Eric Quinn

I remember when the Frozen sequel was announced, I thought that there was better potential quality and worldbuilding-wise in a television series, similar to Aladdin. Haven't seen the movie yet, but reading some of the reviews for the movie makes me feel like it kind of proves my point tbh

It makes sense. Evans and Craig are both in internatnational-heavy franchises, and the others aren't.

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 1 165 8,895 30,741 28.94% Total Seats Sold Today: 46 Comp 4.677x of Once Upon’s final count (27.12M) 2.568x of It: Chapter Two (26.96M) 1.812x of Joker (24.09M) 12.762x of Maleficent (29.35M) 10.212x of Terminator (24M) 2.646x of Frozen II (22.49M) Adjusted Comp 0.756x of Lion King (17.39M) 3.588x of Hobbs & Shaw (20.81M) I dunno, your mileage may vary, but I feel like this is the first mediocre day for the movie in a long while, especially since this had a new Mando episode to help boost potential numbers. But it's still a good while away, and sometimes movies like these have their off day. We'll see if the following weeks are any better.

I'm so sorry to hear this. My deepest condolences

There's a lot more to this movie than just the opening. By opening it the week before Thanksgiving, schools are out after Sunday, meaning there's going to be good holds in the coming days, and three weeks all to itself before Jumanji. More promo dedicated to TROS helps Disney too. If they opened it on Wednesday, with Thanksgiving being super late, not only do they get a 50% drop on weekend two, but also likely another sizable drop with another major family film, and then another one once Star Wars hits the scene. And sure, now Jumanji is tracking to hit ~45M, but when Disney decided to move it up a week a year ago, when the last film did over 400M...yeah, it kind of makes sense why Disney would do this. Sure, your opening might not be as huge, but you're compensating with better legs with the Thanksgiving holiday.

Looking at the daily threads, I'm pretty sure that FvF drop is what most people expected

Also from Deadline

https://deadline.com/2019/11/frozen-2-opening-weekend-box-office-tom-hanks-mister-rogers-movie-21-bridges-1202792831/

Nah, it's usually around 4 EST

https://deadline.com/2019/11/michael-jackson-movie-bohemian-rhapsody-producer-john-logan-graham-king-1202792922/

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-dolittle-and-bad-boys-for-life-hope-to-anchor-a-strong-mlk-weekend-in-january/ I thought I was in the clear in tracking movies until Birds of Prey, but I guess I'm resigned to Dolittle at the moment. Le sigh Also lol at the Jumanji drop

While watching Endgame, I kept thinking to myself that Mark Ruffalo would lowkey be a perfect live-action Shrek.

lmao more studios should do this tbh

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-dolittle-and-bad-boys-for-life-hope-to-anchor-a-strong-mlk-weekend-in-january/ 8-Week Tracking and Forecasts Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor 11/27/2019 Knives Out $17,000,000 – $22,000,000 $18,500,000 3% $75,000,000 – $105,000,000 6% 3,300* Lionsgate 11/27/2019 Queen & Slim $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $7,500,000 $23,000,000 – $33,000,000 1,500* Universal 12/6/2019 PLAYMOBIL: The Movie $3,000,000 – $8,000,000 $4,500,000 $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 2,000 STX 12/13/2019 Black Christmas $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $13,000,000 $28,000,000 – $38,000,000 Universal 12/13/2019 Jumanji: The Next Level $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $50,000,000 -29% $225,000,000 – $275,000,000 Sony / Columbia 12/13/2019 Richard Jewell $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $13,000,000 $60,000,000 – $80,000,000 Warner Bros. 12/20/2019 Cats $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $14,000,000 $60,000,000 – $120,000,000 Universal 12/20/2019 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $185,000,000 – $225,000,000 $200,000,000 $550,000,000 – $750,000,000 Disney / Lucasfilm 12/20/2019 Bombshell (Wide Expansion) $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 Lionsgate 12/25/2019 Little Women (2019) $16,000,000 – $26,000,000 $20,000,000 $80,000,000 – $120,000,000 Sony / Columbia 12/25/2019 Spies in Disguise $13,000,000 – $23,000,000 $16,000,000 $70,000,000 – $110,000,000 Fox / Blue Sky 12/25/2019 Uncut Gems n/a A24 1/3/2020 The Grudge (2020) $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $14,000,000 $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 Sony / Columbia 1/10/2020 1917 (Wide) $18,000,000 – $23,000,000 $21,000,000 $75,000,000 – $100,000,000 Universal / DreamWorks 1/10/2020 The Informer n/a n/a n/a Aviron 1/10/2020 Just Mercy (Wide) $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $14,000,000 $50,000,000 – $70,000,000 Warner Bros. 1/10/2020 Like a Boss $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $17,000,000 $45,000,000 – $60,000,000 Paramount 1/10/2020 My Spy $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $7,500,000 $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 STX 1/10/2020 Underwater $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000 $12,000,000 – $25,000,000 Fox 1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $21,000,000 – $31,000,000 $25,000,000 NEW $55,000,000 – $75,000,000 NEW Sony / Columbia 1/17/2020 Dolittle $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $40,000,000 NEW $120,000,000 – $170,000,000 NEW Universal

Admittedly, I do take a grain of salt with these kinds of numbers this early. But that would be crazy good. It would even be slightly higher than Moana's OD/preview ratio

@CJohn You better not.

Tracking a while back had it with about 11M for the 5-Day

I think there's some sort of legal thing that doesn't allow Charlie to post any preview numbers IIRC

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-28 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 1 165 8,849 30,741 28.79% Total Seats Sold Today: 59 Comp 4.652x of Once Upon’s final count (26.98M) 2.555x of It: Chapter Two (26.82M) 1.802x of Joker (23.97M) 12.696x of Maleficent (29.20M) 10.160x of Terminator (23.87M) Adjusted Comp 0.752x of Lion King (17.30M) 3.570x of Hobbs & Shaw (20.71M)

You have some very confusing logic there.

Stuff from the Buzz & Tracking Thread for people to sink their teeth into.

Frozen II Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 114 3,361 21,428 15.69% Total Seats Sold Today: 1,012 Comp 14.938x of Abominable (9.71M) 10.185x of Addams Family (12.73M) 4.822x of Maleficent (11.09M) Adjusted Comp 0.362x of Lion King (8.33M) That Maleficent drop seems bad, but this is more or less a course-correction for a film that was on a lower playing field and had more walk-ups. And all in all, things do point to the 9-10M other people are pointing towards. I do hope it can get above 10M, but that's not a dealbreaker if other people's post Thursday data is to be believed.

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 25 237 3,464 6.84% Total Seats Sold Today: 106 Comp 0.125x of Once Upon (723K) 2.756x of Racing in Rain (1.24M) 0.386x of Downton Abbey (810K) 1.370x of Last Christmas (788K) 0.594x of Ford v Ferrari (1.25M) Guess this would indicate an opening in the mid-teens. Fine enough I suppose. I would say I'd be a touch disappointed, considering the initial hype, but then I'd be a hypocrite since I'm going to chastise CJohn all weekend, so....