Eric Quinn

Girl, just let it die. WB's not even giving it Thursday previews.

Nah but for real, for those who are curious, these are my current plans when it comes to long-form tracking: Jokah Maleficent Terminator Doctor Sleep Charlie's Angels Frozen II Jumanji TROS The bolded ones are in my "doing them no matter what" camp, for kind of obvious reasons. The stuff between Maleficent and Charlie's Angels I'm 75% sure I'm gonna do. My cutoff is whether the film is tracking for, or BOP's range indicates, a 40M+ debut is possible. But there might be a point where I'll be tracking too many movies at once, so I could scrap one of the two (oh how I miss Pulse). And if BOP's range for Sleep or Charlie isn't to my liking in two weeks (which isn't impossible), then I'll just scrap it. I know that may seem like a lot, but I like doing this kind of work. Keeps the brain active. And we need somebody to track the B-tier blockbusters

Black and Blue

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-terminator-dark-fate-plus-a-big-joker-update/ 8-Week Forecast Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor 9/13/2019 The Goldfinch $6,000,000 – $11,000,000 $8,000,000 -11% $25,000,000 -14% 2,500 Warner Bros. 9/13/2019 Hustlers $23,000,000 – $33,000,000 $28,500,000 6% $77,000,000 6% 3,100 STX 9/20/2019 Ad Astra $16,000,000 – $21,000,000 $18,000,000 -10% $58,500,000 -10% 3,500 Fox 9/20/2019 Downton Abbey $16,000,000 – $21,000,000 $18,000,000 20% n/a 3,000 Universal 9/20/2019 Rambo: Last Blood $20,000,000 – $25,000,000 $22,000,000 16% $53,000,000 16% 3,300 Lionsgate 9/27/2019 Abominable $20,000,000 – $25,000,000 $22,500,000 $80,000,000 7% Universal 10/4/2019 Joker $85,000,000 – $105,000,000 $103,000,000 27% $210,000,000 17% Warner Bros. 10/11/2019 The Addams Family (2019) $16,000,000 – $21,000,000 $18,000,000 $70,000,000 United Artists Releasing 10/11/2019 The Current War (Expansion) n/a n/a n/a 101 Studios 10/11/2019 Gemini Man $25,000,000 – $30,000,000 $28,000,000 $90,000,000 Paramount 10/11/2019 Jexi $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $9,000,000 $29,000,000 Lionsgate / CBS Films / Entertainment One 10/18/2019 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $37,000,000 $110,000,000 Disney 10/18/2019 Zombieland 2: Double Tap $24,000,000 – $34,000,000 $30,000,000 $77,000,000 Sony / Columbia 10/25/2019 Black and Blue $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $35,000,000 Sony / Screen Gems 10/25/2019 Countdown n/a n/a n/a STX 10/25/2019 The Last Full Measure n/a n/a n/a Roadside Attractions 11/1/2019 Motherless Brooklyn $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 n/a n/a Warner Bros. 11/1/2019 Terminator: Dark Fate $35,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000 NEW $85,000,000 NEW Paramount

I'm not sure if that automatically means It 2 would have done 54M if it came out in 2009.

Is it? I just put Aladdin and FFH in BOM's adjusting machine, and that translated to about 75M for the both of them.

Looking Glass is still one of the funniest box office grosses ever. Its final gross was lower than the first film's first two days. It took a whole week for Looking Glass to go over the first film's opening day. Mia Wasikazoo is a legend

It's actually a guy named mredman lol. He got banned ages ago, but he's still around for some reason

ok

@Kenny Your Winona-ing confuses me. First you give it to me for saying 90M is the likely number here, then you're giving it to filmlover for saying the film will be more backloaded, therefore giving this film a chance at 100M. So you're wtfing over me saying it will be more frontloaded than the first movie, but you're also wtfing over someone else saying it will be more backloaded than the first movie. At least try to be consistent dude.

It's alright I guess. Would probably indicate 90M or so.

I have no idea what this is, but that sounds like the greatest movie ever made.

I get people are busy and all, but I don't think the runtime will be that big of a deal to people, especially since, at least in my area, there are plenty of showtimes for people to choose from.

Is that...good? Bad? A metaphor of a perfect storm? I don't get it

Not a bad start so far. When Hobbs & Shaw got its early report, it was at about 4.5-5M, then exploded to 5.8M in the morning, due to the West Coast overindexing due to Hispanic demographics. Horror movies are huge with that demo, so we should see an increase, though probably not as big tomorrow

Alright, might as well make things official official. For Top 30 (or 25, but probably 30) of 2010, the process will go as follows: Submissions and FYC goes from May 7, 2020 (day Iron Man 2 came out) and ends on June 18, 2020 (day Toy Story 3 came out). Don't know when exactly I will start the countdown, but I plan on ending it on July 16 (day Inception, what will probably be #1, came out), so expect it to start a couple days beforehand.

LOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOL

@captainwondyful I know you have the eligible list up, but what about movies like Walk the Line or Bohemian Rhapsody? They may not technically be musicals in the sense of certain other films, or even other biopics like Rocketman, but those movies still feature multiple scenes of music and singing and dancing on stage. Do they count?

fyc

X-post from tracking thread. Things seem okay for Thursday, but we'll see if it'll cross 100M in the end.

Final It: Chapter Two Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 155 3,464 27,722 12.50% Total Showings Added Today: 5 Total Seats Added Today: 921 Total Seats Sold Today: 1,075 Comp 8.074x of Crawl on Preview Night (8.07M) 1.821x of Once Upon on Preview Night (10.56M) 5.321x of Scary Stories on Preview Night (12.4M) 4.934x of Good Boys on Preview Night (10.36M) Adjusted Comp 0.360x of The Lion King on Preview Night (8.27M) 1.707x of Hobbs & Shaw on Preview Night (9.9M) This was a great final day. Two out of the three prior comps increased, and adding in some new ones that were previously lolcomps, they still point to a preview in the double digits. Admittedly, Hobbs & Shaw declining quite a bit does have me a tad cautious, but it's only barely below 10M, and everyone else's comps point to way better results, so I'm still optimistic in this hitting at least 10M.

Can it really be a team if both sides only have one member? 🤔

- POST RESERVED FOR THE NEW NUMBERS THAT WILL SHOW UP OVER THE WEEKEND - Domestic 10.5M Previews 37.4M OD 33.6M Saturday 20.1M Sunday 91M OW (2nd best horror and September OW) Overseas Argentina: 1.4M Australia: 4.4M Brazil: 4.6M Germany: 7.1M Indonesia: 1.7M Italy: 5.5M Korea: 1.25M Mexico: 10.2M Russia: 8.8M South Korea: 3.2M Spain: 3.2M UK: 9.4M Overall: 94M Worldwide 185M WW Debut

YOU’LL FLOAT TOO It’s crazy to say this now, but in the current Hollywood landscape, horror has become one of the few genres that still puts butts into seats (and one of the few things the non-Disney studios are actually good at selling to people ). Only a few years ago, horror wasn’t seen as some integral genre to most movie studio. But now, thanks to powerful producers like Jason Blum, Brad Fuller, and James Wan, horror has become more and more popular with the masses, resulting in several event movies and brand new franchises and even cinematic universes created. And while these aforementioned figures have done great things in the past few years, the true horror master of this decade, at least when it comes to the box office, is Andy Muschetti and the almighty Stephen King, with 2017’s It. To this day, It’s $123.4M opening is still astonishing, because on paper, this had no reason to open as high as it did. Horror isn’t a 4-quad genre. Its R rating would force a good chunk of the audience out. There aren’t any big names to pull people in. Its early September release date is a dead zone. But through a brilliant marketing campaign, fantastic reviews, potent nostalgia, and an iconic story and monster, It managed to exceed all expectations, delivering a monster gross of over $700M worldwide, going above and beyond the call of duty. It showed that not only was horror popular with general audiences, but it was here to stay and ready to play with some of the big boys. And sure enough, this led to a renaissance of horror success, resulting in future blockbuster hits like A Quiet Place, The Nun, Halloween, and Us, just to name a few. But of course, none of them could topple the almighty clown. But the one thing that horror buffs all over the world have been dying to see was the big follow-up to the clown movie they know and love. After all, we still don’t know what happened to the kids in Derry when they got older (well okay, people who have read the book know what happen, but...who the hell actually reads books?). And now, Muschetti promises to give people these answers with the release of It: Chapter Two. With a new cast and new scares, but still that ever familiar Pennywise, people are beyond excited to see the conclusion to the epic horror story up on the big screen. Box office nerds are also excited that another studio that isn’t Disney actually make massive blockbuster money, and for this to kick off the fall and holiday movie season. Because once this drops, we’ll also get to see in the coming months Brad Pitt in space, the Crawley family, another scary clown, two Will Smiths, a classic Disney villain, some Terminators, redrum, an icy princess, a whodunnit mystery, Danny DeVito in The Rock’s body, a galaxy far, far away, and the beautiful and glorious return of Mister Timothee Chalamet. However, the one and final question is this: How big will It: Chapter Two be? Can the film float to new heights us box office enthusiasts have never seen before? Or could Mickey’s Law end up even hurting dear ol’ Pennywise, and lead to something real ugly? Or perhaps, and this is probably the most likely scenario, will it just be a strong, but nothing incredible grosser? As always, only time will tell. But before we get to the horror event of the season, here are the rules you need to follow. 1. ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS. NOT EVEN SPOILERS POSTED UNDER SPOILER TAGS. This rule is applied to all weekend threads, but it's especially true for this weekend. It: Chapter Two is one of the most anticipated movies of the last two years, and despite being based on a popular book, there are many who haven’t read the book, and there will definitely be new elements in the story people likely won’t want spoiled, so try to be courteous. You are free to give general opinions, but try to avoid going into any further detail. This applies to every other movie in theaters. So no Overcomer spoilers, no Hobbs & Shaw spoilers, no Angel Has Fallen spoilers, etc. If you do spoil something here, you will be banned. No exceptions. Don't be a dick. If you want to go into more detail, visit the Review That Movie thread right here! (thread coming soon) 2. KEEP YOUR AGENDA OUT OF HERE. We get it. Disney is the epitome of evil, are destroying cinema, and Bob Iger/Alan Horn/Kathleen Kennedy is the spawn of Satan. The Rise of Skywalker is gonna bomb because Ruin Johnson destroyed the franchise. James Cameron is the true box office king. Yadda yadda yadda. There's a time and place for these kinds of statements...actually, there isn't. But at the very least, it doesn't belong here. If you want to start these beefs related to all of these dumb children's movies, take it to the Fanboy Wars thread right here. If you do this kind of stuff here, you will be banned. No exceptions. So to all the people who want to go on about how “IT IS TRASH. DISNEY IS EVIL. STAR WARS IS DEAD.”, don’t even fucking try. Not gonna name names, but you know who you are. Don't be a dick. 3. NO CONSPIRACY THEORIES. It seems like every other week, we have some sort of conspiracy, usually involving critics being bribed or “biased” or out to get a studio or filmmaker or whatever. Yeah, no. We're not gonna have this stuff here. I don't care what evidence you have. These types of posts are going to derail the thread and are basically trolling. We'll allow maybe one or two posts about a potential discrepancy between audiences or critics, or you saying you didn't like the movie or that the crowd you were with weren't into the film, or you arguing there's potential for a bad second weekend drop. But if you start repeating yourself, or said posts are inflammatory, or you start promoting the idea that there's some sort of evil conspiracy going around...you will be banned. No exceptions. Again, not naming names, but you know who you are. Don't be a dick. 4. NO POLITICS. In threads like these, politics sometimes spring up for literally no reason. And straight up, politics just aren’t fun to talk about. So if you’re gonna say something about how It is the reason Trump won, or whatever...no. Don't be a dick. 5. THE REPORT AND IGNORE BUTTONS ARE YOUR FRIENDS. See a post that might be breaking the rules? DO NOT RESPOND TO IT. Just hit the Report button, give an explanation to the problem, including the context, then hit "Submit". The mods will determine the post and see if it's breaking the rules, and give out repercussions. See a poster that's consistently being annoying? Then just highlight their name, then click "Ignore User" on the pop-up. Also check the “Quotes” box just in case. It'll save lives and hopefully cause less of an uproar or infighting. While trolls are already bad, responding to them only makes it worse. So again...Don't be a dick. 6. IS OFF-TOPIC DISCUSSION OKAY? Well...yes and no. We want people to stick to box office numbers as best as they can. However, there are plenty of dead periods of time with no new numbers, and other discussions will surge. This is especially true in the early days of this thread, where there aren’t any numbers to talk about. And those discussions are okay to have, so long as the off topic discussions don't go overboard. So if there's no action, and you want to talk about The Jonas Brothers, or share Cats memes, or discuss the latest episode of America’s Got Talent, that's totally fine. Just remember to not talk about anything controversial and remember that when the numbers come to keep those discussions down to a minimum. Keep on doing that, and it becomes a chore for many who just want to know the numbers. We will have a post immediately after this one that will focus on just the numbers updated to the most recent estimates, but the phrase still applies. Don't. Be. A. Dick. And lastly... 7. DON'T BE A DICK. Threads lately have started to become a little too toxic. Whatever the reason may be, if you're not following any of these rules or are straight up not being nice, you're going to get the banhammer smashed onto you. Doing some concern trolling to a movie? Banned. Revealing that Pennywise kills Dumbledore? Banned. Trying to start arguments on controversial topics? Banned. Just posting something unpleasant or mean? Banned. If you're not sure if your post is nice, think to yourself this: "If I post this, will people get mad?" If so, then don't post it. And if you're unsure if you can handle being nice for one weekend, then, simply put, get out of here. You probably know what I'm gonna say next. TL;DR. No spoilers, no fanboy wars. Keep it nice, keep it neutral, don't attack others, and you'll be fine. If you don't do this stuff, you'll risk a threadban, a suspension, or even a permanent ban, so tread lightly. Outside of that, just have fun! And two last things... First of all, this thread will likely lean into being more domestic-focused. If you want to know about how It: Chapter Two is doing in other countries, look at the International section of the forums right here. The international thread solely dedicated to It: Chapter Two is also available right here. And second.... WE’RE HAVING A SALE...I think. The homie @Water Bottle will likely have Premium Accounts up for sale, seeing as how this is a big weekend and all. If you’re able to, just donating a little bit of money for a Premium Account not only gives you plenty of great perks, but also helps keep these forums and its servers afloat for another year. We have a lot of exciting weekends coming up in the future, and it would be great for those who can to help out this place. And now... WITHOUT FURTHER ADO LET’S DO THIS SHIT