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Eric the Clown

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Everything posted by Eric the Clown

  1. Runtimes w/out credits and attachments for next week's releases: A Dog's Journey: 1:42. Pets 2 and Abominable are attached John Wick 3: 2:01. Anna and Angel Has Fallen are attached The Sun is Also a Star: 1:36. Attachments unknown (likely Shaft and Annabelle Comes Home)
  2. Because I know Fandango gon' fuck up somehow this weekend, might as well start this. Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday John Wick 3 1,076 1,134 1,355 1,178 11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days Aladdin 663 687 804 747 18 days 17 days 16 days 15 days Pets 2 Early 1,402 531 234 18 days 17 days 16 days Godzilla 16 180 426 376 25 days 24 days 23 days 22 days Secret Life of Pets 2 28 33 26 24 32 days 31 days 30 days 29 days Dark Phoenix 0 12 56 89 31 days 30 days 29 days Spider-Man FFH 13,647 3,356 1,669 1,073 57 days 56 days 55 days 54 days And here we go... John Wick Day 11-8 165% of Glass (66.6M) 170% of Alita (63.2M using the first 4 days of release) Day 18-8 (minus days 14-12) 13% of Captain Marvel (19.6M) Day 32-8 (minus days 21-19 and 14-12) 16% of Captain Marvel (24M) Day 39-8 (minus days 21-19 and 14-12) 15% of Captain Marvel (22.5M) With Glass and Alita, I finally have comps that actually work. Captain Marvel was fine, but was too big to be perfect. And using the first set of comps...yeah, this is doing wonderful. Aladdin Day 18-15 57% of Incredibles 2 (103.7M) 412% of Lego 2 (140.8M) 166% of Dragon 3 (91.4M) 126% of Dumbo (58.2M) 249% of Shazam (133.5M) Day 23-15 (minus days 21-19) 63% of Incredibles 2 (116.1M) 550% of Lego 2 (187.6M) 178% of Dragon 3 (97.7M) 145% of Shazam (77.7M) Day 25-15 (minus days 21-19) 74% of Incredibles 2 (135.9M) 211% of Dragon 3 (116.1M) Cumulative (minus days 21-19) 35% of Incredibles 2 (64.5M) 155% of Dragon 3 (85.6M) So generally speaking, almost all of the comps show great results for Aladdin, except Dumbo, which is arguably the best one to use. Hmm...next week might be the determining factor for this movie's potential. Pets 2 Early Access First 3 Days 16% of Dragon 3's Early Access shows (396K) 86% of Lego 2's Early Access shows (519K) Day 18-16 25% of Dragon 3's Early Access shows (632.7K) Yeesh. This is not looking too good. Even if you want to argue that this might not be presales-driven...you have to use Fandango in order to get tickets. But hey, maybe it'll pick up in the next few days as we get closer and closer. Godzilla Day 23-22 53% of Shazam (28.2M) Day 25-22 16% of Captain Marvel (24M) 136% of Us (97M) @Mulder Before you pronounce Doomsday, it's important to recognize that it's very early, and I don't have the best comps right now. John Wick seems like a perfect candidate, but there's no numbers to use yet, and I'm sure there are plenty of great comps available in 2018, but I don't have them at the moment. Either way, this seems like a decent enough start, though it will really depend on the boost it gets in the future. Pets Day 32-29 3% of Incredibles 2 (6.2M) 27% of Dragon 3 (14.9M) Finally, I have days I can work with. And...shockingly, I still can't work with these movies. The big issue is that both Incredibles and Dragon are likely way more pre-sales driven than something like Pets. We are getting Grinch, Hotel, and Lego comps shortly, all of which started pretty low in pre-sales, so at least the movie's got that going for it. Dark Phoenix Day 31-29 3% of Captain Marvel (5.1M) 83% of Us (59.1M) Like with Godzilla, it's very early and I don't have any good comps right now. So...shrug emoji. Far From Home First 4 Days 100.1% of Captain Marvel (153.5M) Tricky to look at, since this is opening on a Tuesday, but that seems like a good 6-day to reach for.
  3. Also from Deadline By comparison, Life of the Party did 700K last year on the same weekend. Although this one has even worse reviews, so I doubt it'll open better than that film
  4. To think I was still in elementary school, counting down the days until Night at the Museum 2 dropped.
  5. He's more of this forum's Beetlejuice. @ him enough times, and he magically appears
  6. He was also in the Tuesday thread. I managed to even get a few likes by making fun of him.
  7. https://variety.com/2019/film/news/jessica-chastain-andrew-garfield-tammy-faye-fox-searchlight-1203210367/
  8. My mom hates superhero movies though (even though she's barely seen any of them). My dad practically forced her to watch Wonder Woman. But hey, maybe What's Your Number? will play on TBS this Sunday.
  9. I'm happy that people are liking Big Willie by the way. He's the one thing from all the trailers and TV spots I genuinely love
  10. Only helps Endgame. Moms will be thirsty for a sexy Evans Mother's Day gift Mild Endgame spoilers btw
  11. Part A: 1. Will Pikachu Make more than $60M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Pikachu make more than $90M? 2000 No 3. Will Pikachu make more than $75M? 3000 No 4. Will Pikachu open in 1st place? 4000 No 5. Will Endgame overtake Avatar by the end of the weekend? 5000 No 6. Will The Hustle open to more than $14M? 1000 No 7. Will Poms open to more than $10M? 2000 No 8. Will the top 3 New Entries combine to more than $100? 3000 No 9. Will Long Shot drop more than 52%? 4000 Yes 10. Will Captain Marvel stay above Breakthrough? 5000 No 11. Will La Lorona's PTA stay above $950? 1000 Yes 12. Will Tolkien have a PTA above $3,250? 2000 Yes 13. Will Shazam increase more than 82% on Saturday? 3000 Yes 14. Will Endgame overtake Avatar WW by the end of the weekend? 4000 Yes 15. Will Pikachu do more or less Detective Work than the combined 5 Batmans that we have had to date? 5000 Probably less than The Great Mouse Detective. Part B: 1.What will Pikachu's OW be? 68M 2. What will Intruder's percentage drop be? -58% 3. What will Dumbo's PTA be? $535 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Avengers: Endgame 3. The Hustle 5. Poms 8. Tolkien 10. Breakthrough 12. The Curse of La Llorona
  12. This might be on par with the Peabo/Regina version. Surprising, since I thought the Grande/Legend Beauty and the Beast cover was awful.
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