I don't think SW will finish at the top, IO is set to win this year.
As for 2016, a local movie which opens in January is going to do at least $40-50M.
That's the situation before Spectre, which opens tomorrow here. I expect at least 2m of tickets.
Top 10 in adm.
1 INSIDE OUT 3.987.000
2 MINIONS 3.557.000
3 FIFTY SHADES 2.832.000
4 AMERICAN SNIPER 2.814.000
5 FURIOUS 7 2.700.000
6 SI ACCETTANO M.. 2.354.000
7 AVENGERS 2 2.309.000
8 CINDARELLA 2.413.000
9 JURASSIC WORLD 2.102.000
10 HOTEL TRANS..2 1.552.000
Wow! That's huge, but not unexpected.
As for here I think that the fact it's partially filmed here will help the BO and it will surely do better than Skyfall. Unfortunately, no chances to finish near Goldfinger, which sold 14m tickets here in the '60.
Looking forward!
Summer. Same problem every year. I think we are the only country, but there are several reason.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/italy/
Anyway, August is going to be worse.