KP1025
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Posts posted by KP1025
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9 hours ago, Austin said:
You're probably right. Would that be reported under participations though? How many times have studios co-produced/distributed a movie?
I think it would, similar to actors negotiating a percentage of the total box office as part of their fee. Nintendo is getting a large share of the profits as part of the deal, as they also financed half of that $100 million budget.
QuoteSuper Mario Bros.’ wild $377 million global 5-day opening (including $204.6 million domestic), a testament to the power of his Nintendo I.P. Per sources, the game company financed half the movie’s $100 million budget and gets 50 percent of profits after Universal (and its Illumination division) recoup their costs.
QuoteGaming analyst Hideki Yasuda from Tokyo Securities told Nikkei that if The Super Mario Bros. Movie reaches $1.5 billion USD at the box office, Nintendo would see a contribution to its own revenue of more than $220 million USD. Nintendo owns the license and worked out a deal with animation studio Illumination to develop and distribute the movie. The exact terms of the deal have not been made public, however.
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4 hours ago, Austin said:
This really explains why Universal keeps doing their PVOD release so early because apparently it's making them lots of money, and it's not even hindering the BO performances of their movies. Making $75M on PVOD within 1 month is ridiculous.
As for the total profit, uhh I'm not too sure.
My best guess would be...
Revenues:
Box office: $625M
Home video: $200M
Streaming licensing agreements: $200M
Total Revenue - $1025M
Expenses:
Production budget: $100M
P&A: $175M
Misc: $125M
Total Expenses - $400M
Net Profit - $625M
Cash on Cash Return (Revenue/Cost) - 2.56
Holy shit that's an insane number if I'm extrapolating right. If you are wondering how I got those numbers, I used Deadline's report on Minions 2 as a comp with Mario's current run (both are Illumination and Universal).
Nintendo being a co-producer will likely make the participations expense much higher for Mario than Minions 2. -
16 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
That's TLM. SV had the biggest Latino/Hispanic share of all its audience share from what I remember.
Surprisingly, Mario had the highest Latino/Hispanic share recently at 41%. ATSV had 34%. -
10 minutes ago, froztking said:
they can increase the time between theatrical nd streaming debut !
They did for Avatar 2, about a 6 month window. However, its run was still basically finished after 2 months. Even with longer windows, maybe it will take a while to condition audiences away from Disney+ and into theaters. -
8 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:
Disney needs to let Toho handle distribution cause they aren't gonna get this market back doing it their own way
Absolutely. Corpse has suggested this several times too. Either that or Disney+ needs to change. It’s not a lack of interest or faith in the Disney brand, it’s a lack of motivation to see their films in theaters specifically when they can watch for free at home in a few months.-
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13 minutes ago, Torontofan said:
Overseas market i think is more in the market for large epic films
No way Home made 1.2 billion dollars overseas during Omicron for crying out loud lol
That's a common trend both before and after the pandemic.
If you look at Top 5 post-Covid OS gross, the only exception is Mario (but that was huge for other obvious reasons).
Avatar 2: $1,636,174,514
NWH: $1,107,732,041
TGM: $776,963,471
Mario: $738,589,354 (and counting)
JWD: 625,127,000
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Not a big breakout for TLM, but I will take it. Legs will be interesting to follow, but at least it will avoid bomb territory like the rest of Asia. Saw some people thinking it could fall under $10 million in Japan too.
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11 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Encanto would have been huge pre-pandemic for sure.
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5 hours ago, ogkalu said:
Just asking. The movie's been review bombed in a lot of countries at this point. Japan might not be an exception. That's all i was getting at.
I think we just need to wait and see the effect of genuine WOM spreading via friends, families, etc. Due to circumstances surrounding this movie, might be best not to take too much stock of its website ratings.
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5 minutes ago, Austin said:
Is there a reason the numbers always has a higher OS number lol? It got it $7M higher.
The Numbers midweek OS updates are often too low or too high. Not sure what the reason is. Last week, they were $10 million too high on the OS number (around $732 million vs $722 million BOM) before the weekend. So when the weekend numbers came in, their OS number barely increased.
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8 minutes ago, JustLurking said:
Looking like around 65-70% of Aladdin OD off the morning track, which is...fine, I guess? Relative to rest of Asia it's really not bad, though big "Pending legs" sign on this since it is Japan.
With how Disney+ has affected Disney's standing with theaters and audiences in Japan, I would consider that a win.
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1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:
Atleast good that MI7 moved from initial July 14 release. I don't know why Suzuki gave that comment on MI as it has doing better than most Fantastic Beast, Jurassic World &Fast (I bet that Suzuki felt MI could be good pair to compete with Miyazaki Masterpiece)
MI6 grossed ¥4.72 billion in Japan, are you expecting a huge increase for MI7 after TGM?
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Have Tuesday bumps become more muted post-Covid? I haven't seen any major blockbuster get near that kind of Tuesday increase in recent years.
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7 minutes ago, grey ghost said:
What do they mean by 5th biggest Tuesday overall?
5th biggest for superhero movie?
5th biggest Tuesday of any film post-Covid, behind NWH, Avatar 2, TGM, and Mario.
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2 hours ago, Austin said:
I still find it hilarious that this is being released the same summer as TLM.
I think it has to be intentional. Got this trailer before watching TLM, and the audience had a laugh at the complete opposite portrayal of mermaids in that film.
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33 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:
Maybe to push the convo away from TLM, we can discuss the true flop numbers this summer... Any FX Monday numbers? Has it fallen behind SMBM in dailies DOM yet?
As steep as FX's decline has been, I wouldn't expect that to happen for another 2 weeks at the earliest. That's if Mario doesn't drop hard from shedding screens itself.
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5 hours ago, Mojoguy said:
Are you guys telling me Tom Cruise is as big as Super Mario in Japan?
Because damn, that's a lot of money for TGM compared to the Mario movie in Japan.
Don't forget The Last Samurai. Doubt it would have grossed ¥13.7 billion in Japan without Tom Cruise as the lead.
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1 minute ago, Mojoguy said:
Everyone here uses The Numbers website instead of BOM these days right?
The Numbers is better for tracking dailies. Their only problem is that they sometimes don’t update the OS grosses for older movies. BOM tends to have the most recent totals, which is often tens of millions higher than on The Numbers. -
54 minutes ago, Mulder said:
I also kind of have doubts it can hit 600 domestic if Mario couldn't.
I was one of those that called over I2 DOM locked for Mario after the amazing second weekend hold. Definitely a case of getting too caught up in the hype. The $600 million DOM dream has been on life support since GotG3 opened, but I think we can call it dead dead after this weekend.-
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That's a great drop for TLM after losing PLFs. Better than the 60-65% drop many were expecting last week. After this weekend I think it can stabilize with nice legs, as nothing is really competing with its core female audience until Barbie.
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10 minutes ago, Ezen Baklattan said:
As we got closer into the summer, a lot of family films were flat from Friday to Saturday minus previews, but I think the large PLF slant + lots of kids still in school will be enough to maybe give a 10% boost at least from a True friday?
I think the true gross today is gonna be a bit of a wild card, but $55m feels like a decent goal? I think there's enough for $130m if it hits that.
For the record, a $55 million True Friday would be higher than Incredibles 2's.
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First one grossed $63 million in China, so that final forecast would be disappointing given the exceptional reviews. Mario also ended up around $25 million in China despite excellent ratings.
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Just over 15% drop for TLM on Thursday in the face of a massive opener like ATSV is very good. Was expecting a 25% or higher drop.
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11 minutes ago, Austin said:
Why do The Numbers have it ~$10.5M higher OS?
BOM seems like the correct figure to me. Mario was at $717.8 million OS after a $13.1 million estimated weekend. There's no way it added another $15 million from just Mon-Wed, as that would be higher than the weekend itself. Japan also accounted for over a third of the weekend number, and it made only $2 million from Mon-Wed this week.
THE LITTLE MERMAID | 271.5M overseas | 569.6M worldwide
in International Box Office
Posted
Lion King (2019) grossed $1.657 billion WW.
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3321923073/