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Everything posted by Eric the Clown
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Well...kinda. I ignore the first day since I had nothing to work with, but I do use Endgame's second day (what little there is). In hindsight, maybe it's useless, but I don't think it dramatically impacts things that much. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Movie/Time Monday Avengers: Endgame 26,081 11 days Detective Pikachu 350 25 days John Wick 3 1,361 32 days Secret Life of Pets 2 11 53 days Endgame Last 7 Days (17-11) 181% of Black Panther (366.1M) 184% of Infinity War (474.9M) 529% of Captain Marvel (811.1M) Day 22-11 230% of Infinity War (593M) 730% of Captain Marvel (1.1B) Cumulative 99% of Infinity War (255M) 296% of Captain Marvel (454.4M) Pikachu First 6 days 15% of Captain Marvel (23.3M) 634% of Dragon 3 (348.9M) 120% of Dumbo (55.2M) 130% of Shazam! (69.8M) Day 30-25 38% of Captain Marvel (58.3M) 433% of Dragon 3 (238.4M) Cumulative 288% of Dragon 3 (158.3M) Wick Day 39-32 20% of Captain Marvel (30.2M) -Fantastic for Avengers. It'll likely cross Infinity War's cumulative tomorrow, which is mad impressive for a movie that had fewer days of presales. -Still solid for Pikachu. The Dragon 3 comps are coming down to Earth more and more, but everything points to a solid gross, although 100M does seem a bit up in the air at the moment. Of course, we've still got a long way to go. -That Wick spike is great, even if it's only because of that promotional deal. This doing about 20% of Captain Marvel at the same point in time is a good starting point. -
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday A Quiet Place 2,177 4,003 10,665 Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181 Dog Days (Wed) 115 631 1,536 1,212 Crazy Rich Asians (Wed) 3,651 5,742 20,173 20,102 The Nun 2,082 5,938 13,806 28,881 Predator 1,295 2,476 4,545 13,063 Overlord 299 604 1,599 4,522 Ralph 2 (Wed) 7,005 12,131 19,183 15,559 Green Book (Wed) (1K expansion) 387 922 1,701 2,268 Mary Poppins (Wed) 7,713 9,137 16,304 Glass 3,106 3,978 6,478 17,810 Isn't It Romantic (Wed) 3,576 5,367 12,411 12,304 Breakthrough (Wed) 764 Penguins (Wed) 392 The Curse of La Llorona 896 Breakthrough Comps (All 5-Day): 664% of Dog Days (23.9M) 21% of Crazy Rich Asians (7.4M) 197% of Green Book (14.7M) 21% of Isn't It Romantic (4.4M) FWIW, the Dog Days comp would result in a slightly lower gross than Heaven is for Real, which came out on the same Easter weekend in 2014. Penguins (All 5-Day): 6% of Ralph 2 (4.7M) 5% of Mary Poppins Returns (1.6M) That Ralph # seems about right. La Llorona: 41% of A Quiet Place (20.7M) 136% of Hereditary (18.4M) 43% of The Nun (23.1M) 69% of The Predator (17M) 300% of Overlord (30.6M) 29% of Glass (11.6M) So yeah, basically O/U 20M. We'll see how the next few days fall. I'll look at Endgame/Pikachu/Wick in a bit. -
The Nun 2 | September 8, 2023
Eric the Clown replied to The Horror of Lucas Films's topic in Box Office Discussion
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It's an important and iconic landmark that represents France history and art. Also helps that a good majority of atheists care about people of different creeds.
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Thank goodness for that.
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This is harrowing to look at.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
WAIT I JUST FOUND THE REASON BEHIND THIS JUMP That's a steal right there lol. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Alright, let me take a quick look at Pulse real quick and add some stuff to my spreadsheet.... Uhh.....wow. -
Michael B. Jordan, your time has come!
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Movie/Time Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Avengers: Endgame 28,434 23,630 25,480 23,680 15,554 10,718 16,568 18 days 17 days 16 days 15 days 14 days 13 days 12 days Detective Pikachu 1,329 766 368 221 238 30 days 29 days 28 days 27 days 26 days John Wick 3 99 59 56 32 21 21 24 39 days 38 days 37 days 36 days 35 days 34 days 33 days Secret Life of Pets 2 1 84 28 20 19 58 days 57 days 56 days 55 days 54 days Avengers Day 17-12 178% of Black Panther (360.7M) Last 7 days (18-12) 208% of Infinity War (535.6M) 653% of Captain Marvel (1B) Day 22-12 248% of Infinity War (640.4M) 813% of Captain Marvel (1.2B) Cumulative 96% of Infinity War (246.6M) 288% of Captain Marvel (442.1M) Pikachu First 5 days 14% of Captain Marvel (21.4M) 765% of Dragon 3 (420.9M) 114% of Dumbo (52.7M) 136% of Shazam! (72.8M) Day 30-26 544% of Dragon 3 (299.4M) 45% of Captain Marvel (69.5M) Cumulative 318% of Dragon 3 (174.9M) So yeah, Avengers doing fantastic and Pokemon doing fine. Too tired to deal with Wick/Pets, but maybe in the next couple o weeks? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
@JB33 In all seriousness, I think the biggest factors for Endgame reaching 300M is how frontloaded the movie will be, as well as the massive jump from 257 to 300. Looking at the latter, Endgame would have to increase at ~42M to reach 300M on OW. When IW broke TFA's record, it was above it by about ~10M with about 3 years of ticket price inflation. When TFA broke JW, it was a jump of about ~39M...in only a few months, but we'll get to that. When Avengers broke DH2's record, it was a jump of about ~38M...in just under a year, but we'll get to that too. And then DH2 beat TDK's record with a jump of about ~11M after 3 years of ticket price inflation. So already, none of these movies jumped over 42M. And while some of these movies broke records after a few months, both cases, Avengers especially, had certain factors going for them. TFA obviously beat JW, because it was one of the most anticipated movies of all time. But the one thing Avengers had going for it was it being shiny and new compared to Potter. DH2 was super frontloaded on its OW (-53% drop on Saturday, even taking out midnight previews the movie still dropped from Saturday by quite a bit), because of the huge fan rush as the final movie, an "end of an era" if you will. Avengers didn't have that issue, because it was still seen as a "new thing" to people. Endgame's playing almost the exact same playbook as DH2 (minus the fact that Fantastic Beasts didn't come out two months later, but I digress), and while this won't be as frontloaded as DH2, I feel like it's almost certain it will be one of the most frontloaded MCU movies. If it follows Ant-Man 2's OW/OD ratio, the lowest of the bunch, it would need about 133.4M for its OD to reach that mark. That's about 14.3M more than TFA's OD. I guess that's not totally impossible with around 4 years of inflation, but it still seems like a big jump to me. Even TFA adjusted to 2018 inflation would only be 124.7M. It probably won't be as frontloaded as AMatW (although there's still a decent chance it could go below even that), but no matter what the multiplier, that OD really matters here. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric the Clown replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Not me. I don't want to set my expectations too high and disappoint myself. -
FX is pretty dang close.
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The Mandalorian | March 2023 for S3
Eric the Clown replied to Fullbuster's topic in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
I...found something...that may or not be hidden footage for...something. I can't say much, because it was low quality, but it looked very Rogue One-esque. Do with that what you will -
@Porthos