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Everything posted by Eric the Clown
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The Garfield Movie | Sony | May 24, 2024
Eric the Clown replied to AMCTheater2000's topic in Box Office Discussion
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric the Clown replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates The Garfield Movie T-22: 47.67% Awareness, 49.72% Interest Sight T-22: 12.45% Awareness, 34.09% Interest Inside Out 2 T-43: 51.81% Awareness, 51.92% Interest Twisters T-78: 43.23% Awareness, 55.89% Interest Venom: The Last Dance T-176: 34.34% Awareness, 54.83% Interest Red One T-197: 21.46% Awareness, 40.77% Interest Tarot T-1: 31.85% Awareness, 46.1% Interest Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M Horror Awareness: 46% chance of 10M, 8% chance of 20M Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M Horror Interest: 44% chance of 10M, 11% chance of 20M The Fall Guy T-1: 48.77% Awareness, 51% Interest Final Awareness: 79% chance of 10M, 45% chance of 20M, 26% chance of 30M, 17% chance of 40M Tentpole Awareness: N/A Final Interest: 91% chance of 10M, 78% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 46% chance of 40M Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 40M Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes T-8: 64.05% Awareness, 57.39% Interest Final Awareness: 92% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 62% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 37% chance of 80M, 29% chance of 100M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 90% chance of 40M, 80% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 40% chance of 80M, 20% chance of 100M Final Interest: 46% chance of 40M, 33% chance of 50M, 24% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M, 15% chance of 80M, 12% chance of 90M, 9% chance of 100M Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 67% chance of 60M, 42% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 80M, 17% chance of 100M A Quiet Place: Day One T-57: 28.05% Awareness, 51.2% Interest T-60 Awareness: 59% chance of 10M, 30% chance of 20M, 11% chance of 30M, 8% chance of 40M Horror Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M, 8% chance of 40M T-60 Interest: 97% chance of 10M, 91% chance of 20M, 83% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 40M Horror Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 60% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40M -
2025 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
Eric the Clown replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
Hell, in general, this year looks like the one that will cause World War 3 on BOT. A Michael Jackson biopic, Passion of the Christ 2, Snow White with a non-white lead, three Marvel movies that all have bomb potential, a Superman movie trying to start a new shared universe. Like, there's going to be so much drama next year. It's gonna suck! -
2025 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
Eric the Clown replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
This is like Barbenheimer for the worst kinds of people. -
I mean I buy the IF tracking. Haven't paid attention to sales or whatever, but this fits well in the same vein as a lot of other movies that aren't based on big IP, but have major starpower to compensate. Fall Guy, Free Guy, Lost City, Bullet Train, Nope if you want to add in directors. The higher-end of those do about 90-120M. So in normal circumstances, it would have probably opened in the 30s. But then you have a market that hasn't gotten anything since March, and you get a solid 10M bump for its opening. It all makes sense in my opinion. Though I will say, and I'm sure it's hysterical to the kiddies, but when your trailer ends with a gummy bear farting, I do question its potential quality.
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Moderation If you continue this nonsense any further, you will leave me with no other choice but to give you a thread ban. And I know that's not what you want. I love you. I mean I've liked some of the songs she's done, but I don't hardcore stan her the way I do Beyonce or Gaga. But thanks for the suggestion mate
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Do they though? Like 80% of all the movies that are hits post-COVID are still NTCs designed to be part of bigger franchises that make shareholders happy. Even Dune qualifies here. I have a Paul Atreides action figure in my house. Toys and merch were part of its reason to exist. The only other hits this year have been Kung Fu Panda and Godzilla X Kong. And you know darn well what type of movie those are. Sorry mate, but the people just want the same old slop.