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Gavin Feng

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Everything posted by Gavin Feng

  1. I don’t think there is anything wrong with The Mermaid’s number. Moreover,even if The Mermaid did the same thing like IP3 with ¥500M and SARFT decides cut this part,there is still nothing change about highest grossing film of all time.
  2. If BvS isn’t worse than MoS,there is no difficultly that it will earn $70M+ OW($20M-$27M-$23M).
  3. Zoo drops 71.8%,but still taking an estimated $6.44M(¥42M) Monday(more than Zoo took on the first Monday)
  4. I think BvS won’t enter the top 10 of 2016 if it couldn’t earn ¥1.2B or more in China…and Zoo have a chance to stay in the top 10
  5. I’m glad to see the success of Zoo in China,but I’m worried if it could enter the top 10 of year finally.You know,all top 10 movies were higher than ¥957M in 2015,and the market has a great change every year.I afraid Zoo need ¥1.2B(maybe much more than this number) at least to stay in the top 10 this year. I don’t mean something(like dash cold water to someone).Entering Top 10 is difficult to HLW movies in recent years.Maybe only CA3 and X-Men could still achieve that this year.
  6. ¥150M…this number was created about 8:30pm... In my estimate,Zoo would gross $170M(about ¥1.1B yuan) in China if it could hold on when The Revenant and BvS show.
  7. It just takes Zoo 17 hours to break the animation record of single day(¥126M) in China which create by Kung Fu Panda 3 in Jan.30.There is no doubt that it will beat ¥150M Sat. and ¥120M+ Sun.
  8. Kung Fu Panda 3 and Minions were killed by date.Zoo doesn’t have a good one but it earns a perfect public praise in auidence just like Interstellar did.
  9. Yeah,maybe it would beat the record of HLW opening week which is ¥958M by TA2,but I still wanna give a conservative estimate(35M-45M-40M)
  10. The biggest 3-day OW is ¥680M by Lost in Hong Kong last year.Transformer 4 earned ¥619M 3-day OW.
  11. Zoo may earn ¥70M+ Fri. and have a great chance to beat ¥150M Sat. … God of Egypt could gross ¥40M OD.I hope The Revenant would do better.
  12. I know someone who will,but he has told the whole movie would’t be shown tomorrow
  13. We don’t need worry about OD because many fans still would go cinema,and you know IM3 created the OD record and TA2 was just behind F7.
  14. If CW is really good like CA2,the problem would be whether it could beat TA2.I am worried the negative effective given by TA2 is still here.
  15. It may have a chance if CW is the next AOU or worse... CW will earn $35M at least on the first day no matter when it will open.
  16. I wanna see the real number too…If the rumor is real,I think Ip Man 3 will get a disappointing number which is worse than no faking. My prediction of BvS in China is $130M(Final) because MoS didn’t do well in 2013 and no HLW film did well after Jurassic World.I heard some news that premiere of China won’t show the whole film,but the day after tomorrow will hold a showing for critic and media,so I may change my number based on the preview.
  17. March were always dull time in recent years.I don’t wanna kill Zoo by over praise,but it really has a great public praise in audience and could make the market live up. I am not sure what the destiny of IP Man 3 will be after so much troubles,and how much The Revenant would earn from China(I don’t think most Chinese audience would like this kind of movie and go cinema for it even Leo won Oscar). I think you wanna tell me that the market wouldn’t be hot by just this or that film except the BUG from Furious7 or Transformers 4.The ‘hot’ I said meant relative.March was always dull time in recent years. BvS may earn $100m in China within first 7 days.That’s the best situation.Ip Man 3 is not in my consideration because there is a rumor said the fake part will be cut.
  18. The Mermaid still earned $1M on Wed.,has already grossed ¥3.33B in China for 30 days.
  19. The Mermaid is the first one to gross $500M in China…I am afraid no HLW movie could earn this number in North America this year... This is February Box Office in China about big three local film and Kung fu Panda 3.
  20. Zootopia have a good public praise,like Interstellar...Tuesday is Mar.8,some workers had a holiday.
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