Eric Quinn

How are we ever going to live?

Oh the dramatic irony of both movies side-by-side

Irishman about to get snubbed

@WrathOfHan but I thought she had no industry support

Well aware of that. Still not comfortable with an ableist winning, especially when he has yet to own up to his actions or apologize for it.

Anyway, I probably won't watch the Oscars tonight (I'm hanging out with some friends who aren't movie nerds), but I really hope Alfonso Cuaron doesn't win anything tonight. This was a short film he made with Autism Speaks. The organization is notorious for dehumanizing autistic people and viewing the disability as if it's a disease, while this video promotes autism as this evil being that destroys families and steals your loved ones from you (even worse is that Cuaron's son is autistic. Sad to see his father thinks his disability is evil). Y'all can be happy for a movie you like getting a trophy, but I ain't gonna be happy about seeing a man who thinks I destroy marriages for existing get rewarded. inb4 JB or whoever comes in with a whole "WHY IS EVERYBODY ACTING SO PC"

Reportedly, Fox (excluding Fox 2000 or Searchlight) will have their film line-up diminished, but I believe Fox is still developing their own projects, they just have to report to Alan Horn now. But I'm sure @TalismanRing has the better explanation.

Annapurna and MGM have a deal where they distribute their movies together, and Creed II was one of them.

Looking at that pamphlet, it seems...accurate? But there are some things that make me doubtful. It mentions Five Feet Apart and Wonder Park as having their presales dates on February 22nd. However, both movies had tickets sold beforehand. However, Wonder Park only sold around two before the 22nd, and it's only now slightly picked up (not a lot, but certainly more than the stray single ticket). Five Feet Apart meanwhile has had more tickets sold before the 22nd, but it's arguably more pre-sales driven than Wonder Park. And hey, sometimes theater chains will open up their presales earlier than others. The one thing that will make me feel like it's legit is if that 3/11 date for Dumbo lands. If it does, then I'll believe it. If not, then fake.

The premiere date is supposedly on March 4. The review embargo's on the fifth. Not sure why it's so late and far apart from the social media embargo. I guess the Oscars complicates things?

Well, thanks to @feasby007's sleuthing, I was able to actually find Black Panther comps...well, more specifically for its last 17 days of presales. But if we're looking at them at the same point in time (Day 17 to Day 13), it goes something like this... Day 17: BP: 11,748 CM: 2,548 Day 16: BP: 12,418 CM: 4,830 Day 15: BP: 12,748 CM: 3,554 Day 14: BP: 9,235 CM: 2,852 Day 13: BP: 6,598 CM: 2,244 0.329x of Black Panther from Day 16-Day 13 ...huh. Of course, it's important to remember some key differences: For starters, Black Panther had 39 days of presales, while Captain Marvel had 60 days. That's very important to keep in mind when tracking stuff like this, as Captain Marvel has already burnt off demand quicker and earlier. But even at Captain Marvel's highest day, it won't hasn't even crossed the 9,000 mark that Black Panther has already achieved. So if you think this will hit Black Panther numbers...better get a reality check. But as is, it'll probably still be fine. That .329x multiplier signifies a $79.6M when using BP's 4-Day, but it's still important to recognize Captain Marvel had presales so far out, and BP's data is still technically incomplete, and there was arguably a bit more of a rush for Panther than Marvel. As for me, I've been arguing O/U Hunger Games' opening for a long while, and I feel like this is where it'll likely end up. Things will be a lot clearer by the time release week occurs.

I know that you posted them earlier, but just PM them to me, and I'll add them in later.

So feasby's suggestion I finally considered, and I've decided that I'll have my data available free for the public to look at. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Q-1UceCRkSh3BraIvvm0XDJyoUJsyrq8oOufQvjP7Qk/edit#gid=1244698450 It's not as dense as akvalley's historical data, and it doesn't go back super far (I just don't have the time to look through akvalley's stuff, but I'll gladly let someone else do it for me and just PM what they found), but I feel like my layout's simpler to look at, and far less complicated. The first tab is what I usually post on weekdays, while the following tabs are what the upcoming bigly movies got each week. It's very rough right now, considering there's only about 6 or so movies being tracked, but I'm sure this will be helpful.

The big problem is that the major exhibitors hate Netflix and have refused to show their movies. Granted, Bird Box and maybe To All the Boys are the only movies I could see making major money in theaters, but that's still a hurdle Netflix is forced to face. But Netflix did recently join the MPAA, and maybe the relations between them and exhibitors could soften or change this year. I'm sure once The Irishman arrives, it'll find its way into a Regal or AMC. That's the one upcoming Netflix movie off the top of my head that could do well commercially

HTTYD 3 just has to reach a 3.2x multiplier to reach the second movie's total. Seems doable, almost a lock, unless Captain Marvel takes a massive dent in its third weekend.

I...I didn't know Jack Black had a YouTube channel

The Sixth Sense. Even knowing the twist, it's still utterly perfect and fantastic. I genuinely can't think of a thing wrong with it. Little Shop of Horrors is also amazing, and it's always a film that brings me joy. Finding Nemo and the first Spongebob movie also fall under the same umbrella, but those are clouded hard by nostalgia.

Perhaps you're allergic to volunteering. Maybe you should get some medication for that. (yes, I'm going to bury this joke into the ground. Gotta start my funniest user campaign somehow)

Are you allergic to volunteering?