MCKillswitch123

Possibly, but don't forget Godzilla still did 200M in spite of the mixed reviews, and there's still a sequel w/Mothra, Ghidorah and Rodan coming which could do quite a bit more than the 2014 film. Plus, Godzilla is the creature whose movie that kickstarted this giant monster cinematic universe thing, so I believe it makes sense to give it at the very least equal focus to King Kong.

Aww, if these Friday numbers/weekend estimates are indeed true, bummer to not see 10CL reach 30M or above. Still, the current DHD estimate is possibly the exact type of number that it would've made in its entire run had it still been named Valencia, so yeah. But I expect (well, hope) that the numbers are just far off predictions, and the actuals come in and they're stronger than expected. I mean, c'mon, can we PLEASE get a 10M Friday at the very least? That would leave me happy. But oh well, if the number does indeed play as expected, it would essentially go right on target w/my Derby prediction, so yeah. On the other hand, Zootopia still pulling nice numbers, it seems. I think a 50M weekend is definitely in play here, and 300M may be on the horizon. But it will be a big time stretch to get there thanks to BVS. At the very least from 200M to 250M is a given, though.

Mark my words: if it's as good as the first, The Conjuring 2 will be the 1st horror movie to cross 150M DOM since What Lies Beneath. James Wan has kinda become one of those directors who can sell a movie based off of his name alone, and now after Furious 7, even more so. Between that, Central Intelligence (The Rock is coming off of 2012 Rip-Off aka San Andreas doing over 150M + Kevin Hart who is also a certified draw) and of course Suicide Squad, WB is fine for Summer this year. Plus, whatever losings they might take w/the smaller flicks, they'll have the BVS profit to make up for them.

Wow, damn good surprise that is regarding 10CL. TBG on the other hand... Jesus Christ. And speaking of Jesus Christ, TYM did solid, too.

Holy shit, that's amazing if true. Big surprise too, I was expecting something like 1M, 1.2M at best. It had a stronger Thursday debut than Zootopia did. Pretty awesome! Also, John Goodman is getting Oscar buzz? THIS IS A CLOVERFIELD MOVIE. AN ACTOR IS GETTING OSCAR BUZZ FOR A CLOVERFIELD MOVIE. Like Queen asked, is this the real life?

Yeah, probably. Though let me tell you that I would consider anything from 1.5M a big time surprise. But I really don't see that coming, sadly. Assuming it even had Thursday previews (couldn't find them on the web), what numbers did the original pull in those?

>Great film = Deadpool

Wow. The reviews are better than even I hoped for. RT average at 8/10 atm. Hopefully, the film can perform above folks' expectations. I still maintain 30M, but maybe it can do more. Maybe it's numbers can be inflated w/the one-week IMAX showings (hopefully, not all IMAX theaters drop it in favor of Allegiant, tho). Crazy how almost every great film of the year so far has been directed by first timers - Tim Miller (Deadpool), Robert Eggers (The Witch), and now, Dan Trachtenberg (10 Cloverfield Lane).

At this point, I think the closest it can get to a "breakout" is a 40M debut (right on par w/the original Cloverfield), 45M at the bare maximum. I feel like the only way that could happen is if the reviews are off the charts good AND there are monsters and legit Cloverfield connections in the film. I got a feeling that, w/the very positive WOM going on, we might be seeing both, but who knows. Btw, shouldn't we be getting a Cloverfield based background theme this week, considering that's the big new release?

Cool, we'll be getting BVS + Cloverfield reviews at around the same time, then. Probably the most exciting March has EVER been for movies atm (and by ever, I mean at least in the last few years because I don't know for sure if there ever was a more exciting time than this for March). The buzz around Twitter and the likes points out for a pretty positive WOM. Just praying that the movie is as good as the trailers look (or better).

Any news on reviews and/or the embargo (and when it's supposed to be lifted)?

10 Cloverfield Lane: 30M The Brothers Grimsby: 11.3M The Young Messiah: 9.4M The Perfect Match: 1.8M

I think that a sane prediction for Cloverfield would be 30M. I wanted to say 40M, which would put it on par w/the original's OW, but I really do think that it's gonna sink like Titanic on Sunday should the word spread out the worst imaginable regarding the movie's connection w/its title. If it doesn't, and if outta nowhere JJ and Trackenberg surprise us all, it could skyrocket. But still, 30M seems plausible. Shame if it does plummet, it seems like a legit great movie, the combo of Mary Liz + Goodman is badass and it has writing credits by one Damien motherfuckin' Chazelle. Either way, it won't beat Zootopia, but we'll see how high it can get. (From 0:14 till the end)

Well, not the 90M I was hoping for, but even still, an incredible achievement for a movie that I thought looked lame when I was first introduced to it around the time of D23. I thought Moana and Gigantic looked vastly superior and that this could've been WDAS's 1st bad movie AND bomb since the start of the Disney 3D Renaissance (Winnie The Pooh obviously notwithstanding). But apparently, I was dead, dead wrong, and Moana is in a position of serious pressure to be just as good if not better than Zootopia now. Hell, Finding Dory is in a tough position after this. Third biggest debut ever for an entirely original film, only behind Avatar and Inside Out. Crazy. Expecting a 2nd weekend drop of about 30% or slightly more, which will definitely be enough to pull over the one all eyes will be set on to see just how (sadly) enormous its Sunday drop will be in 10 Cloverfield Lane. Or that might just surprise everyone, who knows? Either way, it should definitely do repeat business at #1. Threepeating though, I still have my doubts.

NAILED that LHF number. At least my derby's got that going for it. Now if only Zootopia's Sat surged to 40M+ and the overall OW was 90M....

Yeah, I see you guys' points. I guess this would be a good example of a Lego Movie effect. Tbh, I kinda want Cloverfield to win and be a hit, so I'm probably just spouting gibberish in delusion. In all likeliness, Zootopia will probably drop about 37 to 40%, and it does have a chance at doing ~50M or move. Lego dropped under 30% in its 2nd weekend, so even that is in the cards. Still think that Allegiant will topple ZT's 3rd week, though. I know the hype is low for this one, but the 1st two opened above 50M, and even if Allegiant opens 15-20M less, that probably could barely outweigh what I expect to be a ~40% drop for ZT.

Doubt it. Allegiant will almost surely take the 3rd weekend. And even next week, 10 Cloverfield Lane is expected to open at 30M, and an overperformance (maybe thanks to favorable WOM... assuming people won't be mad about a potential realization of the obvious fear of no real connection to Cloverfield the way they expected) could be in play (as could as underperformance, but slightly less likely I presume). Zootopia's 2nd weekend drop would have to be at the bare minimum under 60% to beat Cloverfield. Possible, but not too heavily.

Glad that it managed to at least round the 20M area. 75M OW it seems, not bad at all. Still about 15M under my 90M prediction, but eh, I did abuse my luck there. What about Spectre's Friday?

I imagine Spectre must've finally made to 200M for Sony to be throwing out these kind of parties

And it still is great. This is still an entirely original animated flick, and while it would be disappointing for it not to overperform in a post-IO world, IO can be considered an anomaly due to it essentially being Pixar's redemption movie after years of shit. A 65-70M opening would put it in line w/many other animated hits like Frozen, Lego Movie or Big Hero 6, and for something like this, that'd still be excellent. Shame that our perverted minds have been spoiled to believe in higher. I still have my hopes up

Well, cause Deadpool. (Partly, in all seriousness) But really, I think it's because we're spoiled to live in an age where we can look at the existance of an entirely original movie, not based off of anything, be it existing franchises, books, toys, theme parks or whatever, that had the pleasure of opening at over 90M (and it did that against the 100M+ 2nd weekend of a certain juggernaut called Jurassic World). That would be Inside Out. And before you say PIXAR DAMMIT, let me remind you that, other than Toy Story 3, no other Pixar movie ever performed in its OW like THAT (unadjusted, of course). The congregation of marketing + strong WOM + brand recognition probably led to those crazy numbers. And, while it's reviews are probably technically worse than IO's, the expansion of the WOM (as in, the amount of people telling this is a great movie) is probably just as powerful for Zootopia, if not more; and it's got also very strong marketing (seriously, if it's not BVS stuff, it's Zootopia - it's all over the place), superior trailers than the ones for IO, and the whole of the weekend all to itself (no Jurassic World type beast to compete with). It's fair to say that I think I would be lying if I didn't say that it was always gonna be impossible for it to do those numbers. And yeah, Deadpool too. Cause Deadpool did what Deadpool did. And I kinda wanted to feel that excitement again w/Zootopia.

Well, DHD's numbers tend to be conservative (see Deadpool, had its first Friday pegged at 35-40M, rose all the way to 47.5M), so here's hoping they do rise.

Bah, bullshit. ...wait a minute, I live just 20 mins away from Badajoz I get to see it March 18 (Except not really cause I'm gonna be busy, but I'm gonna try to catch the movie at some point.)

That's pretty good. Believe this puts it as the #1 Thursday preview ever for WDAS just ahead of Big Hero 6 and Frozen. and #3 for any Disney related animation behind Inside Out and Monsters University. I would be sad about my 90M prediction failing here, but then again, The Lego Movie had 400K previews for a 69M debut in February. Plus, those movies had rougher competition. 70M+ can be achieved for sure, we'll see how bigger will it get after that.

It's just PAINFUL to look at Spectre atm