Sony is officially calling the U.S. start at $30M+. Trepidation stems from the offbeat marketplace, which sources believe will pick up over Fathers Day with Disney/Pixar’s Inside Out 2 (currently at a $80M-$85M U.S./Canada projection).

     

     

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  3. Quorum Updates

    The Bikeriders T-16: 20.04% Awareness, 34.52% Interest

    A Quiet Place: Day One T-23: 40.73% Awareness, 51.05% Interest

    Despicable Me 4 T-28: 63.21% Awareness, 58% Interest

    Smile 2 T-135: 22.56% Awareness, 42.9% Interest

    Red One T-163: 21.14% Awareness, 39.97% Interest

     

    Bad Boys for Life T-2: 66.59% Awareness, 57.65% Interest

    Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M

    Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M

    Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M

    Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M

     

    The Watchers T-2: 30.97% Awareness, 45.89% Interest

    Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M

    Horror Awareness: 47% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M

    Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M

     

    MaXXXine T-30: 18.43% Awareness, 34.74% Interest

    T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

    Horror Awareness: 11% chance of 10M

    T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M

    Horror Interest: 33% chance of 10M

     

    Harold and the Purple Crayon T-58: 15.26% Awareness, 31.59% Interest

    T-60 Awareness: 29% chance of 10M

    Animation/Family Awareness: 33% chance of 10M

    T-60 Interest: 33% chance of 10M

    Animation/Family Interest: 40% chance of 10M

     

    Trap T-65: 23.67% Awareness, 46.5% Interest

    T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M

    Horror Awareness: 57% chance of 10M, 29% chance of 20M

    T-60 Interest: 62% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M

    Horror Interest: 68% chance of 10M, 32% chance of 20M

    • Like 6
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  4. @Blankments @WrathOfHan I know it's a little late in the weekend thread, but better late than never.

     

    17x:

    Inside Out 2: Wonka, The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, The Color Purple, Soul, Wish, Migration, Turning Red, Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, We Grown Now, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Wildcat, IF, The Garfield Movie, Young Woman and the Sea

     

    13x:

    Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: Napoleon, Godzilla Minus One, The Iron Claw, Ferrari, Poor Things, Anyone But You, The Boys in the Boat, Dune, Dune: Part Two, All of Us Strangers, The First Omen, Civil War, Alien

     

    11x:

    Dune: Part Two: Fast X, Oppenheimer, Oppenheimer Round 2, Haunted Mansion, Blue Beetle, The Nun 2, The Iron Claw, Mean Girls, Anyone But You, Lisa Frankenstein, 2024 Oscar-Nominated Short Films: Animation

    Furiosa: Ferrari, Drive-Away Dolls, Dune: Part Two, Dune: Part Two Round 2, Love Lies Bleeding, Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, Monkey Man, Civil War, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Alien, Challengers

     

    10x:

    The First Omen: Poor Things, The Book of Clarence, American Fiction, Lisa Frankenstein, Argylle, Drive-Away Dolls, All of Us Strangers, Dune Part Two Round 2, Love Lies Bleeding, Immaculate

    Challengers: No Hard Feelings, Joy Ride, Barbie, Mean Girls, American Fiction, Anyone But You, The Boys in the Boat, The Beekeeper, The First Omen, Wicked Little Letters

     

    9x:

    Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire: Wonka Round 2, The Color Purple, Poor Things, The Book of Clarence, American Fiction, The Boys in the Boat, The Beekeeper, Dune: Part Two, Kung Fu Panda 4

     

    8x:

    The Fall Guy: The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, The Iron Claw, Anyone But You, Dune, Argylle, Dune: Part Two, Monkey Man, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare

    The Garfield Movie: Soul, Wish, Migration, Turning Red, Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, We Grown Now

     

    7x:

    Arthur the King: The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, Napoleon, The Iron Claw, The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, All of Us Strangers, Kung Fu Panda 4

    Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire: Napoleon, The Book of Clarence, Anyone But You, The Boys in the Boat, Dune, Dune: Part Two, All of Us Strangers

    Abigail: The Book of Clarence, The Beekeeper, The Zone of Interest, Lisa Frankenstein, Immaculate, The First Omen, Monkey Man

    Despicable Me 4: Turning Red, Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, The Fall Guy, IF, The Garfield Movie

    Alien: Romulus: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, The First Omen, Late Night with the Devil, Alien, Abigail, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga

    Beetlejuice Beetlejuice: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, We Grown Now, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga, IF, The Garfield Movie, Young Woman and the Sea

     

    6x:

    Civil War: The Iron Claw, Ferrari, The Zone of Interest, Love Lies Bleeding, Ex Machina, Wicked Little Letters

    The Bikeriders: The Creator, Ferrari, The Beekeeper, Dune: Part Two Round 2, Abigail, The Fall Guy

    Twisters: Dune: Part Two Round 2, Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, Civil War, Challengers, The Fall Guy, Ezra

    The Wild Robot: Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, We Grown Now, Mars Express, Young Woman and the Sea

    Elio: Frozen, Beauty and the Beast, The Incredibles, Coco, The Lion King, Moana

     

    5x:

    Problemista: Past Lives, Talk to Me, The Zone of Interest, Robot Dreams, Perfect Days

    Kung Fu Panda 4: The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, Soul, Migration, Dune: Part Two Round 2

    IF: Mean Girls, Dune: Part Two, Kung Fu Panda 4, Dune: Part Two Round 2, Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire
     

     

    4x:

    Luca: The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, Wish, Migration

    The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: Argylle, Drive-Away Dolls, Dune: Part Two, Dune: Part Two Round 2

    The Strangers - Chapter 1: The First Omen, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Challengers, Abigail

    The Watchers: Dune: Part Two Round 2, The First Omen, Abigail, The Fall Guy

    Deadpool & Wolverine: Monkey Man, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, The Fall Guy

    White Bird: Thor: Love and Thunder, Are You There God? It's Me Margaret, The Little Mermaid, IF

     

    3x:

    Boy Kills World: The First Omen, Monkey Man, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare

    Back to Black: Lisa Frankenstein, Drive-Away Dolls, Challengers

    Daddio: Love Lies Bleeding, Immaculate, We Grown Now

    Longlegs: Dune: Part Two Round 2, Immaculate, Abigail

     

    2x:

    Spoiler

    The Teachers' Lounge: The Boy and the Heron, Perfect Days

    Imaginary: The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, Mean Girls

    The American Society of Magical Negroes: Lisa Frankenstein, Drive-Away Dolls

    Unsung Hero: Luca, Spider-Man

    I Saw the TV Glow: Love Lies Bleeding, Civil War

    Bad Boys: Ride or Die: Monkey Man, Civil War

    A Quiet Place: Day One: Alien, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga

    MaXXXine: Challengers, The Fall Guy

    Fly Me to the Moon: The Garfield Movie, Ezra

    Borderlands: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Wildcat

    My Penguin Friend: The Garfield Movie, Young Woman and the Sea

    The Crow: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga

    Speak No Evil: Alien, Abigail

    Wicked: Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga, IF

    Mufasa: The Lion King: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Young Woman and the Sea

     

    1x:

    Spoiler

    Wicked Little Letters: Perfect Days

    Love Lies Bleeding: The Iron Claw

    One Life: 2024 Oscar-Nominated Short Films: Animation, Wicked Little Letters

    Monkey Man: Argylle, Love Lies Bleeding

    Arcadian: Late Night with the Devil

    Tarot: Alien

    Not Another Church Movie: Challengers

    The Blue Angels: Challengers

    In a Violent Nature: Late Night with the Devil

    Treasure: Ezra

    Kinds of Kindness: Ezra

    The Fabulous Four: Ezra

    Harold and the Purple Crayon: The Garfield Movie

    Cuckoo: Immaculate

    Blink Twice: Challengers

    Transformers One: IF

    Joker: Folie a Deux: Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga

    The Unbreakable Boy: King Richard

     

  5. Quorum Updates

    Horizon: An American Saga Chapter 1 T-25: 21.61% Awareness, 36.11% Interest

    Longlegs T-39: 13.85% Awareness, 41.97% Interest

    Blink Twice T-81: 11.29% Awareness, 35.6% Interest

    Wolfs T-109: 16.37% Awareness, 40.41% Interest

    Gladiator 2 T-172: 28.87% Awareness, 46.14% Interest

    Captain America: Brave New World T-256: 48.64% Awareness, 56.13% Interest

     

    Bad Boys for Life T-4: 66.75% Awareness, 59.21% Interest

    Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M

    Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M

    Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M

    Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M

     

    The Watchers T-4: 29.63% Awareness, 45.72% Interest

    Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

    Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M

    Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M

     

    Inside Out 2 T-11: 59.3% Awareness, 52.83% Interest

    Final Awareness: 92% chance of 20M, 73% chance of 30M, 35% chance of 40M, 23% chance of 50M, 15% chance of 60M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M

    Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M

    Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M, 14% chance of 80M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M

    Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 86% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 50M, 43% chance of 90M, 29% chance of 100M

     

    Fly Me to the Moon T-39: 26.7% Awareness, 39.48% Interest

    T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

    Medium Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M

    T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M

    Medium Interest: 50% chance of 10M

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  6. On 5/31/2024 at 1:41 PM, Eric Lasagna said:

    No offense, but I think you really need a break from this place if this is really hurting your mental health this badly. Your happiness being this reliant on box office numbers wouldn't even be good if the business was booming, and, like I always tell people, it's not like you can't just talk about movies elsewhere on other movie forums that aren't as focused on box office numbers. It makes no sense to hang out around a place you hate.

    Still relevant Clay. You don’t seem very happy with box office stuff anymore, and I don’t think it’s good to spend time with a hobby that makes you miserable.

    • Like 1
  7. 2 hours ago, Spidey Freak said:

     

    I'll admit to not expecting Garfield to underwhelm like this. One, coz the family audience has been starved since KFP4 with IF being the only option that came out just a weekend prior. Secondly coz the IP is a merchandise juggernaut and its popularity had grown since the films from the 2000s

    I was pretty high on Garfield too, but in hindsight, I'd argue it's the opposite. The last major Garfield thing to premiere is The Garfield Show on Cartoon Network, and that premiered in 2009, and last aired in 2016. That's a long time without any new major Garfield media to make kids familiar and aware of the character. The character is now owned by Nickelodeon, and I don't think they've made a new cartoon or done anything else with him since they bought the rights outside of a few cameos in some cheaply-made Nicktoon crossover games. At least before the Bay Turtles movies came out, there was a super popular Nickelodeon series airing on Saturday mornings. If anything, from what I can gather, Nick's marketing machine has been way more focused on advertising and hyping up IF over Garfield (understandable!)

     

    The other cartoons and specials and movies might be on streaming, but it's hard to keep a franchise super relevant with modern generations when there's not a lot of prominence in the current pop culture landscape or a shiny new thing kids can claim as their own. Plus in 2004, even though Garfield and Friends was similarly off the air (though IIRC it was still airing reruns on Nick or Cartoon Network until 2001 or something), you could still rely on the character being relevant because you could still read the newest comic strip in your local newspaper. That idea is so foreign to today's kids that I don't even know if newspapers still put comics in their paper anymore. 

    • Like 2
  8. 5 minutes ago, dallas said:

    Wasn't Bad Boys 3 only tracking for 35-40M before it opened to 62M? I think this will crack 50M just fine.  

    That was also four years ago and pre-COVID, when walkups were expected. Nowadays, walkups are only something you're lucky to get and movies are more presales-driven than ever. So yeah, 50M is still very much in doubt, and it's honestly easier to just expect the worst and just...pretend that opening in the 40s is good for this.

    • Like 2
  9. 7 minutes ago, grim22 said:

    We should have realised that studios actually don't have any strategy when they refused to collaborate with one another and the theaters during Covid. If the studios had actually got together, discussed a way to have one big movie every 2 weeks with a smaller movie in between, they could have come out of the Covid lull stronger, theaters would have become the communal space again, and movies would have been saved from being looked at as "wait for streaming". The studios let the industry down during the recovery from Covid.

     

    Let it be known, that four years ago, I warned everybody what was going to happen. And like...I'm not wrong!

     

    On 3/12/2020 at 4:09 PM, Eric Lasagna said:

    Capitalism is gonna kill us faster than corona will

     

    • Like 2
  10. 1 minute ago, vafrow said:

     

    My eldest son is 11, and likes going to the movies. 

     

    Last year at this time, there was no shortage of films in May/June to take him to. GOTG3, Fast X, ATSV, Transformers.

     

    This year, there's nothing for that preteen/teenage boys, there's not much. Fall Guy aims older. Two over the hill cops on a last adventure isn't quite that appealing. 

     

    We saw POTA because it was the best option for him this period. And he hasn't seen any of the other Apes films.

     

    It's really slim pickings for a demographic that drives a lot of theatre business.

    Would love to know the strategy here where you only have a whopping four PG-13 action movies to choose from the entire summer (Fall Guy, Apes, Quiet Place, Twisters). And I'm stretching things here hard for Quiet Place. This is just frankly inexcusable for the summer time, even if you want to use the strike excuse. Even just adding in Ghostbusters some time in June or something would have made a world of difference.

    • Like 2
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