Jonwo
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Posts posted by Jonwo
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I'm thinking Lego Batman will have a $85-90m OW though $100m wouldn't be a surprise. It'll do much better than The Lego Movie OS although I'm not expecting a huge increase.
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Rogue One opened very well, it's still the second highest December opening of all time which is not to be sniffed at
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I wonder if La La Land will hit number 1 once it goes wide? I'm listening to the soundtrack and loving it so far, it doesn't come out in the U.K. until January which is annoying
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Buying Lucasfilm and Marvel helped Disney because their live action slate apart from Pirates wasn't up to much. Owning your IP rather than licensing it makes
more money for the bottom line since you keep all the profits
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2 hours ago, yjs said:
about how much successful you're seeing? $250M or more closer to $300M?
Closer to $300m but it wouldn't surprise if it just misses it. OS I'm thinking $300-350m since it'll do well in some markets but not others
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La La Land's going to be Lionsgate and Summit's most successful film in a while both commercially and awards wise.
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3 minutes ago, kswiston said:
Manchester is going to ride out the awards nominations. It's a frontrunner in several categories. Unless Amazon has plans to pull it from theatres in the near future, it could continue playing fairly well until late February.
I think La La Land is heading for $100M+ pretty easily.
Amazon probably won't start streaming it until late March anyway, they're not like Netflix who don't opt for a theatrical release
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1 minute ago, CoolioD1 said:
i loved nocturnal animals but it's pretty obvious it's not a movie that plays. manchesters doing pretty good i never expected too much more than 20mil for it. it's already lonergan's biggest movie!
Amazon Studios have made some great acquisitions with Manchester by the Sea, Love and Friendship, Paterson etc they're one to look out for along with A24
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I'm curious about how Sing does because I'm thinking it'll be successful domestically but not so well OS similar to The Lego Movie and The Lorax.
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2 hours ago, Durden said:
Guardians + Snatched = King Arthur is doomed.
It was doomed when it was originally scheduled for March.
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50 minutes ago, Captain H said:
If Cameron is finished with the Avatar sequels (And he's really making 4 of those) before 2020, I think the December spot is locked for space operas until 2023 or so. If not, I can see Marvel experimenting with a December release for their Phase 4.
I could see WB/DC putting a film in December but I think Disney will keep Marvel for Spring/Summer/November and Star Wars for May and December.
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2 minutes ago, babz06 said:
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol had a December opening although it had a weird release schedule. Limited release (425 theaters) on Dec. 16 and went wide Dec. 21(wed)
29.5m 3-day weekend; 44.8m 5-day eventually becoming the second highest grossing film of the franchise.
Every other Mission Impossible opened in the summer with at least 40m OW. So this seems to support the fact that usually December releases have lower opening weekends but with higher multipliers.
Ghost Protocol did $15m on its limited release, enough for third place, it was risky putting it in December but it did pay off beating Sherlock Holmes domestically and internationally.
I wonder if Disney or WB would put a superhero film in December? The last time we've had a superhero film that broke out big in December was Superman just under 40 years ago.
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It'll be interesting that Moana does in Germany, I could see it eating into Sing's legs
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I find Illumination hit and miss but I do think the review of Sing above does raise some good points about the studio's approach to their films.
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14 minutes ago, wildphantom said:
They're a bad sign when they're on the level of the biggest films of this year?
I repeat. This is not Star Wars Episode VIII. It is also not the most anticipated film in history and the continuation of a story people had waited over 30 years for.
It will do around a billion worldwide. A huge success, and most importantly - it's really good. Get some perspective.
Did you really come on here thinking this should be one of the biggest movies of all time?!?! Really?
Itll still be the second highest OW of December and it still has Christmas holidays coming up.
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It can still get to £55-60m because of Christmas holidays, I don't see huge drops happening until Mid January
£17m in December is still fantastic, only TFA has done better and that was an anomaly in terms of December openings
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32 minutes ago, Heretic said:
That's quite bad, especially as it was boosted by midnights.
Huge drop from the £9.7m of TFA.
Might not even reach £20m over the 4-day, but we'll see how it performs over the weekend. Still huge numbers though, just not the same magnitude as TFA.
To be fair, TFA being the first Star Wars in a decade plus the original characters returning meant it was always going to be huge, Rogue One was never going to match that, it'll still be the biggest OW of the year and likely the biggest film of 2016
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£4.8-4.9m would still be brilliant for Rogue One's OD and with Christmas coming up it'll have great weekdays
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Decent trailer, good that the Minions were kept to a minimum although I suspect they'll feature more in later trailers
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16 minutes ago, CJohn said:
Cursed Child will destroy all the records.
If it happens, they might decided to keep as a play
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Illumination don't have a hope at winning at the Oscars against much stronger competition from Zootopia, Moana, Your Name etc
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9 minutes ago, AJG said:
My bet is that they have his sister and he has to get her back.
That seems the most plausible reason, it's interesting that the UK doesn't use the US title as its Fast and Furious 8 in the U.K but they've done that since Fast and Furious 5
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Bet Mirren is either Mama Shaw or the villain for Fast 9 and she just cameos in this one.
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3 hours ago, Heretic said:
That's just an average though, but I guess there isn't any really other way to measure ticket price.
It doesn't take into account 3D premiums and also location premiums. For example, in London ticket prices can be nearly double prices in other parts of the country, and London accounts for about a quarter of gross, sometimes more.
Not just 3D but also PLFs like IMAX, 4DX etc we've seen an increase in the number of IMAX screens which likely had contributed to the increase in the average
xXx: The Return of Xander Cage | January 20, 2017
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
The Last Witch Hunter and Riddick didn't do great but didn't affect Fast. I guess Vin has to do one bad movie in the years that a Fast film is released.