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MCKillswitch123

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Everything posted by MCKillswitch123

  1. Well, China must've not played THAT big a part in Matrix 2's record at the end of the day (if at all), so if crazy hype can lead to that kind of number (because WOM must've not really been that good for Matrix 2, it is kinda pretty shitty if you ask me), well so can crazy hype + crazy good WOM, as is the case w/Deadpool.
  2. All the records Deadpool broke (according to Wikipedia and Box Office Mojo): R-rated previews (12.7M vs. 10.8M by The Hangover II) February previews (12.7M vs. 8.6M by Fifty Shades) February IMAX previews (2.3M vs. 123K by Jupiter Ascending) R-rated IMAX previews (2.3M vs. 1.04M by Prometheus) R-rated OD (47.5M vs. 42M by The Matrix Reloaded) February OD (47.5M vs. 30.2 by Fifty Shades) February OW (135M vs. 85M by Fifty Shades) R-rated OW (135M vs. 91M by Matrix Reloaded) R-rated comic book adaptation OW (135M vs. 71M by 300) R-rated superhero OW (135M vs. 55M by Watchmen) Winter OW (135M vs. 89M by American Sniper) 20th Century Fox OW (135M vs. 108M by Revenge Of The Sith) Holiday/Long weekend OW (135 vs. 114 by POTC At World's End) R-rated PLF OW (17.6M vs. 8.7M by American Sniper) It seems all of those records forgot to wear the brown pants.
  3. SW Ep. III Revenge Of The Sith ($108M) and X-Men The Last Stand ($102M). Deadpool beat ROTS's record by nearly $30M. Every bit as insane as Heath Ledger's Joker.
  4. Crazy that, coming into this weekend, $65M OW for the 3-day, 4-day even, was considered a strong weekend for Deadpool, possibly a breakout even. It ended up more than doubling that amount. As the estimates stand (could very well increase further more for all I know), Deadpool holds the 17th biggest 3-day OW of all time, just below POTC Dead Man's Chest. It did 7 million more than the 18th biggest, which was Iron Man 2. Unfuckingbelievable.
  5. So essentially, R-rated Deadpool will have a bigger 3-day opening than every 2014 movie including Mockingjay Part 1, 5th biggest of 2015 behind TFA, JW, AOU and F7 (putting it above the likes of Minions and MJ2), and a bigger opening than every Superman movie including MOS, every X-Men movie ever period, every Spider-Man movie except for SM3, and every MCU movie without Avengers or Iron Man in the title.
  6. Atm the WW R-rated record is The Matrix Reloaded w/somewhere above $720M iirc. I think that, given how the movie's blowing up OS, Deadpool could potentially bust that record. We're looking at a potential WW OW of about $250M, and with pretty much no competition for the whole of February, chances are it could do it. It does suffer from no China boost, but still.
  7. Yeah, between The Passion, Fifty Shades, Kingsman and especially this now, we might as well officialize February as the R-rated month.
  8. Without having seen Deadpool: DOFP X2 First Class X1 Wolverine X3 And that's it. I don't even know what a "Origins: Wolverine" is. And I don't want to, anyway. Yeah, you're definitely right about the exchange rates, but I still think that they won't be too much of a problem to overcome. Again, the Chinese market has exploded since the last IA movie (2012), so who knows? Yeah, KFP3 isn't as big a hit there as we were expecting it to be, but that did have the poor luck of coming out at the same time as a bunch of local blockbusters, and even then it did still have a killer OW over there. Maybe IA5 won't have such bad luck. As for the DOM issue, it is a possibility that it'll suffer another drop, so there's that, but I think it'll stay flat from IA4's numbers. I don't see it exactly as a total underacheiver to the point where it does $700M+ WW (that's the floor for me) yet it doesn't even make it to $120M in America. But then again, Terminator: Genisys of all flicks was the 1st one to do $400M WW (hell, it did nearly $500M) without even crossing the century mark in the US, so yeah.
  9. Overcrowded as in too many big movies cancelling each other out - in America, TASM2 and Godzilla came in the two weeks preceeding DOFP, both of which doing $90M OW already, and then you follow it up w/Fault In Our Stars and HTTYD2 in the immediate following week, alongside others like Apes, Maleficent, Transformers, 22JS, Guardians and TMNT to name a few, and yeah, X-Men didn't stand much of a chance in doing a billion w/its competition. Sure, it was a SLOOOW Summer, but still, it wasn't because of a lack of trying.
  10. More or less, but Ice Age has always been a huge beast OS, w/its last two movies doing under $200M domestic, yet pulling in well over $800M WW, and they would've done more if they had been good (well tbh I actually do kinda enjoy Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs, that's a guilty pleasure of mine; the 4th one sucked balls, tho). But anyway; will it take too long before Rth arrives to blow our minds on Deadpool's Saturday? I still think it can't be (much) higher than $36M, but at this point, anything's possible.
  11. In case you misunderstood me, I didn't say that Apocalypse (and Resurgence) will join the club, but rather that it's far more likely that will happen than them flopping. But I agree that Apocalypse won't hit the billion but only because of the extremely crowded Summer line-up; DOFP not reaching higher than the high 700Ms it did also had to do w/an overcrowded Summer. As well as the fact that the X-Men franchise had been a slow performer for quite a few years by that point due to the lack of quality in some of the films, w/audience's fate only beggining to be restored after First Class, and The Wolverine did only okay business on top of that; but that wouldn't be a problem for Apocalypse, given how amazingly well recieved DOFP was.
  12. I get why would you think that regarding IA5, but that franchise is an absolute beast WW anyway so that's no issue. And XMA and ID42 are WAY more likely to join the 1 billion club than bombing all together. X-Men franchise has always been a big deal and DOFP was a huge earner, plus the success of Deadpool will only further audience's interest in the franchise. And ID4 was a bombastic success back in 1996, just north of $300M domestic, one that a lot of people feel huge nostalgia for, which could incite a serious case of Jurassic World-syndrome incoming. It's very likely that Deadpool will be bigger than them, yeah, but they're not coming close to flopping.
  13. Yup, between Revenant, KFP3 and now this, Fox is blowing the year out of the water so far. Good for them, given how they did have a rather weak 2015 sans for Home and Kingsman. And w/Apocalypse, Resurgence and Ice Age 5 still incoming, the year's just getting started for them.
  14. For now, I'll continue my conservative side and keep my Saturday prediction at $36M. If it hits $40M or above, I will headbutt my chair and laugh histerically in front of a mirror at myself for how wrong I was regarding this movie.
  15. Well, sure, a lot of money was made at the end of the day, but still... Age Of Ultron was predicted all the way through to open bigger than the first Avengers, and it didn't. Didn't even clear the 200 mark. Was supposed to finish #2 of the year w/all things considered, and it finished at #4, 200 million below Avengers 1. Ant-Man did pretty good business, and it seriously overperformed WW (I mean, c'mon, $500M+ for ANT-MAN??), but it still had a pretty slow performance, and it ended as a low tier achiever for Marvel in many records domestically. I think we can all agree that, while they did have a strong year w/expectations notwithstanding, it was not the year that it should've been. Marvel was literally on top of the world after their murderous 2014 w/Cap 2 and Guardians; seeing Avengers 2 underperform and Ant-Man not up to Marvel's typical par can make any MCU fan admit that 2015 was not a year to be totally proud of, despite the obviously profitable results regardless. Also, Deadpool's 3-day pretty much on par w/Man Of Steel's. Mind. BLOWN.
  16. WEEELLLL.... I completely get you there, and I do agree that AS's are probably more shocking at the end of the day, but I can make a few arguments for DP being in ever lesser circumstances here. AS's star, Bradley Cooper, had come off of a ton of big hits throughout the years, like Guardians Of The Galaxy (yeah he didn't show his face, but everybody knows he played Rocket Raccoon), The Hangover trilogy and American Hustle. Although I'm not American, I am aware of the Chris Kyle story (not even thanks to the movie), and I'm pretty sure that Kyle was a bigger deal for the American people than Deadpool. And it also helped that the Oscar nominations dropped on the week of AS's wide release, which busted out a strong slate of noms for the movie, including Best Actor for Cooper and Best Picture. And yeah, Oscar buzz never really pushed movies THAT much, but it still helps. Plus, the almost non existant competition only benefitted. Deadpool's main star, Ryan Reynolds, came off a ton of flops, including a few major ones within the comic book genre like Green Lantern. He played the role before in the abomination known as X-Men Origins: Wolverine, and he did a good job acting wise, but what was done w/character was too much for anything Deadpool from Fox to be 100% trusted at any point, whereas I think that anybody could trust Clint Eastwood for anything ever. Not to mention that DP was seen as a rather not too known comic book character, and the grass humor could prove too much for non-die hard fans to enjoy. On top of that, Deadpool DID have on-paper competition in Zoolander 2, the sequel to a much well liked box office success of a comedy. And while you could make an argument for The Wedding Ringer, it's not quite the same as a sequel to arguably one of the most beloved comedies of the 2000s. I'm just saying: there are arguments for Deadpool being in the same area of shock as American Sniper. AS is probably still the bigger sleeper, no doubt, but let's not forget that that still didn't open w/over $100M.
  17. As far as OD's are concerned, this is by far one of the biggest shockers of all time as y'all are saying. How's it possible that DEADPOOL is the 24th biggest OD ever, beating out inumerous and far bigger budgeted blockbusters including the last Hunger Games, Man Of Steel, every Spider-Man movie (except for SM3), every single Bond movie, amongst many others? And even for OW's in general, it's up there as one of the biggest surprises of all time. Honestly, it may be every bit as shocking as American Sniper's results w/all things considered, if not more.
  18. Unbelievable that this thing is gonna open bigger than every single Marvel property not named Avengers, Iron Man or Spider-Man (well, one of the SM movies, SM3). By this rate, it'll bring in the same OW as Man Of Steel, possibly in the 3-day run already. Insane. That's impossible not to happen. The Winter Soldier did $254M, and that was based entirely off of post-Avengers effect and excellent WOM, and it wasn't even in Marvel's typically killer 1st weekend of May, but rather in April. With the added Iron Man/Spider-Man/Black Panther/Ant-Man starpower, the goodwill of TWS carrying over and the general 2 year anticipation since Feige's original announcement (w/the trailer breaking records, the TV spot stealing the Super Bowl and the great buzz throughout social media), Civil War will break $300M for sure. Only way it doesn't is if the movie is mindblowingly bad, and even then it's a question mark.
  19. I think when the word was going around that Deadpool was outselling Ant-Man, I don't think anybody quite ever expected that translating to 'Deadpool almost totalling Ant-Man's OW in its OD'. This, my friends, is history in the making. I will be pushing my children to become box office analyists, so that I can rub in their face that I was there for the Jurassic World breakout, I was there for the Force Awakens dominance, and dammit, I was there for the Deadpool insanity too!
  20. Deadpool, an R-rated movie about a comic book character not a lot of people know much about, made by the studio whose last attempt at a SH movie was Fant4stic, dropped in February of all months, is gonna be the 1st $100M OW earner of the year, the 1st R-rated movie to reach that mark ever, and probably a top 10 if not top 5 DOM film of the year in general. Okay. Sure. This isn't, like, psychopathic or anything.
  21. I swear I didn't know I had heard there was IMAX in the country, but I didn't outright know until now. Tbh I've never even been in Colombo, another reason to go there in the future Damn, Fury Road and Everest in IMAX must've been an epic experience. Kinda totally envy you there (not so much for MoS and Insurgent and the likes, but yeah).
  22. Actually, we do get 3D around here, both in Badajoz and in CM (I saw The Force Awakens in 3D here in CM, even I was surprised at the fan service there). Though it's very rare and only the BIIIG tentpoles get that treatment. In CM, some of those tentpoles are straight up never shown, period (the last MCU movie we got here was f**king Thor 2 ). Shiiiieet though, there's IMAX in Lisbon? Holy crap... assuming you already experienced it, how's it like?
  23. We might've, who knows I usually tend to see movies in Badajoz. Yup, Spanish translations galore, kinda ruins the experience. In other occassions, I'll see it in Campo Maior (where I live), though much rarer since sometimes the Ministério da Cultura forgets this is Portugal too and rarely drops good movies (hell, movies at all)
  24. $40M+ OD for an R-rated movie featuring a vulgar and supposedly obscure comic book character, potentially ending in a $100M OW. Wow. Just... wow. Even in my most optimistic dreams I saw that coming. Yeah, 12 or above for essentially legal porn would be even too much for us to handle That's near Moita, right? Bummer, but oh well, I was thinking about watching Deadpool in Fórum Barreiro or Fórum Montijo or something, maybe we might bump into each other (if you're going to watch it again next weekend, or be in one of those at all )
  25. Really? On Sapo.pt, it say it was 12 or above. And really? You're from Barreiro? I'll be there in a week to celebrate my birthday w/some family. Crazy things we figure out on the internet.
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