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Everything posted by YM!
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Still unlike past $200M+ openers, WW has no nostalgia or a strong enough hook (A1 was the first time we got a team of superheroes in live action format and that is the only CBM that's done $200M+ OW). Beast which had way more hype and family appeal did $174M OW and unlike Beast it's tracking the most at males. Not to mention, WW doesn't have a holiday to benefit from like World nor does it have no competition (Underpants which targets families will take enough a chuck to stop $150M+ OW, no $150M+ opener has dealt with something that doing $30M-$50M OW). -
Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby
YM! replied to Impact's topic in Box Office Derby
Wonder Woman: $135M Captain Underpants: $45M -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
But JW had no competition, Fathers Day, nostalgia, and didn't have the frontloadedness of a CBM. Assuming Wonder Woman has the typical 6.4x multiple that most DCEU movies have it'd need about $31M in previews for a $200M+ OW. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Many factors to consider too. GV2 got $17M in previews and did $146.5M OW in May, SS did $20M and did $133M OW, BVS did $27M in previews and did $166M OW and CW did $25M in previews and did $179M OW. Given the frontloaded nature of CBMs, I'd say $22M-$23M in previews for $150M for WW to happen. However considering the evidence of WW ~80% of SS at the same point. And judging by @grim22 preview Thursday count, it should head from $11M-$17M in previews.