1Robert1

So BP wouldn't win with Avatar?

I was thinking that 2012 is also Sony movie. It's already over 541 mln without Japan so it has big chance to win with sm3 OS.

In Monday Jumanji did 99.49% of last Monday, yesterday it did only 99.42% of last week Wed. #Crumbling

Probably even more than 600 mill, and in my opinion valerian doesn't have ANY chance to achieve this kind of number, so i'm curious why Besson think it's possible. He invested his own money in this movie, so theoretically he may go bankrupt.

My point was that movie production + movie promotion will cost much more than 200 mln $, so they will have to have earn around 500 mln to make any profit. How they can think it's possibile?

What about movie promotion? Wouldn't it costs additional tens of millions dollars?

TFA had 36th, 37th, 38th, 41st, 42nd and 43rd day better than JW, so TFA should finish higher than 921.

Avatar did around 110 mln $ in February, don't you think you are too pesimistic and TFA will be around 915/920 after february? Avengers made 40 mln after 43rd day, so I think that TFA shoud finish at least 925 mln.

Let's do some math first let's exclude China gross, if domestic gross will be in same percentage range as Ep 1-3 it will do between 45-48%. 900 mln (domestic) = 975mln ( OS minus china = 52% total gross) mln or 1100 mln( if OS minus China =55% total gross) 925 mln = 1.002 bln or 1.130 950 mln = 1.03 bln or 1.160 975 mln = 1.056 bln or 1.190 1 bln = 1.083 bln or 1.220 In China thread the're predicting 120 mln. I think it will end somewhere between 925-950 in north america, and OS gross will be somewhere between 52%-55% (let's say 53.5%). So my predictions is that it will end between 2.11 bln and 2.165 bln.

So 1 bln is rather unlikely?

So TFA after Sunday will be around $ 815 mln, can it make another 100 mln this month?

But it need 70% to overpass 1bln...

But it doesn't need huge drop to miss 1bln. Avatar made $ 312 mln in January if TFA will have 15% less it will end January with around 915 mln, if so imho it will miss 1bln. Do you think 15% less than Avatar is a huge drop? I don't think so.

Of course TFA could have great weekends, but JW had in 4th weekend over 29 mln, so if TFA needs 70% it means that it need around 50 mln in 4th weekend, and we shouldn't forget that TFA doesn't have weekdays which are 70% better than JW, so it need even better weekend.

After 17 days JW made $ 500 mln, then only 152, TFA needs 258mln, it's 70% more, so if JW made 6.5 mln in 18th day TFA should have 11 mln, so i don't really understand how TFA can make 1 bln.

So in January TFA will have 10 days better than Avatar, and Avatar will have 21 days better than TFA, and in the end of the month both films will be around 312 mln, isn't that a little bit to optimistic for TFA?

So you think that TFA will have better January than Avatar? Is this possible?

Just don't forget how many people lived in usa in 80s and how many lives now...

My mistake, what I wanted to say is that SW7 tickets sale isn't so great in comparison to TPM and first trilogy.

According to my last link in 1980 TESB sold 98 million, in 1983 Return... sold 94 million, in 1980 there was 1,022 bln ticktets sold, in 1982 almost 1,2 bln in 2015 1.3 bln (so far). So you have a right that since TPM ticket sale is declining, but in 80s was even lower.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm?adjust_yr=1 If this site doesn't lie it means that TFA will have to sell more than 27 millions tickets to outsell TPM, and let's not forget that right now in the usa there's 15% more population than in 1999, so in fact TFA records aren't so great (if we doesn't focus only on BO).