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YM!

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Everything posted by YM!

  1. Even then Pikachu did better in the kids department, that doesn’t bode well for legs as it is hinting more towards a CBM like run than a family film.
  2. Demos were 61% guys, 39% women with 32% under 17, and 46% between 18-34 years old. Diversity demos showed a strong turnout among Latino and Hispanic audiences of 38%, Caucasian at 29%, 20% Black and 13% Asian/other. Sonic was great everywhere, but showed power on the coasts and in the South. PLFs by Saturday AM drove 22% of ticket sales. EntTelligence showed also this AM, 2.1M moviegoers watched the sequel. On Friday, approximately 31% of the audience came before 5PM, 46% came during the 5PM to 8PM dayparts, and 23% of patrons showed up after 8PM. By comparison, Encanto had over 83% of their audience see the film before 8PM on opening day. Average ticket price for Sonic 2 was $11.95. Not sure I like these demographics for Sonic 2 as it seems less children than anticipated.
  3. Hmmm I wonder what type of holds it would need to get to 200m. Let us assume a $70m OW at least, give or take an extra million or two. April 8-10th: $70m (*1.39 for the dailies = $97.2m by Thursday the 14th) April 15-17th: $38.5m/$46m (-45%, assuming Beasts underperforms that weekend and/or isn’t as large a family draw) (*1.6 for the dailies by Thursday the 21st = $159m) April 22nd-24th: $18.1m (-53% because The Bad Guys is still family competition and screen loss) (*1.4 for the dailies = $184.3M total by Thursday the 28th) April 29th-May 1st: $9.95m (-45%) (*1.4 for dailies by Thursday the 5th = $198.2m) In order for this to be plausible, Sonic 2 must play like a family movie.
  4. Nice. EC, out of curiosity do you have any knowledge about the Father Of The Bride’s release strategy. I just got an ad for it from YouTube saying only in theaters.
  5. While Yates direction is tired, I do think a decent bunch of the problems stem from JK Rowling doing the screenwriting as writing a script and writing a book are two different things. As this has been like three movies, and the reception hasn’t lit the world a fire. Just have her be an executive producer
  6. I want to double check to make sure I got my sources right but I swear I saw “only in theaters June 16th” from the ad. We might get a better idea this week with Dumbledore on the way as it may be an attachment.
  7. I just got an ad for the Father of The Bride remake but instead of just being on HBO Max, it’s now theatrical, which is interesting. Same date too.
  8. I feel whether we like it or not Minions seems a little low. Though audience fatigue is a big thing, I suspect Universal will market it to hell and back, so more so thinking $60m-$70m. Mario Bros and Puss In Boots do seem a bit too high OW, as Mario will more likely have a six day around Sing, maybe $80m as it faces intense competition from Avatar 2 and to a lesser extent Shazam. Also the 11 year wait for Puss in Boots with the audience then being adults now who I doubt are as interested especially with Across in two weeks. Probably 20m-35m at most. I agree with everything else though.
  9. Apart from Eternals, I haven’t really been impressed that much visuals (again not saying these movies are bad, I like all of these ones but FFH). Black Panther and Shang-Chi both have really strong production design and some well-executed scenes in the first two acts, however some wonky CGI kind of holds both of them back from the spectacle based third act. No Way Home which again was the best live action Spider-Man movie in fourteen years on second glance looks inferior in visual quality from both Far From Home and The Amazing Spider-Man 2, which looks far better and crisper. Infinity War and Endgame are also solid in terms of visuals and CGI but I’m in the minority that the final battle in Endgame looks too murky.
  10. Apart from like Far From Home, I don’t think there’s a MCU movie as bad as Transformers 2 or Transformers 5, yes. Hell, I’m not even saying the Transformers movies are better than the MCU movies from a quality perspective. What I am saying though is the film for better or worse tend to be more thorough in terms of production design and visuals. I like the MCU a lot but from the visual department for the past four years (ie 2018-2022), they are easily at best passable in terms of visuals and often inconsistent.
  11. Like all good sequels, there’s a solid reason why Sonic 2 had a strong opening, it did the one thing everyone knows what Sonic is known for.
  12. With Sonic 2 liking doing a $67m-$72m OW, I do wonder how the rest of the animation (Yes I know Sonic isn’t fully animated) should perform and what could top it. I think Lightyear seems like an opener around $80m-$90m. Minions 2 could also top it as while I do think a decrease is due, Sing 2 if it hadn’t been for Covid could’ve topped the first one. I think Across The Spider Verse also has a good chance but probably more 50m-60m.
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