Definitely feels like Captain Marvel will at least be above Hunger Games, even if Lego and/or Dragon overperform. The last major event movie was Aquaman, which will be 3 months old, MCU's the biggest thing in pop culture right now, representation, riding the coattails of Endgame. And again, even if Lego or Dragon overperform, their high end is arguably around the 200M mark. Unless it's godawful, Captain Marvel's got everything going for it.