Jonwo
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Posts posted by Jonwo
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AC doesn't have the same audience as Twilight and it has no competition until December although given HF2's dissapointed in America, it may underperform here.I'm not surprised it dropped. At my cinema Saturday was down about 40%, although if you take the midnight number off from ours it was up a little bit.Sunday is down about another 30%.It's up a tiny bit on Eclipse's first weekend + previews (so 5 day opening).Arthur Christmas is actually up 7% here, so expect a very small drop (or maybe even an increase) nationwide.
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I can't make OD but I'm looking to go either Thursday or Friday. Only been to the IMAX for 3D films so I'm looking forward to seeing Mission Impossible as parts were shot in IMAX.
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I received an e-mail from BFI and like the US, Mission Impossible is coming to IMAX six days earlier, wonder if it'll classed as previews? The Cineworld at the O2 is also getting it early but I assume it's going to the Sky Superscreen.
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Think it's going to be number 1 for two weeks with Happy Feet Two knocking it off the top spot followed by Puss in Boots then Sherlock Holmes for two weeks, then Mission Impossible.Will be interesting if The Hunger Games films can become as successful as Potter and Twilight, never read the books but the trailer was very good and I think it'll be a hit although it opens a week before Pirates! and Titans in the UK.
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Only War Horse and possibly The Iron Lady but I think The King's Speech took what is a traditionally slow Box office period by storm. Tron Legacy should have done a lot better and it was a decent film.My predictions for the upcoming December films are Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadow £7-8m OW £25-30m, Alvin 3 £2-2.5m £15-20m total, Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol £7-9m 7 days or £5-6m 4 days £20m totall and The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo £5m 7 days with £15m totalTell me about it with the weather, it contributed to Tron: Legacy's piss poor gross. Say what you like about it, but 10 mil was too little for it, compared to little fockers which I walked from. Do you see anything breaking out like Black Swan in January?
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I'm expecting it to at least match New Moon's OW if not a bit higher, Eclipse did £13.76m but that included two days of previews which did £6.37m and £.7.39m for its actual release.I haven't really tracked Twilight before, but around my area sales are VERY strong. They've even added another midnight near me.Unlike France, I highly doubt there will be a fall here (If there is it will be small) compared to New Moon and Eclipse. I expect a similar result.
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It should be a big Christmas, last year dissapointed thanks to the weather but made it up in January due to The King's Speech, Tangled and Black Swan. Think it'll be Sherlock vs Hunt. Alvin, HF2 and Puss in Boots will fight for the kids audience while The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo will attract the older audience, the books were very popular.War Horse's not out until January but I think it'll do well, it's got a stellar cast and given how popular the stage version, I think it should make at least £10m total.Does it? Last I checked, it said the 26th. Not complaining though. Seems like we're in for a killer christmas season atm.
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The BFI IMAX website says it opens on the 21st December which is 5 days earlier than it was originally scheduled which means like in America, the IMAX may be getting Ghost Protocol earlier than the scheduled Boxing Day release or Paramount have moved it up, I agree I think opening on the 21st would allow a good four day opening. Sherlock Holmes will dominate on the 16-18th and have good legs if it as well received as the first film.
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Looking at the Christmas release schedule and it's weird that nothing being released during Christmas week whereas both Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol and The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo are both released on Boxing Day. I assume it's due to Christmas falling on a Sunday but I think MIGP should move up to 21st December.
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Here are the latest trailers from the upcoming Aardman/Sony Pictures Animation film and it's their first stopframe film since Wallace and Gromit:UK trailer:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BD9JIE7bL-QUS Trailer:http://movies.yahoo.com/movie/1810218495/video/27279351Looks hilarious and charming, should do well even against Wrath of the Titans.
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ACC had no competition in terms of 3D screens and similar family films, it's legs were incredible considering it opened at £1.8m. I think Sony and Aardman will be happy if AC hit £15-16m like Cars 2, KFP2 and The Smurfs did in the summer. Aardman's next film The Pirates! should do better as it opens just before Easter holidays plus unlike AC it's claymation although it faces the second week of The Hunger Games and two days later Wrath of the Titans opens.
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Immortals and AC were really close with £50,000 between them, think Immortals win on Friday edged out AC but I think AC will have strong legs and it hold up better against Breaking Dawn on Friday. Tintin had a great drop, it's well on its way to a £15-16m total.Johnny English should hit £20m by the weekend and it's another success for British films, the success in the UK would ensure another film happens but I'm not holding my breath but given that it has made its budget just from the UK alone, I think Universal will be willing to give Rowan Atkinson more money to do another film. I imagine it would make at least £25m if they released in the summer but the competition in summer is a lot tougher than it is in October.
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Johnny English has done incredible business, Universal will want a third film but ultimately it'll be up to Rowan Atkinson.
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Tangled had a big OW of £5.1m and did £20m total so it was a huge success. The Muppets are loved over here and I think even opening it a week or two would ensure a big OW plus I imagine they'll be over along with Jason Segel and Amy Adams to promote it, they've in the new Orange ad which is funny but it'll wear after a while. Star Wars 3D I imagine will do Lion King 3D numbers.
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I wish The Muppets wasn't opening in February even though I understand why Disney have done it as I imagine it would be huge over here if they released in December, still think it'll open well but it faces Phantom Menace 3D and Journey 2 The Mysterious Island.
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I'm not surprised as that is how The Twilight Saga franchise has always performed, expect a huge dropoff the next week although it'll easily be number 1 again as the competition that week is Moneyball, 50/50 and My Week with Marilyn.Tintin held up well, looks like the positive WOM is paying off, wonder how it would have done had it been released in December?
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Sandler is a money maker for Sony and has provided them a hit with JGWI, can't see J&J doing well OS whereas both Grown Ups and JGWI did decently.
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very close between AC and Immortals, think Saturday and Sunday must have been very strong for Arthur Christmas as it was beaten by Immortals on Friday. It should have good legs as Immortals will likely drop hard against BDI.Hugo already has posters and bus ads, no TV ads yet but I imagine in the next two weeks or so, seen nothing for Happy Feet Two or Puss in Boots.
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Eclipse had previews the weekend before its release which inflated its figures, still did good and BD part 1 will do better given it has no real competition until HF2 and Hugo and even then I expect it'll have at least £11-12m OW. Looking ahead, the big Christmas films will be Sherlock Holmes A Game of Shadows, the previous film did £25m total which is incredible considering it faced Avatar, Mission Impossible Ghost Protocol, The Girl with The Dragon Tattoo and Alvin and the Chipmunks 3 although I think with competition from HF2, Hugo, Puss in Boots as well as Arthur Christmas, I think Alvin may be less business.Hugo has promoted quite heavily, it does look good but it has some serious competition in the family film department.
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Doesn't surprise that Immortals beat AC on Friday as its not the sort of film that appeals to the Friday crowd. As I've said, I expect AC will have good legs being the only new animated film and it has no competition until December.
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Both Sony and Fox have submitted hybrids with The Smurfs and Alvin 3 to try and boost the chances of getting their actual animated films like Rio and Arthur Christmas nominated.
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Arthur Christmas should do decently, the reviews have been great and it'll have strong legs nearer to Christmas. Immortals should do okay but I think AC has the edge.Breaking Dawn should do well but its legs will be similar to previous Twilight films, it should be number 1 for two weeks until Happy Feet Two and Hugo are released.Johnny English may get another film but ultimately it is up to Atkinson.
UK Box Office Thread
in International Box Office
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Moneyball wont do well as it's a baseball film and they rarely do well outside of America. MWWM should do okay, I expect AC to have a small drop and Breaking Dawn to have a huge drop.