Infernus
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Posts posted by Infernus
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35 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:
Haha, hope it does well then because I want it to do well! =)
What about Deadpool on Feb 12th? That would be a major competition right? I mean in terms of film classification, it is for more mature audiences but the hype seems real, people are all waiting for a R rated Superhero movie! It will be a huge box office draw.It may be big but its target audience is completely different than KFP3. Regardless of whatever KFP3 or Deadpool make, there is no way deadpool will affect KFP3 in the slightest.
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2 hours ago, CJohn said:
FOX changed KFP3's release date in America because of China and now you guys are saying the movie is DOA in China? WTF?
No, no we are not saying its DOA. Its just that its release date is so bad that it only has 10 days before some mega movies attack along with 4-5 other big movies. So it will not be able to do the phenomenal, atleast-FF7-level numbers that it should have. Rather it would just do Uber-Blockbuster numbers - hopefully something above 300m. Still much more than such huge hits as JW and AOU but still short of expectations, only due to the release date.
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18 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
Cut Short makes the answer correct but you lose those points. I have one question left that is 4K ahead of the losing wuestion, so that's the max left to win for me.
I really don't think its supposed to work that way but I hope you are right.
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1. Fantastic Beasts and where to find Them
2. Finding Dory
3. KFP3
4. Civil War
5. BvS
6. X-Men Apocalypse
7. Suicide Squad
8. WarCraft
9. Dr. Strange
10. Assassin's Creed
11. Zootopia
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7 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:
If SW doesn't win this weekend, these will be the outcomes:
SOTM LOST:
Exxdee: -32k
Telemachos: -50k
ThatOneGuy: -80k
Jajang: -100k
MikeKaye42: -100k
sakskidz: -100k
LIFESAVER (Max amount possible left to win):
darkelf: 14k
grey ghost: 14k
MovieMan89: 16k
Chasmmi: 20k
Wrath: 20k
kaumanggi: 25k
Blankments: 30k
CUT SHORT (Max amount possible left to win):
WrathOfHan: 4k
Infernus: 32k
But I think we won't win any points for any correct answer if we (the users of cut short) get this wrong and will simply lose 28,000 points. And that too only if we get every other question correct (except the void/lifesaver one). So the best case scenario for both of us, if Revenant does win, is losing 28,000 points...
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Also apparently a few people lost the SOTM as soon as deadline was over. Exxdee, that one guy and MikeKay42 all answered Yes to the Q - will SW outgross titanic before the end of 2015. That one guy used cut short on it but unfortunately he also answered 1 film in the Q- how many films will outgross SW on Jan 15th w/e and then gave 3 weeks as his answer to the next question without using any lifeline in any of them. Both of them can not be correct together. Moreover he also answered all but one questions...
Avi/Sakskidz also made a similar mistake by answering no to whether SW will cross a Billion but Yes to whether it will cross 1.13B. He also didn't use any lifeline on either and he answered all the questions...
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I took a look at the Star Wars SOTM and boy, if Revenant does win the weekend that will be real bad news to everyone. Everybody but bcf26 gave an answer to the 28000 Q (how many w/e..), no body answered 0 and nobody used void. Most did use cut short or Lifesaver though but its still bad news. Lets hope that doesn't happen.
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25 minutes ago, filmlover said:
To be fair, the Christmas break always allows for multiple movies to flourish even when one movie is completely dominating over everything else.
Yeah but I am not commenting on whether or how Star Wars affected these films as a competition. Regardless of competition so many movies simply don't break out in such a short span anymore. Similarly so many movies don't underperform and flop, one after one, continuously and in such a short span. Whats more these two phases followed each other with no intermediate normal phase in between. While it can be said that a particularly dull period may have led to a particularly bustling period later on to average it out, that doesn't seem to be a rightful explanation here. There has to be an explanation for both phases and something that led from one phase to another. Star Wars effect can explain both the phases. Moreover what connected these phases or transited the marketplace from one to the other? Star Wars. Plus it is a big enough movie, if there ever was any, to have such an effect. All things thus seem to point in that direction in my opinion.
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On 1/7/2016 at 11:45 PM, JohnnY said:
wow you sure like dark stories lol
Too bad you didn't like Clannad, I find it hilarious, mainly the first season.
And I'm curious about Corpse Party, but I'm not sure if it's worth, I've always wanted to play the visual novel, but I'm afraid I'll get a lot of gratuitous violence. Although I'm sure the anime is less gory.
Yeah, me too. Quite Ironically, I started Clannad hoping to get a good & deeply emotional anime but it was the comedy that kept me on it for the first 10-12 episodes, I simply couldn't force myself to keep watching it for much longer though.
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A funny thing to notice is that since Star Wars a lot of films have over-performed - Chipmunks (compared to 90% predictions), Sisters, Daddy's Home, Big Short and now Revenant and The Forest, whereas every single film between The Martian and Star Wars under-performed or flopped. Looks like the theory that People were waiting and saving their time and money for Star Wars all along was indeed true. And since getting released it has helped all other films too by bringing so many people to the theaters.
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1 hour ago, incognitoo said:
Maybe they should get Leo as villain for VIII?
Gone With the Wind will finally pass its adjusted title then
in 2 Weeks 6 days
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11 hours ago, juni78ukr said:
Maybe even more. Looks like my projections were too conservative. 4 mln USD in 2 days even with those awful exchange rates.
Wow. Thats huge.
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Whoo Hoo! I always believed in Leo and Revenant. It will be interesting to see how far this gets. If it reaches 150m, that would be absolutely incredible.
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Anyways, for what its worth, @Jar Jar Chasmmi I wanted to change my 4th position in DAJK's SOTM from fifth wave to The finest hours. I realize I am past the deadline and I guess I can live with fifth wave as my choice too, but I just wanted to get this out of my system.
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22 minutes ago, Filmovie said:
12. Will Brooklyn, Carol or Spotlight have the best percentage change this weekend? 2000
I asnwered "NO" to this question, because I think "The Revenant" will have the best percentage change this Weekend. I've seen all of you chose a movie but do I miss something?
The question is pretty clear: it's not "Which among Brooklyn, Carol and Spotlight will have the best...."
Agreed. It seemed a clear yes or no question to me too.
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16 minutes ago, misafeco said:
Carol will still likely get BP, BA, BSA and screenplay nominations. No best director though.
Why? (sincere question since I put it too with all the others in my SOTM and have not been keeping up much with the various awards' updates)
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That 70,000 lead !! The lead between 1st and 2nd position is nearly the same as that between 2nd and 12th place. I suddenly really want to keep my 2nd place now.
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1 hour ago, Baumer Fett said:
We came close and I guess it ain't over till it's over, but unless this gets a major oscar push, it won't surpass 127 mill. We came close, but it looks like it might end with about 110 mill.
Yeah, Star Wars sadly ended up slowing Creed's pace.
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Creed's sunday dropped quite a bit.
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But what about the actuals for previous week's updated estimates?
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9 hours ago, No Prisoners said:
That's tough to calculate. I don't think it would've maintained the pace of the market and been over 1b this year. It's possible it drew a portion of non movie goers at the time that are now steadily part of the BO. I have to assume it would've beat FF7 handily. 600-800 maybe 2 years from now
No, no. I am talking about a purely mathematical adjustment. Of course all the factors that made Avatar such a huge success wouldn't get exactly replicated and few things have changed too and that is why I am considering a total one third of Avatar's total for the sequel. If I was talking about a figure adjusted with assumptions of how Avatar might have played differently in the future wouldn't I consider a total closer to that figure than a total nearly one third of that figure for Avatar 2? So, i ask again, what would avatar's gross adjust to, through a purely mathematical calculation, by Dec 2017-2018 taking 25% increases in the hollywood market in the country for the next two years. Also, don't forget to adjust using the local currency and then using today's ER to convert it into dollars (ER may get better or worse in the next two years but we can't say for sure so lets just take today's ER). I used to make the mistake of not doing that which mostly led me to a wrong, and usually reduced, figure.
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Chasmmi's Winter Game - Grey Ghost is the WINNER!
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted
Btw isn't Q13 No?