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Posts posted by Arlo245
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Dare I say.... All this thing needs to do is follow Jurassic World's drops from it's Friday to hit $400 million OW
$157 million Friday (with higher figures)
$133.45 million Saturday (-15%)
$109.56 million Sunday (-17.9%)
$400,010,000 Opening Weekend!
However....I think it will be more of the reverse with a slightly bigger drop Saturday and a killer hold on Sunday. So using the $159 million figure, it could go like this.
$159 million Fri
$128.5 million Sat (-19.2%) (+29.8%)
$112.5 million Sun (-12.4%)
$400 million OW
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I'm already up after like 4 hours of sleep and have to go to my theater and serve so many sold out theaters. At least I don't double cause IDK if I can handle that many sold out shows 😂 I'm thinking $110-125 million (Yes $125 fucking million) today
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^^ Sorry Elsa, Steve Rogers gets my heart....at least for now ❤
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3 hours ago, Arlo245 said:
Just minutes away from seeing Endgame and I don't think my body is ready 😩😩😩 OMG
I. AM. SHAKING. PROFUSELY. MUST. GATHER. THOUGHTS. THIS. MOVIE. DESTROYED. ME. IN. THE. BEST. WAY. POSSIBLE. WOULD. DO. AGAIN. OWNING. ON. DVD. SOMEONE. STOP. ME.
In all seriousness.....GOOOD LORRRD THIS MOVIE ROCKED ME TO MY CORE. I felt so many emotions, excitement, sadness, anger, joy, entertainment. My legs were shaking. I WAS AT A BRINK OF AN ORGASM AT ONE POINT I SWEAR and I was crying my eyes out at several. But also I was laughing so hard at so many parts. So many tears from this movie, of amusement, joy, sadness. This movie ruined me but luckily I will gladly be ruined again!
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Just minutes away from seeing Endgame and I don't think my body is ready 😩😩😩 OMG
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Via BOP
"The studio is “cautiously” projecting a domestic weekend “in the $300 million range.”
The fact that 'cautiously' and '$300 million range' are in the same sentence shows how truly historic and huge this is 😳
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If Endgame nabs over $153,433,423 for it's opening day, it will have made more on its opening day than Captain Marvel made in it's OPENING WEEKEND. 😳
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10 hours ago, Arlo245 said:
I think this will be how it pans out. My "conservative" prediction 😄
$60 million Thursday night (SUCCESS!)
$85 million true Friday (+41.7% from Thu)
$145 million Friday
$100 million Saturday (-31%) (+17.7%)
$80 million Sunday (-20%)
Previews to OW multiplier: 5.417x (18.46%)
Avengers: Infinity War's multi: 6.608x (15%)
Friday to OW multiplier: 2.242x (44.62%)
Avengers: Infinity War's multi: 2.418x (41%)
$325 million opening weekend
$150 million second weekend (-53.8%)
$78 million third weekend (-48%)
$42 million fourth weekend (-46.1%)
$26.5/33million fifth weekend(-37%/-21%)
$11 million sixth weekend (-58.4%)
$5.5 million seventh weakend (-50%)
$835 million total (2.570x multiplier)
OW is 38.9% of total
Avengers: Infinity War
$678.8 million total (2.634x multiplier)
OW is 38% of total
So pretty similar legs
Competition by weekend
May 3-5: -53.8% against nothing really
May 10-12: -48% against PIKACHU
May 17-19: -46.1% against John Wick
MD Wknd: -37/-21% against Aladdin
May 31-Jun 2: -58.4% against Godzilla
June 7-9: -50% against Dark Phoenix
My $60 million previews prediction was a success! Let's see how the rest of my predictions turn out! My original weekend prediction was $315M then I changed it to $325M. Was that the right choice? We'll see.
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Despite Endgame being the true #1 today (with a probable $55-65 million previews), it will be very very satisfying to see a #1 spot next to Captain Marvel's dailies after LITERALLY more than a month of it being below number one (March 22-April 24). I took CM 35 days to climb back up to #1 with it getting as low on the chart as #7 on April 12. Talk about impressive. Glorious run,
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I think this will be how it pans out. My "conservative" prediction 😄
$60 million Thursday night
$85 million true Friday (+41.7% from Thu)
$145 million Friday
$100 million Saturday (-31%) (+17.7%)
$80 million Sunday (-20%)
Previews to OW multiplier: 5.417x (18.46%)
Avengers: Infinity War's multi: 6.608x (15%)
Friday to OW multiplier: 2.242x (44.62%)
Avengers: Infinity War's multi: 2.418x (41%)
$325 million opening weekend
$150 million second weekend (-53.8%)
$78 million third weekend (-48%)
$42 million fourth weekend (-46.1%)
$26.5/33million fifth weekend(-37%/-21%)
$11 million sixth weekend (-58.4%)
$5.5 million seventh weakend (-50%)
$835 million total (2.570x multiplier)
OW is 38.9% of total
Avengers: Infinity War
$678.8 million total (2.634x multiplier)
OW is 38% of total
So pretty similar legs
Competition by weekend
May 3-5: -53.8% against nothing really
May 10-12: -48% against PIKACHU
May 17-19: -46.1% against John Wick
MD Wknd: -37/-21% against Aladdin
May 31-Jun 2: -58.4% against Godzilla
June 7-9: -50% against Dark Phoenix
Edited by Arlo245
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My Endgame box office prediction...
*Revised numbers on the bottom of Page 107*
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EG: $315 million
CM: $11 million
COLL: $8.5 million
Shazam!: $6 million
Breakthrough: $5.5 million
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3 hours ago, Sam said:
Percentage drops from Sunday
CoLL -60%
Shazam -49.5%
BT -55%
CM -40.5%
Dumbo -28.5%
Who would have thought the movie getting them Endgame effect is Dumbo.
So many people seem to forget about Easter Monday lol but it's an actual holiday here in Canada will school and work off. This explains Dumbos light drop. So less of Endgame, more of Easter Monday. Expect muted increases tomorrow haha 😄
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Just wanted to stop by solely because of my profile photo and the fact that this is my #1 most anticipated movie of the year...
But enough with the silliness
News about Frozen 2 new footage...and apparently Elsa is not okay
https://comicbook.com/movies/2019/04/12/frozen-2-movie-spoilers-2019-clip-disney-elsa-anna-olaf/
The hype train commences!
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Great news for I2. It's rising. It will be interesting where it will land on Saturday. I believe it will top $30 million.
50.1% (Trending Down)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom -
Here waiting for something remotely Incredibles 2 - related...lmao
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12 hours ago, korrasami said:
Guys, the original session I was gonna go to was sold out! All the sessions from 12-4pm were sold out! So I looked for other cinemas around me and majority of the sessions are gone. Now I’m waiting for the 6:45 session, because everything is sold out. And just for reference I’m from Australia. This movie is gonna be huge.
Matinees are going to be INSANE. $60million+ Saturday incoming
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I knew $200 million for the weekend was a real possibility but I never guessed it would get so close to $20 million in previews alone! My prediction for the movie is $185 million for the weekend and $702 million total. That weekend figure might actually be TOO LOW. But the domestic total remands to be seen. I think $700 million is definitely on the table right now, but I don't want to say likely until the weekend and next weekend finish. And my extreme prediction was $16 million previews (too low), $79 million Thu/Fri (let's see how this one turns out), $66 million Saturday, $56 million Sunday, and $201 million weekend. Let's see if it can match those
Great job Panda! I always I had faith in you. Never doubted once!
WHAT A GREAT TIME TO BE ALIVE.
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I knew $200 million for the weekend was a real possibility but I never guessed it would get so close to $20 million in previews alone! My prediction for the movie is $185 million for the weekend and $702 million total. That weekend figure might actually be TOO LOW. But the domestic total remands to be seen. I think $700 million is definitely on the table right now, but I don't want to say likely until the weekend and next weekend finish. And my extreme prediction was $16 million previews (too low), $79 million Thu/Fri (let's see how this one turns out), $66 million Saturday, $56 million Sunday, and $201 million weekend. Let's see if it can match those
Great job Panda! I always I had faith in you. Never doubted once!
WHAT A GREAT TIME TO BE ALIVE.
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As I mentioned before, while being a tad more front-loaded than Dory, I think it will have IMMENSE walk-up business especially with the younger ones who, you know, DIDN'T WAIT 14 FREAKING YEARS...... I can imagine all the 5- and 6-year-olds yelling "Can we watch that, mommy! Please!" This weekend will be HUGE. $175-$205 million is very much on the table.
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35 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:
Not that I at all think this will actually pan out, but just for the hell of it if the previews are 15m and you give it the same preview share as Dory, the OW goes 220.
Unlikely to happen as this will be more front-loaded than Dory, but I think you already knew that. But putting things in perspective, it's CRAZY. While being a tad more front-loaded than Dory, I think it will have IMMENSE walk-up business especially with the younger ones who, you know, DIDN'T WAIT 14 FREAKING YEARS...... I can imagine all the 5- and 6-year-olds yelling "Can we watch that, mommy! Please!" This weekend will be HUGE. $175-$205 million is very much on the table.
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Forgot to mention this in my mini-review!
This movie is HI-LARIOUS, funnier than the first, and the first was very funny. Jack-Jack and Edna provide the most laughter with Bob providing a good amount of laughs as well. And the action! Breathtaking! I got chills at multiple occasions watching them. The way they use Elastigirl's elasticity is BEAUTIFUL and the same goes with Violet.
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I will post my more in-depth review tomorrow or Saturday after re-watching it.
I saw the film yesterday at the Double Feature Event and it was great! Still prefer the first to this, however only by a small margin (This may in part be due to watching it directly after the first film). This movie while having a good amount of cliches, had many mature aspects to make up for them and most importantly situations ANY family can relate to, in regards to the parents' relationship and the relationship between Bob and the kids (specifically Violet who goes through boy trouble). It was very realistic and gave me a warm feeling. On a side note, I LOVE LOVE LOVE Violet in this film. She's really matured some, especially in regards to her powers.
Other than that, the movie is HI-LARIOUS, funnier than the first, and the first was very funny. Jack-Jack and Edna provide the most laughter with Bob providing a good amount of laughs as well. And the action! Breathtaking! I got chills at multiple occasions watching them. The way they use Elastigirl's elasticity is BEAUTIFUL and the same goes with Violet. I like the realism at the fact that Elastigirl accidentally destroyed her bike, proving that yes, she's bad-ass, but also messes up
Evelyn, I guessed as the villain due to Disney's popular "Red Heron" formula where the more obvious choice for a villain (Winston, a powerful, rich man) is not the villain and the villain is really someone associated with him personally, namely Evelyn. She wasn't too bad as a whole as she was brilliantly voiced and designed and I noticed something VERY interesting that is sublte. When Elastigirl was saving her from falling into the sea, she kicked her off, signifying the TRUE PRIDE she had for herself and her negative view on supers and that she'd rather die than be saved by one. She likely wanted to die, and maybe for other reasons like wanting to reunite with her deceased relatives. Surprisingly dark. Speaking of dark, I loved how Elastigirl literally "kills" Evelyn by ejecting her from the plane, however it is very likely that she was critically thinking and knew the plane's high altitude allowed her time to do what she needs to do before saving her from death. I liked that, because at first, I thought "Wow, Elastigirl intentially KILLING someone?" but then in a small twist, her intent seemed to not be killing, but instead saving herself time. But, it could also be that Elastigirl really did intend on killing Evelyn but later changed her mind as she didn't want to be what Evelyn portrayed supers as (Evelyn's dad or mom was killed by a super). However I prefer the first idea because I just high-stress thinking. So haha I know I'm commenting on very small, subtle things from the film but I have a habit of doing that!
Also, come on, after watching the ending, you can't say that they won't make a third film, like they HAVE to. They literally end it similar to the first with them preparing to fight new crime. The film makers and Bird must have been thinking of a third film while creating that scene. They have to have.
Just please....I don't want wait until I'm 32 to watch the third film (I'm 18). I'm good with a solid 6 years. I actually believe the third film could be the BEST of the bunch because this film really felt like an middle chapter and extension of the first one.
A+ (9/10)
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I saw the film yesterday at the Double Feature Event and it was great! Still prefer the first to this, however only by a small margin (This may in part be due to watching it directly after the first film). This movie while having a good amount of cliches, had many mature aspects to make up for them and most importantly situations ANY family can relate to, in regards to the parents' relationship and the relationship between Bob and the kids (specifically Violet who goes through boy trouble). It was very realistic and gave me a warm feeling. On a side note, I LOVE LOVE LOVE Violet in this film. She's really matured some, especially in regards to her powers. Other than that, the movie is HILARIOUS, funnier than the first. Jack-Jack and Edna provide the most laughter with Bob providing a good amount of laughs as well. And the action! Breaktaking! I got chills at multiple occasions watching them. The way they use Elastigirl's elasticity is BEAUTIFUL and the same goes with Violet.
Also, come on, after watching the ending, you can't say that they won't make a third film, like they HAVE to. The film makers and Bird must have been thinking of a third film while creating that scene. They have to have.
Just please....I don't want wait until I'm 32 to watch the third film (I'm 18). I'm good with a solid 6 years. I actually believe the third film could be the BEST of the bunch because this film really felt like an middle chapter and extension of the first one.
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AVENGERS: ENDGAME WEEKEND THREAD l Actuals: $357.115M | $866.526M OS, $1.223B WW l Russos true box office kings l *** NO SPOILERS - Even Tagged ***| SALE NOW LIVE: 50% Off Gold Montly, 25% Off Gold Annually
in Numbers and Data
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TBH I have no idea how it would even be possible. I'm still reasonably expecting $350-360 million until I get reliable Saturday numbers that may change my mind. It's just this movie has been throwing SO many curveballs with its box office performance. I don't really know what to expect anymore.