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1Robert1

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  1. 1Robert1
    no idea what mid week opening has to do with rest of it run, JW made another 80 mln after 4th week, and barbie will need 100 mln. 25 percent more with worse calendar.
  2. 1Robert1
    can you explain me how your math works, cause if barbie will be around 550, maybe even slightly better because next weekend is empty, and JW was 572. will barbie have better much better weekends than 37-38 percents drops as JW, or maybe july's weekdays will be much worse than late august /early september weekdays of jw.
  3. 1Robert1
    ok you hate this movie, so you will consider is a failure
  4. 1Robert1
    movie will make money, and it definitely helped toy sales so it's success not as big as disney wanted but still success
  5. 1Robert1
    according to forbes Disney's net spending on the movie was $212.1 million, with this number movie will have a profit.
  6. 1Robert1
    yes it will make more than 630 if it will continue to break records, in my opinion expecting that something will continue breaking records is optimistic, and in your opinion realistic. you are 100 percent right if it will have weekly drops around 40 percent it will be very close to 630, but last 5 days barbie was slightly worse than 40 percent, if it will have weekly drops around 42 percent it will finish with 610 mln.
  7. 1Robert1
    it doesnt matter if this people will watch this movie for the first time or not. there wasnt movie with 100mln opening released in july with with legs as barbie needs to reach 630.
  8. 1Robert1
    does it change fact that barbie needs more than 12 mln people to watch/rewatch this movie to hit 600 mln?
  9. 1Robert1
    so after this weekend it will need more than 9 mln females and 3 mln males to reach 600 mln. there is around 55 mln woman in america between 15-40, and around 25 mln of them already watched movie.
  10. 1Robert1
    well you ignored this part of my analysis where i mentioned memorial day and expansion, avengers was released on may 4th in southern states summer break started one month after avengers was released. You should also remember that i said 630 mln is imo too optimistic which means avenger plus 7 millions.
  11. 1Robert1
    wonder woman was very strong on the female audience, idea that barbie will make more than 50 percent more than ww is very optimistic for me, but you are right we have to wait to know how long legs can be.
  12. 1Robert1
    imo 630 is also to optmistic, avengers ended with 623, right now barbie is 4 mln ahead, avengers had 55 mln weekend, of course barbie will have better weekdays, but avengers had memorial day, so first month will be very similar, but late in run avengers had summer weekdays, and young people back in school/college will hurt barbie late legs. Avengers also had expansion which added around 5 mln. Last Jedi had really bad late legs, but after this monday will have 60 mln lead.
  13. 1Robert1
    If Barbie will fell 44 percent every week it will end below 600, 40 percent around 625, 35 percent around 680, how people calculated it may win with Maverick. It's still 40 mln behind jurrasic world, and barbie would have to beat 55 mln this weekend to get closer, and JW eneded with 652, after expansion.
  14. 1Robert1
    This movie had also other goals than box office success so Disney would want do this movie even if they know it wouldnt be a profitable movie. what about who framed rogger rabbit,
  15. 1Robert1
    Iger is definetely not suprised that barbie is much more popular than little mermaid...Animated little mermaid wasnt as popular as aladdin, lion king, or beauty and beast.
  16. 1Robert1
    you probably missed that Disney is looking to give one final boost to the box office of its live-action adaption of “The Little Mermaid”, as Disney has announced a special sing-along version of the film is going to be released to soon to say if it will be only in one country, but if this be worldwide event it will make more money. I dont see any reason why disney wouldnt want push it too 300mln in usa. Frozen reached 400mln after 155 days, and black panther reached 700mln after 171 days
  17. 1Robert1
    DOMESTIC (52.6%) $296,908,134 INTERNATIONAL (47.4%) $267,228,164 almost 2.8 mln last week WORLDWIDE $564,136,298
  18. 1Robert1
    if barbie will be on hbo max 45 days after release wouldnt it kill dreams about 1.5 bln ?
  19. 1Robert1
    how much will Barbie earn for WB?
  20. 1Robert1
    After 2nd weekend Barbie will be close to THE lion king can it have total as big as the lion king?
  21. 1Robert1
    Yesterday you predicted 560😉 disney wanted increase value of little mermaid brand, and if movie would be success it would be cherry on the cake.
  22. 1Robert1
    according to box office mojo it's already went over 560 DOMESTIC (52.8%) $296,107,607 INTERNATIONAL (47.2%) $264,451,010 WORLDWIDE $560,558,617 i dint expect that Barbenheimer effect will be so devastating for barbie in the usa, i thought it will comfortably reach 564 mln which is 2.35x of it's budget.
  23. 1Robert1
    usually movie needs 2.5x, so you're right about it, but LM isn't typical movie it will make more money in usa than in other countries, so i think something like 575 could give a minimal profit
  24. 1Robert1
    https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/08/14/back-to-school-dates-u-s/ft_19-08-09_schoolstartdates_1_2/ sorry but your comparison doesnt have sense cause we would have to compare the days when the children were at school(Aladdin case) with the days when the children were not at school(little mermaid).
  25. 1Robert1
    in usa LM made last week almost half of what Aladdin made, Aladdin made 20 mln more in upcoming weeks, 4 mln more for lm is very conservative bet, disney will definitely push it over 300 mln, and 5 mln internationally after 6.7 mln week is also very conservative. Deadline's predicted 300-350 in usa, so LM finishing so close to this lower number may mean that break-even point is slightly higher than 560.
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