Jonwo
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Posts posted by Jonwo
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War Horse was always going to do well, should be number 1 next week as well, there's no real competition until The Muppets in February,
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According to Charles Gant, it did £996k Friday so it will have a strong weekend. Depends how it does day but a £3-4m OW would be very good.
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I agree The Muppets will be big, the nostalgia factor is much bigger here than it is in America and it has no similar competition apart from Journey 2 and the CGI film A Monster in Paris which I assume is an English dub of a French film.
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MIGP will outgross MI3 either this weekend or sometime next week, think the next film will have a summer release.January is a very good period for holdovers and films that are more aimed at an older audience. Next week is very busy with J Edgar, Coriolanus, Underworld Awakening, W.E and Haywire, have only really seen ads for J Edgar and Coriolanus, none for W.E and Underworld. If WoM for War Horse is good, then it could easily be number 1 again.February will be interesting, the big releases there are The Muppets, Journey 2, Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vegeance, Star Wars Episode I 3D and This Means War.
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I reckon £2-3m for War Horse. Its a difficult one to predict. To have 3 £2m in January is very good. MI is on its way to £20m
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£600k for The Artist is very good considering it's still in limited run, the budget is fairly low at $15m, it'll be great if it cracks £1m next week but it depends on how it fares against War Horse.Mission Impossible had a great drop, £20m may be in play.
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Very good for The Iron Lady, it wasn't going to do TKS numbers, any numbers for The Artist?Estimated £2.2m for The Iron Lady
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I saw it when I was in America and its good but the subject matter will be unknown to most UK audiences but I don't think it'll be a complete flop. If it gets Top 10 that's good, it'll be hard for it to break into the top five against Haywire and Underworld.
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The Iron Lady should do well but its not going to have the same legs as TKS, War Horse opens the week after. The week after that has Haywire, Underworld Awakening and J Edgar, I've already seen advertising for the last one on buses.The Artist has a staggered release but I do want to see it and it'll be interesting how it does because its not an easy sell as its black and white and silent.good start for Iron Lady here tonight :)it's actually opened bigger than The King's Speech did but i doubt it will have anywhere near the staying power.
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Iron Lady will be top three at least, January doesn't have that much in the way of big films unlike last year, could see War Horse topping the charts in a week or so.I still think The Muppets when it opens in February will be a hit, it launches before half term and in terms of competition, there's only Journey 2 and Star Wars Episode I 3D the latter should do okay but not big business. I'm going to cautionous and predict a £3-4m OW for Muppets with great legs but I'll be happily surprise if it does over £5m like Johnny English did.
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MIGP has nothing going into IMAX for a while bar the odd documentary so it could easily stay there until at least March when John Carter is released so £20m is a real possibilty, think depends on how it does this weekend as OW at Christmas is irrelevant due to the bigger weekdays.
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Forgot it was me! I think all three should have good legs through January and I predict £10m total for TGWTDT, £20m for Sherlock Holmes and £16-17m for Mission Impossible.Looking at the year ahead, I can see the biggest films being The Hobbit, TDKR, The Avengers, Men in Black 3, The Amazing Spider-Man and Breaking Dawn Part 2. I think The Muppets will do very well given it's plum February slot plus no similar competition apart from Journey 2.
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January is pretty much a dead zone in terms of similar films to MI and SH2 so I think SH wil do £20m total, MI £16-17m. The Iron Lady should do well but I think War Horse will steal its thunder. There's also other Oscar bait films out in January like J Edgar, The Artist, The Descendants.
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DT is an 18 so it was never going to gross as much as MI but it'll likely be 4m OW decent but not brilliant.
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That's very close, needs to do £400,000 Friday-Sunday to beat Tangled which IMO is achievable.May or be close, it should be close to $gbp20.2mil week ending 29/12
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Mission Impossible will have 11 Days worth of takings as it was released in IMAX on 21st December. Does anyone think AC may overtake Tangled? Tangled did £20.5m total.
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Keep in mind it's two day figures but AC did brilliantly and it will have easily hit £20m on Boxing Day despite a drop in takings. Not many predicted that it would have become the second highest animated film of the year and it's possibly that it may overtake Tangled but I think itll be close.
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According to Charles Gant, AC on Friday was a very close second to SH and had its total was £18.4m it needs a strong Saturday as well as a decent hold on Boxing Day to hit £20m.EDIT: If Screen Daily is correct, AC may have cracked £20m as its total in dollars is $32m.
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I saw in the BFI IMAX as well and I agree it's stunning to watch especially the Burj Khalifa scene which was jaw dropping, IMAX beats 3D any day and TDKR prologue was good, I'm definetly considering doing either the midnight or first day for TDKR. It's the first MI which felt like a team effort rather than Ethan Hunt and a little help from the IMF.
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Good indication that MIGP is going to open well on general release, TGWTDT has been advertised quite heavily although none of the stars have been promoting it unlike Tom Cruise. Still think it'll do well.
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Winnie the Pooh was traditionally animated, Tangled proved that a traditional Disney film be done in CGI but The Snow Queen/Frozen would work if done like Tangled but I think it would make a great handdrawn animated film, I would guess it's a musical as well as Alan Menken was working on it.
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2011 been quite a good year, I've seen more films like The King's Speech and Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy which I would have never seen in the past.I'm looking forward to 2012, Summer alone has a lot of potential hits but I'm most looking forward to The Hobbit and The Dark Knight Rises. As a animated film fan, I'm also looking forward to The Pirates! in an Adventure with Scientists, Brave and Frankenweenie.
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With only MIGP in IMAX and the Bollywood film Don 2 out this week, I predict Sherlock Holmes and Alvin will have good drops, Sherlock I think will be £2.5m two days and Alvin £1.4m two days. Arthur Christmas should crack £16-17m but we wont likely find out until Tuesday or Wednesday.
UK Box Office Thread
in International Box Office
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Sherlock Holmes should at least match the first film's total by next week, it's done incredible business as have Mission Impossible which will total at £17-18m which is higher than the third film. TGWTDT is doing good, should hit £10m by tomorrow or Wednesday and £12m total.Half term should be interesting, not as many family films compared to last year.