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Everything posted by Jake Gittes
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The petulance of people who have seen their precious funnybook nonsense become the literal and ever-growing center of pop culture, making ungodly amounts of money and dwarfing everything around it ever more, but refuse to be fulfilled until it also gets that Academy validation - at the expense of (oh no!!!) "sub 50m grossers", for some of which, in our current messed-up world, an Oscar nod is the only means of attracting attention that they deserve, and that is ultimately still just a sliver of the attention that any MCU movie gets in one day - does not cease to impress me. What's additionally hilarious is the underlying implication behind this that the Academy that, at the most recent ceremony, showered Green Book, Bohemian Rhapsody and Black Panther with the most awards, is just not mainstream-minded enough.
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Part A: 1. Will Avengers Open to more than $260M? 1000 Yes 2. Will Avengers Open to more than $300M? 2000 Yes 3. Will Avengers Open to more than $280M? 3000 Yes 4. Will Avengers Saturday increase from its true Friday (excluding Thursday previews)? 4000 Yes 5. Will Will Avengers' make more than 82.5% of all the box office of every film reported by BOM when actuals are released? 5000 Yes 6. Will La Larona drop less than 56%? 1000 No 7. Will Pet Semetary stay above Us? 2000 No 8. Will Avengers Endgame overtake Dumbo's Domestic total on its opening day? 3000 Yes 9. Will any film in the top 15 drop more than 65%? 4000 Yes 10. Will Hellboy's PTA stay above $750? 5000 No 11. Will Little increase more than 40% on Saturday? 1000 Yes 12. Will Shazam drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 Yes 13. Will the White Crow have a PTA above $12k? 3000 Yes 14. Will After stay above PEnguins? 4000 No 15. Will Captain Marvel decrease less than 20%? 5000 Yes 16. Will Shazam's domestic total on Saturday be closer to the domestic total of Dumbo or How to Train Your Dragon? 1000 Dumbo 17. Will Pet Semetary have the worst PTA in the top 10? 2000 No 18. Will Breakthrough overtake Hellboy DOmestically by the end of the weekend? 3000 Yes 19. How many films will make more than $2.5M this weekend? 4000 7 20. Will Thanos ultimately be defeated by the power of friendship? 5000 Yup Bonus: 12/20 3000 13/20 5000 14/20 8000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 20,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Avengers make for its 3 day OW? 310.974 2. What will Dumbo's Sunday gross be? 0.993 3. What will Missing Link's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $904 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Avengers Endgame 3. Shazam! 6. Little 8. Us 9. Pet Sematary 11. Missing Link
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Summer Game 2019 Preseason prediction Thread
Jake Gittes replied to chasmmi's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
A: Domestic top 15: 1) Avengers Endgame - 820m 2) The Lion King - 487m 3) Spider-Man: Far from Home - 383m 4) Toy Story 4 - 338m 5) Detective Pikachu - 337m 6) Godzilla: King of the Monsters - 245m 7) Hobbs and Shaw - 236m 😎 The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 220m 9) Aladdin - 200m 10) John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - 145m 11) Yesterday - 129m 12) Annabelle Comes Home - 125m 13) Once Upon a Time in Hollywood - 124m 14) Rocketman - 113m 15) It: Chapter 2 - 107m Backup 16*) Dark Phoenix - 106m *Only used if a film above exits the game B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Avengers Endgame - 311m 2) The Lion King - 170m 3) Toy Story 4 - 107m 4) Detective Pikachu - 106m 5) It: Chapter 2 - 100m 6) Hobbs and Shaw - 96m 7) Spider-Man: Far from Home - 87m Backup 8*) Godzilla: King of the Monsters - 83m *Only used if a film above exits the game 😄 Worldwide top 12: 1) Avengers Endgame - 2.499 billion 2) The Lion King - 1.213 billion 3) Detective Pikachu - 1.000 billion 4) Spider-Man: Far from Home - 959m 5) Toy Story 4 - 824m 6) Hobbs and Shaw - 816m 7) The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 764m 😎 Godzilla: King of the Monsters - 722m 9) Aladdin - 614m 10) Yesterday - 392m 11) Dark Phoenix - 378m 12) Annabelle Comes Home - 357m Backup 13*) MIB International - 339m *Only used if a film above exits the game 😧 TOP 5 Weekends 1) April 26-28 - 368m 2) May 31 - June 2 - 250m 3) July 19-21 - 240m 4) May 10-12 - 230m 5) June 7-9 - 229m backup 6*) June 21-23 - 228m *Only used if a film above exits the game E: Multipliers 1) Yesterday - 4.6 2) Spider-Man: Far from Home - 4.4 3) Poms - 4.0 4) Dora and the Lost City of Gold - 3.8 5) Midsommar - 3.7 backup 6*) Rocketman - 3.4 *Only used if a film above exits the game F: Total Grosses Top 15 DOM) 3.999 billion Top7 OW) 943m Top 12 WW) 10.4 billion Top 5 W/E) 1.3 billion Average Multi) 4.1 G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M Dark Phoenix B: 200M Aladdin 😄 300M Detective Pikachu 😧 400M Spider-Man: Far from Home E: 500M The Lion King RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.5B The Lion King B: $1B Detective Pikachu 😄 800M Hobbs and Shaw 😧 600M Aladdin E: 400M Yesterday RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month: A: April Avengers Endgame B: May Detective Pikachu 😄 June Toy Story 4 😧 July The Lion King E: August Hobbs and Shaw