DAJK

I agree. However, I think it will do most of it's major business on OW, much like the other Potter films. I can see it hitting 240-260, but I don't think it'll cause too much of a problem for any films opening the weekend after. What are your OW predictions? Personally, I can see 105/240, which would be great.

If Big Hero 6 is as big as many people are predicting, I think Giants could continue that trend. Giants and ST3 hopefully wouldn't have too much audience overlap, but I don't think Paramount would be willing to take the risk. I would be surprised if they released ST3 on Nov 23, but I wouldn't quite place it in "impossible" yet. I don't think June 24 would work, even if TF5 doesn't release then. July 4th weekend will probably be huge, cutting into ST3's legs. The rest of July is pretty big as well with "Untitled Marvel (maybe Dr. Strange), Bourne, Ice Age (which will be huge OS), King Arthur (which may move), and Apes 3. I'm still going to stick with June 3, just because it seems like the less risky date. However Nov 23, Nov 11 are still (possible) but unlikely. July 22 would be preferable to June 24, but I just can't see it happening. I'll say no to May 20th however, because of the uncertainty of the slate (BvS vs Cap 3, Alice vs X-Men, and Dragon vs Dory)

June 3 seems the most likely to me. May is too crowded, and Nov 23 is the (supposed) release of Giants. Opening against Sausage Party wouldn't hurt ST3 too bad, plus it has 2 weeks until Finding Dory/HTTYD3, and in between, it'll have to face against Uncharted, which may still be big, but I don't think it'll scare Paramount away from the date. July as it stands is much much too crowded already, even though a lot of stuff will most likely move. There's also the fact that BvS, Alice and Dragon 3 will all probably move, and any of these dates is possible. Then again, Paramount may opt for the Nov 11 date, and force Sony to move Sinister Six...

215-230M OS

will this beat Jupiter Ascending on OW?

That seems realistic to me. I think Good Dino has more competition so it will have slightly less legs, but I'm guessing they both open in the 75 million range. I'll give a slight edge to Inside Out, just because it's a summer movie (even though I'm looking forward to Good Dino just a little bit more)

I thought the first act was painful, but eventually it started to pick up steam. The Rock was cool, the supporting cast was fine, the action was good, but the dialogue was just awful. I did like the whole "is Hercules really the son of Zeus?" and the twist with the Thracian's and all that. The very VERY end was a letdown, but overall it was a mildly fun, yet forgettable movie. C+/B-

I'm kind of expecting them to both get nominated... Which one will end up higher on OW?

I feel a little different on this... First, I wasn't really a big fan of the new Godzilla. And second, I kind of like the idea of Skull Island not being part of the Godzilla universe, as what happens in the movie doesn't have to be tied to what happened in Godzilla, and it isn't restricted to follow the continuity

Personally, I don't think Sinister Six will bomb. Disappoint? Probably. Bomb? Probably not. The Spider-Man brand is going to be pushed SO HARD in the marketing, that I think a decent OW is inevitable (65-70 million). However, if Spider-Man isn't featured in the film as much as in the marketing, or the reception is the same as ASM2, it will fizzle out to around 150M. However, if Sony can learn from their mistakes and the quality and reception is better, I think Sinister Six can crawl to 180M, much like ASM2 just barely crossed 200M.

Has Skull Island been confirmed to be part of the same universe as Godzilla? Is it possible that it could be part of Universal's "monster cinematic universe" starting with The Mummy in April 2016?

I really hope Skull Island hits 200M What are your predictions for Sinister 6?

I doubt TF4 will pass or match LEGO or Cap2. It was at sub 5 million this weekend, and it's still more than 20m away from reaching LEGO's DOM total. I still think it (might MIGHT) hit 250, but LEGO's total is out of the question in my opinion