What F9 make in advance ticket sale is now:
- 161% of H&S. (¥1080M opening)
- 96% of TF5. (¥836M opening)
- 50% of F8. (¥676M opening)
- 29% of IW (¥368M opening)
It doesn't seem like that F9 could hit ¥400M daily mark. Actually, it's not even very clear if it could make ¥300M and ¥350M on FRI and SAT, respectively. In other words, ¥1B opening is very unlikely from what we've seen.
¥900M opening somehow is not a great target either. It usually require a import movie to make ¥180M-plus in advance ticket sale considering the formula: ad ticket sale / opening weekend > 20% (mostly it's for huge movies)
¥800M-level opening should be the most likely result at this point. Even if its SAT is just ¥300M, it's not hard for the movie to do ¥230M on FRI or SUN with conservative prediction of ¥40M from midnights. Of course, it would be another story if WOM is not well.