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Caveman Sam

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About Caveman Sam

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  1. Worth noting: With May Day holiday falling on a Wednesday, a lot of people will book the Thursday and Friday off to make it a long weekend. A decent proportion of people will have been off work. Still a good sign for legs though.
  2. I guess $50M+ implies a ~$180M weekend is possible, which would retain $1Bn as a possibility. To be honest, I don't think $1Bn is realistic at this point, excepting very strong late legs. TFA's $937 is the target to look for at this point. We should probably be looking for a ~$160M weekend for that, so around $45M tonight.
  3. Great post, solid reasoning. I've been thinking along the same lines myself. And yes, I agree, this next weekend and the following weekdays are key. EG needs at least a $20M lead after the third weekend or things will become difficult.
  4. Wed, Thur, Fri, Sat are holidays, Sunday is a working day. Should make good money Wed to Fri.
  5. I agree. Anything in the 34+ range will be a very good showing, after a $38M Monday.
  6. I'm hardly an "expert", but a $95M third weekend seems incredibly optimistic. $140M second weekend seems reasonable, but anything over $80M would be very surprising for the third. $70-75M would be a strong showing.
  7. Okay, a quick spot-update from the UK: I went to a midnight showing last night. 8 screens, mostly large (mine was ~600 seats), all starting at midnight, all sold out 100%. Frankly it was chaos! The cinema just wasn't built for that capacity with a simultaneous start time. They had to keep people in the lobby and let them up the escalator in batches, direct people into the screens in batches, and had massive lines for a pre-show trip to the toilets. Forget about getting concessions unless you were a half hour early... And they still had people on the doors turning away walk-ins - and lots of them actually (hundreds of people walking up to a midnight showing? madness...). Was kind of bizarre getting stuck in traffic for 30mins trying to leave the car park at 3am! I went to the midnight showing of IW, and it was busy, but this was on another plane of reality entirely! One more thing I will say: Do not underestimate the legs on this thing. It'll get an A+ cinema score, of that I'm absolutely certain, and people will be talking about it for decades.
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