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Everything posted by YM!
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Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018
YM! replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
The big three will be Infinity War, JW2, and Incredibles 2. However I'm expecting and seeing a lot of break outs. -
To be honest, although I like Lucasfilm/Marvel/WDAS/Pixar, Disney's live action slate has become nothing but cash grab remakes, if they were to remake a less beloved animated movie like Atlantis/Brother Bear/Treasure Planet, I'd be okay with that since there's a good chance it can improve. Disney used to bring use stuff more original live action films like Pirates, Flubber, National Treasure, etc. Remakes should be use to redo bad/mediocre/flawed films. Although Pixar is breaking free from their sequel state (Pixar said after TS4, their next 5 films will be original), and WDAS only doing 2 sequels seems to be a good sign, The only non Lucasfilm/Marvel films like @That One Valerian said before, I'm anticipating are Wrinkle In Time, Incredibles 2, Coco, and Wreck It Ralph 2.
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In 1995, Toy Story was the first entirely CGI animated movie but went on to become the highest grossing movie of 1995. Disney has low expectations for it, and it broke out hugely. I'm not saying Disney's slate is original, in fact it's not and from a creative standpoint I'm disappointed, but they do release an original movie every year though the majority are animated. Disney, seems to be trying to branch out with Jungle Cruise and Magic Camp, even some if it's untitled films are untitled live action not untitled fairy tale.
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I still would be out of time, the test ends at 2 PM EST.
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I'm assuming someone on the losing team.
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@Spaghetti of 1000 Planets, I'm really busy this week. I don't think I'd be able to get this weeks predictions until like Friday Night. I have some big AP exams and need to study. I'm asking you could I be exempted from this weeks challenge or be my team's guardian.
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Top 10 of 2018 predictions: From JAN 1st 2018 to DEC 31st 2018
YM! replied to YM!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
WW top 10 of 2018: 1.) Jurassic World 2: $1.4B 2.) Infinity War: $1.3B 3.) Incredibles 2: $1.05B 4.) Mulan: $950M 5.) Dead2ool: $900M 6.) Han Solo: $870M 7.) Beasts 2: $850M 8.) Grinch: $750M 9.) Aquaman/Black Panther: $700M 10.) Mission Impossible 5: $650M -
If we use multiple in the past, Marvel movies make anywhere from 15%-29% of their foreign total OW. GV2 is estimated at $101M. If it's 15%, GV2 heads for an unlikely $675M OS total. If it's 29% GV2 heads for an unlikely $348M OS total. If it's 20% GV2 ends at $506M OS total It it's 22%, GV2 ends at $460M OS total. 24% takes us to $420M OS. We should have a better idea, next weekend. Guardians 2 has done a decent increase in Europe from 1, it should increase in SK and China even if not huge increases. Predictions: China: $110M UK: $50M AUS: $30M SK: $27M Germany: $25M France: $23M Russia: $20M Brazil: $20M Mexico: $20M Puts it at least $325M, not considering other markets. If we also look at G1 top 5, it equals $230.3M, about 52% of it's OS gross, assuming these numbers are correct and GV2 is at $242M, it'd end at $460M OS.
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In AUD, it did about $15.5M for the 6 Day, assuming @JJ-8 and @DeeCee used AUD, it'd still be on track for $140M-$160M OW.
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The predictions were in AUD, I think.
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I have the upmost faith that all of the three will be good. To be honest, if it were another Spider-Man movie that had Peter Parker as the lead, I'd be on the sub $150M domestic bandwagon. However Miles Morales could be a real draw, plus with Lord, Miller, and to a lesser extent Hirsch in charge, it'll be great.