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Everything posted by Eric Quinn
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Knives Out Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 29 358 3,565 10.04% Comp 2.983x of Ready or Not 1 day before release (2.18M) 1.781x of Angel Has Fallen (2.67M) 1.404x of Ad Astra (2.11M) 1.729x of Rambo (2.24M) 2.069x of Ford v Ferrari (4.35M) 2.733x of Neighborhood (2.46M) As always, it really depends on tomorrow's sales, but every comp being over 2M is a great sign, and hopefully will translate to great results. -
🤔
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https://deadline.com/2019/11/frozen-2-knives-out-queen-slim-thanksgiving-box-office-1202795080/
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GODZILLA vs. KONG | March 31 2021 | Adam Wingard to direct
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Box Office Discussion
What if Clifford gets IMAX tho? 🤔 -
GODZILLA vs. KONG | March 31 2021 | Adam Wingard to direct
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Box Office Discussion
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GODZILLA vs. KONG | March 31 2021 | Adam Wingard to direct
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Box Office Discussion
I for one believe Toby Emmerich should get into witchcraft and resurrect Hitchcock back from the dead to do the reshoots. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
https://deadline.com/2019/11/frozen-2-knives-out-queen-slim-thanksgiving-box-office-1202795080/ -
GODZILLA vs. KONG | March 31 2021 | Adam Wingard to direct
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Box Office Discussion
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I'm assuming your kiddo's name is Lumpy, no?
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Moderation We're starting to get a touch off topic about reviews. While I understand it does relate to ticket sales and tracking here, it's starting to verge away from what this thread is all about. @Valonqar @lorddemaxus I recommend taking this conversation elsewhere -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The way Frozen and TROS are tracked were completely different. With Frozen, which is typical for all other openers, I am tracking at the exact same time. So about a week before Thursday previews started, I was comparing Frozen II's tickets 7 days before release compared to Maleficent or Lion King's tickets 7 days before release. The reason why Frozen declined from 12M to 8M was because as the days went on, 5 days before release, 3 days before release, the increase in tickets sold wasn't as strong nor as prominent as those other films. That means those comps are going to go down. Now TROS is done differently. Because the numbers are so high this far out in release compared to most other movies being tracked, the comps are numbers that are impossible to achieve. That's why I, and others, are comparing the final, Day 0 numbers of the movies being compared. Using It 2 as an example, TROS' sales 25 days before release are at 9,100 ticket. It 2's sales 25 days before release was at 507 tickets. By using the former as a numerator and the latter as a denominator, you get 17.949x that number. And using that multiple with It 2's 10.5M previews, you get 188.46M just for Thursday. Obviously that's impossible, so to compromise, I use It 2's final presales number, where it sold 3,464 tickets once previews started, and compare that to TROS' current numbers. This leads to 2.627x, and 27.58M. So, if TROS doesn't anything from now until December 19, then we can estimate the preview numbers would be at around 27.5M, give or take a few. Of course, that's not what happens. Because each day will have at least some sort of increase in tickets sold, unless hundreds of people randomly decide to get a refund, because the denominator of 3,464 is stagnant, there's going to be an increase every day. If just 100 tickets get sold today, then the comp will increase from 27.58M to 27.89M. So no, comps are not indicating 25-30M, and, at least for comps comparing final numbers, it won't drop, unless some freak accident occurs. Now, what does this actually mean? What's the number these indicate? I don't know. I'm sure once we get closer to release I'll have a better answer, but I have no clue. At the very least, it should do at least 30M, but exact numbers, or whether it will hit 40M or even 50M? No clue. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Seat Report T-25 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 1 165 9,100 30,741 29.60% Total Seats Sold Today: 144 Comp 4.784x of Once Upon’s final count (27.75M) 2.627x of It: Chapter Two (27.58M) 1.853x of Joker (24.65M) 13.056x of Maleficent (30.02M) 10.448x of Terminator (24.55M) 2.707x of Frozen II (23.01M) Adjusted Comp 0.777x of Lion King (17.86M) 3.685x of Hobbs & Shaw (21.38M) This was a great day. This is the highest # of tickets sold since the first week of presales, and is a nice way to end the week. Obviously the fandom retrospective clip helped, so I do expect a decline tomorrow, but it's still strong results either way. -
@The Panda nice job bro
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Weekend Prediction thread 10/11-10/13 Play the Derby
Eric Quinn replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
@mahnamahna Any reason why TROS would go from #1 to #11 once MLK rolls around? -
I talked about this before, but I feel like after the initial trailer, Beautiful Day's marketing campaign just stopped dead in its tracks. I'm not even talking about a second trailer, I'm also talking about ads and promos, because I didn't see much of them in the ramp up to release (although maybe I'm not looking in the right place). For comparison, I feel like Ford v Ferrari ads were popping up quite a bit and Knives Out ads especially are everywhere.
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What boxoffice runs are unbelievable in retrospect?
Eric Quinn replied to lilmac's topic in Classic Box Office Runs
The decade's almost over, and I feel like out of all the runs in the past couple years, American Sniper is probably the #1 for me. There's just nothing else like it. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 1 165 8,956 30,741 29.13% Total Seats Sold Today: 61 Comp 4.709x of Once Upon’s final count (27.31M) 2.585x of It: Chapter Two (27.15M) 1.824x of Joker (24.26M) 12.849x of Maleficent (29.55M) 10.282x of Terminator (24.16M) 2.665x of Frozen II (22.65M) Adjusted Comp 0.761x of Lion King (17.51M) 3.613x of Hobbs & Shaw (20.96M) -