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YM!

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Everything posted by YM!

  1. YM!
    I get to live another day. Top 9 is pretty good.
  2. YM!
    Can Pirates 5 end up below GV2 WW?
  3. YM!
    Waiting like
  4. YM!
    Remember the good looking ones got shitty marketing or had a too soon TV series which may've caused diminished grosses. However considering how Universal (like Disney and WB) are excellent/non stop marketers, I wouldn't be surprised if they started to have $200M+ domestic grossers again.
  5. YM!
    Not to mention DWA is playing smart moves by outsourcing some of their films like Underpants so they can have $60M-$80M budgets.
  6. YM!
    Prepare for Illumination film sized numbers once Universal takes control.
  7. YM!
    Baywatch might do under $35M for the five day after all. North Shore Cinema (Mequon, WI) 28 minutes before showtime for Baywatch 42/301 for the 7:00 in ULSCRN - 13.9%
  8. YM!
    I would make a Valerian flop joke but question whether people come after LeGOD NinjaGOD or not.
  9. YM!
    Also saw two ads for it while watching Family Guy on Fox Sunday.
  10. YM!
    http://variety.com/2017/digital/news/captain-underpants-the-first-epic-movie-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1202440162/ Yep. Non existent marketing.
  11. YM!
    http://variety.com/2017/digital/news/captain-underpants-the-first-epic-movie-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1202440162/ Yep. Non existent marketing for Underpants.
  12. YM!
    Pirates is looking somewhat decent though for Thursday previews. 4 showings (7:00, 7:30, 10:00, 10:30), 2/4 is in Ultrascreen (which it's selling the best in), no 3D though which is strange. 94/301 sold for 7:00 in USCN - 31.2% 3/105 sold for 7:30 - 2.8% 72/301 sold for 10:00 in USCN - 23.9% 2/105 sold for 10:30 - 1.9% 171/812 total seats - 21%
  13. YM!
    North Shore Cinema (Mequon, WI) report: 5/24/17 Baywatch has two showings (7:00 and 9:50) for Wednesday previews and in Ultrascreen (PLF kind of like IMAX) both are looking miserable at about 10% from first glance. 32/301 sold for 7:00 showing - 10.6% 32/301 sold for 9:50 showing - 10.6% 64/602 total seats 10.6% sold. Thinking sub $3M for previews
  14. YM!
    According to a sizzle reel for SPA's January upfront, Morales was rocking a red and blue costume.
  15. YM!
    1.) Amusement Park $350M OW/$1B (obviously a joke) 1.) Infinity War $210M/$520M 2.) The Incredibles 2 $145M/$465M 3.) Jurassic World 2 $190M/$460M 4.) Han Solo $130M/$400M 5.) Black Panther $120M/$360M 6.) Aquaman $100M/$330M 7.) Dead2ool $140M/$320M 8.) Grinch $80M/$315M 9.) Ready Player One/Mulan $90M/$275M 10.) New Mutants $105M/$260M 11.) Mortal Engines $85M/$250M 12.) Fantastic Beasts 2 $80M/$230M 13.) Animated Spider-Man $30M 3 Day/$55M 5 Day/$220M 14.) Ant Man and The Wasp/Wrinkle In Time $75M/$215M 15.) Mission Impossible 6/Alita: Battle Angel $65M/$200M 15.) Wreck It Ralph 2 $40M 3 Day/$65M 5 Day/$200M 16.) Hotel Transylvania 3 $55M/$180M 17.) Venom $75M/$175M 17.) Dark Phoenix $65M/$175M 18.) Rampage $55M/$160M 18.) Tomb Raider $65M/$160M 19.) Bumblebee/The Predator $65M/$150M 19.) Fifty Shades Freed/Magic Camp $45M/$130M 20.) Poppins Returns $25M 3 Day/$45M 5 Day/$130M 21.) Robin Hood/The Pact/Watson and Holmes/O8 $45M/$120M 22.) Jungle Book Origins/Goosebumps 2/Amusement Park/Smallfoot $30M/$105M 23.) Peter Rabbit $25M/$90M 24.) Maze Runner: The Death Cure/Pacific Rim 2/Red Sparrow $35M ($25M)/$85M
  16. YM!
    Yes he is, it was confirmed in around January I think.
  17. YM!
    I think $200M+ will happen for this, especially if Black Panther breaks out.
  18. YM!
    If the visuals and 3D is good, and Aquaman is loved in JL, $1B could happen.
  19. YM!
  20. YM!
    Of course I am still seeing $800M-$850M WW but not $900M WW.
  21. YM!
    If we used the same DOM/OS split for Beasts 2 as Beasts 1, it'd need $260M+ domestic at the minimum to reach $900M Worldwide. Made a slight miscalculation on the amount domestic needed and I'm assuming the ER doesn't get worse. November 2nd: Mulan will likely do $250M-$350M domestic, and with a decrease Phoenix would do $135M-$140M domestic. November 9th: If we use Illumination domestic average, Grinch would reach about $270M domestic maybe a bit higher considering how big the Grinch is and how dry the market is for family movies. November 16th: Assuming Beasts 2 increases OW ($80M-$90M), it need about 2.9x multiple considering the high end. However given the nature of sequels I expect it to be a bit more frontloaded. November 23rd: Wreck It Ralph 2, a WDAS feature opens in IMAX 3D and in PLF, could mean a slightly bigger drop in second weekend. Using WDAS average it'd be at $193M domestic, However thinking WIR2 might be a bit more like TLBM than TS2. December also has a lot more potential bigger hits than 2016, like Mortal Engines, Aquaman, Animated Spider-Man and Mary Poppins Returns compared to Rogue One, Sing, and Passengers. That's also assuming Han Solo doesn't move.
  22. YM!
    I was talking about domestic numbers for Beasts 2 not WW. Beasts will be a beast (pun intended) OS but has a lot of competition domestic, it needs about $300M domestic for $900M WW, I don't think domestic wise it'll have what it takes.
  23. YM!
    Mulan is straight up Live Action was massive China appeal, seems very likely for $650M-$900M. TJB almost did $1B, Also Beast did $1.2B, and is Emma Watson's highest grossing movie domestic (not DH2). Grinch is an Illumination movie based of a beloved book, Sing did $270M last year domestic with about $600M WW. WIR2 is a wild card but WDAS has been on fire recently. Dark Phoenix is another Xmen movie. 3/4 of these has PLFs and IMAX all 4 have 3D. Beasts barely outgrossed Strange. Although internationally Beasts 2 will do great, domestically it'll likely stay flat or decrease.
  24. YM!
    Still think Beasts 2 will do $85M/$220M/$800M it has to deal with Mulan, Phoenix, Grinch, and WIR2 which is way to much competition.
  25. YM!
    Good. YourDAJK is dead and Arlvin is stronger than before.
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