Infernus

December 17, 2015

On 12/15/2015, 10:08:09, Jessie said:

Ignore 'even'. Shrek is a comedic masterpiece and ties with nemo for me.

Shrek is awesome but its not at all Nemo's equal.

December 16, 2015

1. Evolution's Worldwide total ($98.37M) vs Force Awakens' highest single day gross.

2. Evolution's Domestic total ($38.34M) vs Deadpool's Opening Weekend

3. Evolution Opening Weekend (13.48M) vs Hunger Games' 2016 gross

4. Evolution's Opening Day ($4.43M) vs Revenant and Hateful 8's combined total gross by the end of the year.

5. Evolution's UK gross ($10.79M) vs Point Break's Opening Weekend
6. Evolution's Production Budget ($80M) vs Chipmunks' total gross

7. Evolution's foreign total ($60.03M) vs 13 Hours: Soldiers of Benzhagi total gross

8. Evolution's Opening week total ($18.9M) vs Kung Fu Panda 3's Opening Day

9. Evolution's German gross ($7.08M) vs Sisters' Opening Weekend

Correct answers are worth 4000 points

Incorrect answers lose 3000 points*

* However! Get 3 or more questions incorrect and you lose 30,000 points regardless of how many you got correct and you gain no points for your correct answers.

If you answer 100% of the questions you chose correctly you win the following bonus:

1/1 1000 bonus

2/2 2000 bonus

3/3 3000 bonus

4/4 5000 bonus

5/5 7000 bonus

6/6 9000 bonus

7/7 12000 bonus

8/8 18000 bonus

9/9 24000 bonus (so 60k total score is possible for this question)

December 16, 2015

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

For SOTM 5, presales have crossed 100M and could reach 120+: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/star-wars-force-awakens-advance-849156

Mockingjay was the highest everyone went, and considering it only needs 2M more to pass that I don't see how it won't happen. Everyone who answered is a winner!

Chasmmi: +20,000

darkelf: +20,000

damienroc: +20,000

Jajang: +20,000

kayumanggi: +20,000

MikeKaye42: +20,000

MovieMan89: +20,000

sakskidz: +20,000

Telemachos: +20,000

Blankments: +15,000

misafeco: +10,000

WrathOfHan: +10,000

grey ghost: +7,000

DAJK: +5,000

Filmovie: +5,000

Exxdee: +5,000

glassfairy: +5,000

Infernus: +5,000

ThatOneGuy: +5,000

Wrath: +5,000

Well, its still not confirmed. They are saying thats what their 'sources' tell them. It may still be an exaggerated number due to the hype train. I would wait till disney reports a figure themselves.

December 14, 2015

So... Here goes: As always all questions refer to the top 12 and are worth 1000 point UOS

1. Will Star Wars' OW exceed $150M? Yes

2. Will Star Wars' OW exceed $200M? 2000 Yes

3. Will Star Wars' OW exceed $250M? 3000 No

4. Will Star Wars' OW exceed $300M? NO

5. Will Star Wars' Opening Day (including previews) exceed $100M? 2000 Yes

6. Will Star Wars' Opening Day (including previews) exceed 33.33% of it's OW total? Yes

7. Will Alvin open to more than $15M? Yes

8. Will Alvin's OW be at least 5% of Star Wars' OW? 2000 Yes

9. Will Sisters Open in the top 3? Yes

10. Will Alvin and Sisters' OW combine to more than $25M? Yes

11. Will Star Wars' OW exceed 85% of the entire weekend gross of all films? no

12. Will Star Wars' OW exceed 90% of the entire weekend gross of all films? 3000 No

13. Will Heart of the Sea drop less than 65%? Yes

14. Will Hunger Games stay in the top 5?2000 Yes

15. Will Creed have the best drop in the top 10 (excluding anything that may be expanding)? No

16. Will Extraction have a PTA above $2500? No

17. Will The Good Dinosaur have a Friday Increase of at least 190% no

18. Will Star Wars' Thursday Previews total exceed the total gross of 2nd to 5th places' 3 day weekend? 3000 Yes

19. Will Chipmunks have a better Sunday drop than Peanuts? Yes

20. Will The Night Before drop less than 35% this weekend? No

21. Name any one film in the top 15 that drops more than 70% (or state none)? 3000 None

22. Will The Good Dinosaur cross $100M? 2000 No

23. Will Mojin: The Lost Legend enter in the top 18? No

24. Will Peanuts have a weekend above $1M? No

25. Will Star Wars cross $400M WW by the end of Sunday? Yes

26. Will Star Wars cross $500M WW by the end of Sunday? 3000 Yes

27. Will Brooklyn end the weekend with 400k of Spotlight? No

28. Will Frankenstein have a weekend below 125k? 2000 Yes

29. Name the film that finishes 4th this weekend? Good Dinosaur

30. Were there enough Star Wars questions in this week's section? Not at all

Bonuses

20/30 - 2000

21/30 - 3000

22/30 - 4000

23/30 - 5000

24/30 - 6000

25/30 - 8000

26/30 - 10000

27/30 - 12000

28/30 - 15000

29/30 - 20000

30/30 - 25000

Part 2

1. Fine! What will the OW actually be? 234.5m

2. What will Alvin and Sisters' combined OW be? 28.18m

3. What will Hunger Games total gross be by sunday? 254.9

Part 3.

1. Star Wars

3. Sisters

5. Hunger Games

8. Krampus

10. Spectre

12. Spotlight

3/6 - 2000

4/6 - 4000

5/6 - 6000

6/6 - 10000

December 13, 2015

11 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Interesting week. Depending on actuals I could get closest on as many as 4 questions, but then I kinda bombed on the rest. I don't think most people realized the theater counts for Macbeth and Legend this week based on the answers, but worked out well for me.

Yeah, same here I think I nailed Creed's Friday and MJ2's Sunday too. And seems like I am second closest on gross difference between coopers and secret in their eyes and on diff in gross between Martian and 10th place.

Still it looks like the guys who usually win the Part 2's - Filmovie, darkelf, glassfairy etc. - will be the winners here too.

December 13, 2015

OW - 214m

Dom - 674m

WW - 1.854B

December 13, 2015

Man, not a single placement right for me... But its all really close. With even some little, but favourable, ups and downs I may get 4 or even all 5.

December 13, 2015

43 minutes ago, marveldcfox said:

Is it just me or there isn't as much buzz or excitement for Star Wars in India?

The last star wars film didn't do all that well. Many inferior Hollywood films that released in 2005 beat it in India.

Yeah there isn't. Its not at all a big thing here. Its not even a well-known thing. There's not a single person I have ever met here who has seen any part of Star Wars or knows what a big deal it is supposed to be, no buddy and no cousin, atleast not before I myself tell them. Combine that with it releasing just a week after two super-hyped films and you got a film no one cares about.

December 13, 2015

43 minutes ago, Ash said:

I said reception will be a good factor for Civil war. If we talk about reception DKT has higher reception than any other marvel movies here its a whole another level.
"If anything, I feel certain Civil War will have much better reception than BvS."
We'll see.

You know as well as I do of the difference betweem DKT and DCU. That was Nolan. This has all different, and inferior, minds behind it. Whereas Civil War has the same essential creative team and Studio behind it as the previous well received marvel movies.

December 13, 2015

20 minutes ago, LexJoker said:

Can anyone post the final total of Bahubali, and with breakdown by the different language versions?

I don''t know the exact figure but I read somewhere a while ago that it ended up as the highest grossing film, domestically.

December 13, 2015

33 minutes ago, Ash said:

Fans directly co-relates to BO yes i agree. Then Avengers age of Ultron did less then avengers what is that?
But reception,no competition matters most too. A well received film will do great numbers even the ones who are not in hollywood films will be checking those one.
I think both will be doing great numbers but BvS will have the edge and it's the first to come out more advantage to it. Marvel will face Fatigue issue here.
Speaking of fans no, i'm not going there. Lol

Age of Ultron did not do less than Avengers. Who says it made less? I don't know about its final gross here but it made 7 million something on OW while Avengers 1 made 12m total. It must have had a very bad multiplier to get below avengers 1. Do you have any source for age of ultron's final gross?

And as for reception affecting movies - you do realize you are talking about India, right? Its all about the OW here. And the people are similar to chinese in their tastes. They simply need some good booms and bangs and one-liners and visually beautiful action. And anyways you seem to speak like you already know BvS will have better reception than Civil War when history points heavily in the other direction. Even if reception did matter the DCU universe has always had really bad reception compared to marvel. And we predict box office based on historical data and existing facts. Even Ultron is considered better than Man Of Steel. And Cap America 2, Iron Man 3 and GotG all had really good reception. If anything, I feel certain Civil War will have much better reception than BvS. So, going by your own point, that gives a greater advantage and an 'edge' to Civil War.

December 13, 2015

10 minutes ago, Ash said:

First i never mentioned About POPULARITY in the first post just the BO term.
DKT did more impact than what you think. Not only ppl who are into in Western movies,t.v shows are well known,Teens,kids would go fucking nuts for Batman. Super heroes became more popular than ever now in India. Spidey has just a cameo role, they can drag ppl to weekend but after the reviews comes in it'll effect the movie for sure. If he hhas a major i would definitely say this has a more than a fair chance with BvS beating it.
Avengers did Good numbers in India but Ultron did just barely above Man of steel. And if we talk about Winter Soldier it did less but the reception was pretty good so it carries forward to this giving great chance to do good BO numbers.

31 minutes ago, Infernus said:

And when did I say that you said this is greater or that or this or that has more fans . You said BvS will be the biggest hollywood movie, I think it'll be Civil War. Therefore I only mentioned the fact that there are more fans because that directly co-relates to box office. Wasn't that clear?

December 13, 2015

29 minutes ago, Ash said:

They don't need to know all of DCU .. LOL
More marvel fans ? Come on man more than Half of the country loves Batman but the popular super-hero always remains spidey.
Batman alone can pull this movie to great gross add superman and wonder woman. There comes records.
Civil war will do very good numbers too & i never mentioned about which is great and has more fans DC or MCU.

Iron man is much bigger than Batman now. The only batman fans are those who are quite into western things - western movies, T.V Shows, comics etc and thus know the impact or greatness of The Dark Knight Trilogy. Your average guy (and I am talking about those who go see hollywood movies now and then with heavy marketing and of visually appealing blockbuster genres and not because they really follow hollywood movies or anything) hasn't even watched it. On the other hand every one in their twenties, teens or even pre-teens (my younger brothers and his friends always keep talking about marvel and avengers and infinity war and Thanos and he is in fifth grade!), who occasionally does watch hollywood movies, is totally into avengers and Marvel now thanks to all the movies its releasing every year, constantly generating more fans. The hollywood market here is still all franchise-inclined. Batman vs Superman will make tons simply due to the famousness of Batman and Superman but its not gonna challenge Civil War, with Iron Man and Cap and Spidey (who they are gonna market well here, and everywhere OS, even if he just has a cameo) and lots of other heroes.

And when did I say that you said this is greater or that or this or that has more fans . You said BvS will be the biggest hollywood movie, I think it'll be Civil War. Therefore I only mentioned the fact that there are more fans because that directly co-relates to box office. Wasn't that clear?

And of course they don't need to know all of DCU. I was just saying that there are more fans of marvel than of Batman and Superman, in my own out-of-habit bracket-sy convoluted manner.

December 13, 2015

15 hours ago, Ash said:

Star wars releasing on 25TH.
It'll do good numbers. But the biggest HOLLYWOOD movie to make or break records in INDIA gonna be BATMANvSUPERMAN

Its gonna be Civil War. There are many more Marvel fans than that of DC (that is, for most who aren't particularly clear of what DCU is or constitutes or the difference between it and Marvel, batman and superman).

December 13, 2015

3 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

There for sure is. The movie is way too slight to be considered a safe bet in any big category. While it hits the mark in each individual aspect of film-making, it is such a quaint movie that really does nothing to separate itself from countless other period piece romantic dramas. I'm not sure what will make it stand out enough to get nominated, except a weak field. If TFA is enough of a phenomenon and the Academy hops on board, Brooklyn would be the one I see getting axed. Or if they do decide IO deserves a nom, Brooklyn would be the one I see getting axed. Or if The Big Short picks up enough momentum for a nom, and etc. Though at the moment I feel like only 6 movies are very safe bets (though amazingly Max is quickly becoming a 7th), so there is still room I suppose.

What are those six movies that you think are above brookyln in their chances for....I guess you were talking about best picture? Anyways what I stated as absolute lock for it was best actress. Tell me how it could not be nominated for it for what do you think would take its place?

December 12, 2015

1 hour ago, Telemachos said:

I think there's a chance something like BROOKLYN gets shut out.

Why would it be shut out? It has everything going for it - rave reviews from everywhere, its going good at the box-office so not an under-the-radar thing, and it has gotten noms at all major awards, infact not just noms - ronan has even won or was the runner-up at most awards and she is definitely just behind larson in the oscars race, according to every single awards pundit. In fact only the Blanchett-Ronan-Larson trio seems to be confirmed in the best actress field with many in contention for 4th and 5th spot. I know someone may throw a 'lego' at me but c'mon how often and to how many movies does that happen? And unlike it this is definitely the type the academy likes to give awards to.

Although even if you don't agree, it still doesn't fault my point. Even giving just the other three would have won you a lot of points. Heck, even just giving spotlight - picture and director, would give you 30,000 - six times of what abstaining would give.

December 12, 2015

4 minutes ago, damienroc said:

Now? Sure, why not. Last night when I had fifteen minutes until the deadline to decide if I wanted to change from the abstain? Not a chance in hell.

Oh. Well, I guess I can understand that.

December 12, 2015

1 minute ago, damienroc said:

1) I'm busy with other things to look at all the math on it

2) I don't believe in locks

Well your choice. But still there was no math in it. Spotlight alone from the list I gave was getting 7 times the points abstaining was giving. Maths would be required if it was really close and one has to think of all possible scenarios and odds and stuff to check how much they might lose . Here its clear you are far better off without abstaining.

And c'mon you won't consider even this a lock? -

Spotlight

Carol

Brooklyn

Room

You don't think all these four are definitely getting into atleast one thing?

December 12, 2015

59 minutes ago, damienroc said:

There's a reason I abstained.

I myself don't really see why anyone would have abstained..

I mean you are winning just 5000 by abstaining. And yet if you played super-safe and only went in with the absolute locks your predict would be something like this -

Spotlight (picture, director, original screenplay)

Carol (Picture, actress)

Brooklyn - (actress)

Room - (actress)

Bridge of Spies (supporting actor)

Danish Girl - (makeup)

An adapted screenplay for carol, brooklyn, room and an original for BoS and an actor for danish girl are near surefires too but I am just stating the absolute locks.

And you would have won around 36+27+8+8+6+2 = 87,000 !

You could also have left it unspecified for brooklyn, room, bridge of spies and danish girl and that may have won you even more (the first three are 90% all getting a best pic nom too).

You could have also given Trumbo, Big Short and Creed (all unspecified) and may have won even more (85%+ chances they will get nominated into atleast one of the given categories).

Why settle for 5000?

December 12, 2015

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Yeah, gotta have all the ones we specifically stated correct on that film. And if I understand that last bit right that means you can't get point for all the things its nominated in if you went specific, just the categories you chose?

Yes, that was the very question I asked to which he gave that answer.

December 12, 2015

6 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

What? That's not how I read the points working at all. It's supposed to be if something you specifically state doesn't get nominated then you lose all those points (i.e. I put Best Pic for Spotlight and if it doesn't get that I lose on all the Spotlight points). You don't have to guess every single thing it will get a nom for though. That would be practically impossible to predict right. Unless I read it wrong, in which case tons of people are screwed.

Yeah we don't have to predict every single thing. Only requirement is that whatever we do predict must happen. As chasmmi said in a reply to a question of mine in that thread itself - " If you choose to be specific on categories, then you reduce that films influence on you to just those categories and no others "

I think that clears it all.

December 11, 2015

Well, their's still no clarity over who's getting into supporting and who's geting into lead categories for the oscars. So I did and wrote somehing about it my main post in that thread.

I thought I should post it here too, so here it is -

wherever there was ambiguity, I mentioned it like this -

Danish Girl : Best Actor, Best Supporting Actress (or lead actress if vikander gets into the lead category)

P.S I really hope you'd consider the supporting/non-supporting thing. There is still not a clear line between what the academy would consider what, so some I predicted into supporting category may get nominated in the lead category. I just hope you'd consider that since that could result in really REally big losses here for no particular fault of mine. Especially since I specifically, particularly mentioned the ones that I think may get here-there, beforehand. If I get wrong in this manner for any other movie or category you may definitely cut points. This also means that you may only consider those if and only if the particular actors I mentioned get nominated (or if they don't in either this or lead category) and otherwise just ignore that particular category even if some other actor from the movie gets nominated for the same category. So i am actually specifically predicting the very actors to get nominated in return for just your consideration of the ambiguity that isn't even my fault.

P.P.S, although if the actor I say may get nominated into either lead or supporting category for a particular film gets nominated into either, I hope that would mean I would still get points for it. And lose points only if they don't get into either.

So what do you think chas?

December 10, 2015

If multiple predictors make the same prediction they will all score the same bonus and extra places will be added to the end.

Other than this everything is as normal, same deadline, same reference to top 12 UOS and so on.

1. What will Heart of the Sea gross OW? 14.815m

2. What will Legend gross this weekend? .338m

3. What will Krampus' percentage drop be? 44%

4. What will Creed gross on Friday? 2.95

5. What will Peanuts' Friday increase be? 216%

6. What will Macbeth's PTA be this weekend? 2920$

7. What will be the difference in weekend gross between Secret in Their Eyes and Love the Coopers? .1286m

8. What will Spectre's total be by end of Sunday? 189.799m

9. What will Hunger Games gross on Sunday? 2.93m

10. How many positions will separate Spotlight and Victor Frankenstein? 12

11. What will be the gross difference between Good Dinosaur's Friday and Saturday? 2.267m

12. What will Night Before's percentage drop be this weekend? -34%

13. What will Trumbo's Sunday percentage drop be? -41.1% (from saturday right?)

14. How much will The Martian's gross differ from the film that finishes the weekend in 10th place? .721m

15. What will Jem and the Holograms gross this weekend? (I want to keep tradition of having the one question everyone gets right ) 0

Placements:

2. Mockingjay

4. Good Dinosaur

7. Spectre

9. Peanuts

12. Secret in their eyes

3/5 2000

4/5 5000

5/5 10000

December 7, 2015

15 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

So far the reviews of her performances aren't uniformly glowing enough to over come mediocre reviews and it's a strong field for best actress for a change, so I'd hope not. There's no need to bend over to nominate JLaw because she gave a solid performance in a mediocre movie. Theron and Mara should be above her. If Phoenix gets some Best Foreign Film buzz then hopefully Nina Hoss will as well though I doubt it There's also Maggie Smith (In The Van), Emily Blunt (Sicaro), Blythe Danner.

Also Carey Mulligan (Suffragete) and Charlotte Rampling (45 years).

December 7, 2015

21 minutes ago, Jessie said:

Its just he impression ive got from all the reviews as a whole. Beautiful cinematography, great acting, brutally violent, average revenge story.

And why would I get it confused with hateful 8? there are no reviews out for that yet and its Tarantino who imo also fills his movies with substance.

Yeah that's what I got too, I just don't see what could be the 'style' in this movie. And how much one likes the story seems to vary from person to person depending on how much he got connected to the film/Leo. Although a common complaint seems to be that Inarritu has added some not-needed not-too-subtle grim psychological musings at parts which might be somewhat off putting for some.

As for Tarantino, yeah his movies are always filled with substance but the 'style' is always a major, visible thing.

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