https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/oscars-2018-early-predictions-nominations/
So 538 made predictions of who would win the major awards based on their nominations/wins for other awards.
Best Actress could go to either McDormand, Ronan, or Hawkins.
Best Actor, they think Oldman is getting it.
Best Supporting Actor could go to either Rockwell or Dafoe.
Best Supporting Actress could go to either Janney or Metcalf.
Best Director is likely del Toro, but could go to Nolan.
Best Picture is either "The Shape of Water" or "Three Billboards"