Jonwo
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Posts posted by Jonwo
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Could Hidden Figures do Revenant OW numbers? Unlikely but a $30m OW wouldn't surprise me. Sully did $1.34m but that had IMAX as well
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On 02/01/2017 at 3:46 PM, YourMother said:
Hey is it too early to start a top 10 for 2018 predictions thread?
Ready Player One doing over $200m domestic wouldn't surprise me
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Dunkirk to make over $250m domestic and $700-750m WW and Wonder Woman to open with $125m and $340m domestic
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3 minutes ago, filmlover said:
And yet they still had a much better year than most studios. Fox Searchlight made only $30M last year if you take out 2015 holdover Brooklyn, yikes.
True although Ab Fab was successful for them OS making a nice profit from just the UK alone.
Amazon Studios had a great year along with STX.
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6 minutes ago, filmlover said:
It just got lost in the shuffle and whatever awards buzz it might've had has completely faded. They should've kept it as a wide October release, where it actually might have done alright.
Focus seems to have faltered in the last year, their only successes were through the Gramery label with The Forest and London has Fallen and critical success with Kubo and Nocturnal Animals.
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8 minutes ago, filmlover said:
Paterson is off to an okay start. Probably gonna top out with less than $5M unless Driver gets a surprise nomination (which he won't).
Paterson is a great film, I saw it a few weeks back and thought Adam Driver was excellent in it.
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The PTA for Dangal is insane, that's better than Lion which was in 200 more cinemas.
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I think The Mummy will be $50-65m OW more in line with Cruise's Mission Impossible films. Wonder Woman has more chance of repeating number 1 than The Mummy making over $100m on its opening weekend.
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12 hours ago, EmpireCity said:
I would be absolutely shocked if Avatar 2 makes a release date less than 2 years away. No way is Disney going to release Han Solo only 3 weeks after Avengers and 5 months after Episode 8.
You can bet your ass that Han Solo will move to Dec. 13th, 2018 and Avatar is magically delayed until Dec. 18th, 2020.
Star Wars will likely take a year off and you will get the Obi-Wan spin off in 2021
I did think Han Solo might move to December 21st but December 13th is more likely so there is breathing room between it and Mary Poppins Returns. Mortal Engines will probably move to the 18th December, 21 December or Christmas Day.
I'm sort of surprise Disney hasn't scheduled Episode IX yet, It's likely December 19th or December 12th 2019. Wicked currently scheduled for the 19th but I suspect it'll move back to avoid Episode IX.
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1 hour ago, Heretic said:
Rogue One is heading for £70m. The holidays have it a HUGE boost.
And massive recovery for Moana. It's over double what it was 2 weeks ago.It could leg its way to £20m, which would be an incredible multiplier from its opening, nearly 10x.
Decent for Passengers, might get to £15m.
Another amazing couple of weeks for FB. Its legs have been astounding, and it seems headed for mid 50s or thereabouts. One of the most impressive runs of 2016.
All in all, a very strong Christmas period,
None of the Boxing Day openers did much during the holidays, it'll be interesting how the NYD openers fare.
59 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:Moana has held extraordinarily well. Yes, this is an inflated holiday w/e but in it's 5th w/e it's down less than 15% from it's 2nd w/e (£1.9m) when it trailed Beasts by 33%
Moana's competition was Ballerina and Monster Trucks, none of which made much of an impact. It still has two full weekends until Sing previews where it can still make some decent money.
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Just now, YourMother said:
Love the Wonder Woman Prediction.
It's on par with what I'm thinking as well although I wouldn't be surprised if it does open lower say $120-125m but with the same total of $325m.
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6 minutes ago, AABATTERY said:
Yeah. The whole franchise seems to be a victim of ballooning salaries on top of increased sequel costs. The originals budget is 180M adjusted and then the subsequent films have had more and more CGI along with those crazy figures for the people involved. It's easy to see how they've got to these insane costs. None of them have flopped yet though, so I can see why Disney keeps throwing money at the franchise. Should be interesting to see where POTC5 ends up. I can definitely see it being the last in the franchise.
The first film's budget was on par if not a tad lower than the average blockbuster at the time. Even Michael Eisner was concerned about the budget only for Bruckheimer to point out that the competition was spending the same if not more. It was a hugely risky project for Disney which paid off handsomely as everyone at the time wrote it off
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38 minutes ago, AABATTERY said:
Working with water makes your costs shoot up exponentially. Plus Johnny Depp is so integral to the franchise that he can demand an insane amount of money. I think he got paid like $55 million for the last one.
Not only that but the likes of Bruckheimer probably are on hefy fees as well.
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1 minute ago, TwoMisfits said:
Unless it's the new rule:)...there was a rule about sequels of hits being no-brainers before 2016, too (I heard about this rule all the time on another game)...and then we had Zoolander 2, Alice 2, Independence Day 2, TMNT 2, Huntsman 2, My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2, Bad Santa 2, etc...
I don't think anyone thought Bad Santa 2 would be a hit or Zoolander or Huntsman..
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19 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:
Pirates franchise is a true juggernaut overseas. The last one made over 800m. Even with bad exchange rates, I can't see sub-500m OS. Probably 600m+.
I think Wonder Woman will hurt Pirates OS as well as domestic
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45 minutes ago, fracfar said:
Also @robertman2, after Apple ditched the jack, Samsung is reportedly considering removing it too: https://www.engadget.com/2016/12/06/samsung-galaxy-s8-may-drop-headphone-jack/
Apple weren't even the first, Motorola ditched it for the Moto Z. It's only a matter of time really.
I was looking at the UK box office and for me, the biggest surprise of last year wasn't The Jungle Book, Deadpool or even Fantastic Beasts but Bridget Jones's Baby! When you consider that it was 12 years since the last film, I thought it would be a moderate hit but it outgrossed the likes of Batman v Superman, Captain America and Dory. The BFG also did very well despite flopping elsewhere but that wasn't as surprising as Roald Dahl is revered in the UK.
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3 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said:
So has FB passed Jungle Book to be the highest grossing film in the UK this year?
Technically Rogue One is by a sliver and Jungle Book was already outgrossed by Bridget Jones.
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4 minutes ago, CJohn said:
How did Monster Trucks performed in the UK?
£1.8m over seven days which is terrible for a family film.
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4 minutes ago, elcaballero said:
Dang, I was hoping Moana would be able to beat Sing head-to-head.
Both are doing very well, it's only a difference of A$450,000 which isn't much so they're complimenting each other rather than one destroying the other.
Moana is doing vastly better in NZ though.
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14 minutes ago, CelestialFairyIX said:
Disney dominated, crushed, and obliterated box office records left and right in 2016, proving that their "controversial" formula works, and in a big way too. Almost every single film they released in 2016 was a "must-see," an "event," and fueled by their animated properties, they've accomplished a feat which no other studio has ever or will ever for a very long time be able to accomplish. Almost every single film they released received unanimous critical praise and their films consistently tried to push the medium forward. You can hate on Disney all you want. You can disagree with their choices all you want. And at times you may be immensely vexed with Disney as a company, but Disney has come a LONG way from its dark days as a company and even if unseen/unheard turmoil still exists somewhere within, their box-office receipts showcase the very power of the company and what its capabilities are.
Favorite Disney Films of 2016 (in no particular order, except for Zootopia being on top):
- Zootopia
- Finding Dory
- Moana
- The Jungle Book
- Rogue One
- Doctor Strange
- Queen of Katwe
I've yet to see Civil War, Pete's Dragon, The BFG, Alice 2, The Finest Hours, and The Light Between Oceans.
I've enjoyed most of the films Disney has released this year, WDAS and Pixar are still the gold standard in animation and even though they are lacking in originality in the live action department, I loved The Jungle Book, the Marvel films and Rogue One. 2017 looks like they'll easily beat 2016, maybe even 2015.
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2 minutes ago, fracfar said:
He tweeted 46 good and significant things from 2016. Very uplifting, you should check it out.
Chris Hadfield is an inspiration, there needs to be more people like him,
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I'll be curious to how Assassin's Creed fares, I imagine it'll be very frontloaded but I won't be surprised if it claims number 1 this week due to being released today but it'll probably fall hard
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Sing's OS total isn't great but it does still have a few markets left. I did think it might do $300-350m OS but it might just miss it unless it overperforms in the remaining markets
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3 minutes ago, SchumacherFTW said:
Damn, Monster Trucks made too much.
Still pretty awful for Monster Trucks since it was a 7 day opening. Likewise for Why Him and Collateral Beauty.
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Weekend Actuals (Page 40): Hidden Figures 22.8M | Rogue One 22.1M | Sing 20.7M | Underworld 13.7M | La La Land 10.1M | Passengers 8.8M | A Monster Calls 2.1M
in Numbers and Data
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I assume Hidden Figures' budget is reasonable enough that it can make it back from domestic because I suspect it won't fare as well OS likewise with Fences.