lion king, and beauty and the best didnt made 2,9x of their openings, TLM will definetely make more than 275 mln, so i dont know how people can think it will have bad legs.
you forgot that scream vi wasnt released in russia, belarus, and definitely less people watched it in ukraine. So if scream v grossed less than 52 mln minus belarus, russia and ukraine scream vi is already 10 percent up.
My point is that am3 will make as much money internationally minus china and russia as am1. if we remember about exchange rate and covid it's not bad result. am3 flopping in china is another thing.
You forgot about exchange rate. am 3 wasnt released in russia. am3 already beat am1 in the usa, and still have chance to win internationally minus china and russia.
If smile will be around 11.75 mln this weekend and halloween ends 42 mln, then next weekend smile will be around 7 mln so halloween would have to fall more than 80 percent to finish below smile. It's not certain but its possible, who could predict this last month.
Spider-man is doing better in comparison to TFA during ffs than weekdays, TFA was fighting with revenant and ride along 2, so NWH can hold better than. it need 85 percent of tfa gross, last week it was 77 percent, so it will be very close.