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BluRayHiDef

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    Weekend Thread | Estimates SS 43.7m, SP 33.6m, PD 21.5, JCIJB 13.6m, BM 11.45m, SLOP 8.8m, STD 6.8m, FFJ 6.58m

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    20 minutes ago, a2knet said:

     

    Fairly easily.

    Will be around 71.5M after this weekend of 11.5M.

     

    ~86M by next weekend.

    (Last Mon-Thu it made ~9M. So say 30% down to 6.25M the coming Mon-Thu + 30% down to 8.25M over the next weekend = 14.5 + 71.5 = 86M)

     

    ~96M  the weekend after.

    (10M week, a 30% decline from previous week of 14.5M)

     

    The following weekend it will cruise through 100M.

    IMO can't see below 110M.

     

    Just goes to show how important legs are. It's not just about OW.

    • Like 3

    Weekend Thread | Estimates SS 43.7m, SP 33.6m, PD 21.5, JCIJB 13.6m, BM 11.45m, SLOP 8.8m, STD 6.8m, FFJ 6.58m

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, filmnerdjamie said:

    Let's face it. The DCEU is fucked. 

     

    Three films in a row with great trailers/novelties, killer 3-day openings followed by mixed-to-negative reactions and awful legs. One can't spin "Well... let's see how Wonder Woman will be received." Even if it is good, the damage is done. Ditto Justice League. "But the Comic-Con trailers were awesome!" Have you not learned from the last three films? Seriously? You're still clinging to that?!? If you're coming off a film people by and large didn't like, then guess what? Less of them will flock out to see the next one, especially if it has direct associate with the last one (specifically Gal Gadot as Diana) and even more so since it's three films in a row that have burned audiences. 

     

    Best case scenario, they follow the trajectory of the X-Men franchise and build back goodwill after two big moneymaking divisive stinkers. Unfortunately they can't afford to take their time now such as it is (a decision they purposefully made after Man of Steel's second weekend drop). And as I've said before, I am not convinced Ben Affleck's Batman (Batfleck, if you will) has been truly embraced by the public. Seems more like fandom being fandom, a la overpraising something to the high-heavens after over-hating it beforehand or in this case looking for something remotely positive to latch onto that disaster known as Batman vs. Superman. Haven't heard a single person (in real life) point out how much they're dying to see more of Batfleck. More like, "He was OK, I guess."

     

    And throwing in Geoff Johns means nothing to Wonder Woman or Justice League since both are done deals. Anything to come after that (and boy do I question the fates of those ever happening save for obviously Batfleck: The Motion Picture and Aquaman, the latter specifically thanks to one James Wan), then yes we'll know if it meant anything or if it's just a glorified dog and pony show to appease the .00001% of the population (read: fandom) whose interest studios shouldn't be focusing in on. 

     

    Oh, please. 

    • Like 1

    Weekend Thread | Estimates SS 43.7m, SP 33.6m, PD 21.5, JCIJB 13.6m, BM 11.45m, SLOP 8.8m, STD 6.8m, FFJ 6.58m

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

     

    Hum, yes it does matter. Suicide Squad opened to over 130M+, Guardians opened to 90M+. On weekend #2, they grossed almost the exact same, indicating that Guardians' audience wanted to continue to watch the film (and this despite going against a 65M debut for TMNT), while Squad's audience was mostly done on the first three days. And it indicates that, comparatively, Guardians would do more money post weekend #2 than Squad. Thus, ending whatever shot Squad had of outperforming Guardians.

     

    Let's put it this way: BVS opened to 166M, close to 70M more than GOTG. Guardians still did more (about 3M of a difference, sure, but the point remains). And Suicide Squad isn't even guaranteed to cross 300M (looks likelier than the opposite, but still).

     

    I still stand by my opinion that if SS's overall domestic were to wind up being bigger, then it wouldn't matter, because that would indictate that enough of its audience remained to grant it a bigger haul. All that matters in the end is the money. However, my hypothetical scenario is meaningless because it looks like SS will wind up with the smaller overall haul. 

    Weekend Thread | Estimates SS 43.7m, SP 33.6m, PD 21.5, JCIJB 13.6m, BM 11.45m, SLOP 8.8m, STD 6.8m, FFJ 6.58m

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, jb007 said:

    Do you even read what you type?

     

    SS opened 39 mil. higher than GOTG and MOS opened 34 mil. Higher and the 2nd weekend grosses of both will be about what GOTG did in its 2nd weekend. 

     

    If that doesn't clue you in as to why GOTG was considered to have good legs, then nothing will.

     

    In the context of a comparison between SS and GotG, I don't think it matters whether or not SS's 2nd weekend is roughly equal to that of GotG if the overall haul is bigger. However, projections seem to indicate that it will be smaller, so...:(

    Thursday - SS 8.2 JB 2.24 BM 2.17

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said:

     

    My point is: Whedon did Age of Ultron, it didn't perform as well as expected both at the BO and creatively. It went so so. Boom, he isn't doing Avengers films anymore. Andrew Stanton made John Carter, whoever that I don't remember the name made Stranger Tides. Boom, they didn't made it another big blockbuster live action venture at Disney anymore. Edgar Wright wouldn't compromise with the MCU's vision and tone? Boom, he's out. My opinion is that Disney's practice lately is much more healthy when it comes to their finances and one that helps them to keep people around. I'd rather see Warner taking this kind of approach then the faux auteur stick that they've been advertising, which judged by the stories of the BvS and SS cuts aren't true at all. Give your directors time to come up with good material, plan further the long game but stick to a slate short term schedule with reasonable time to achieve better results. Fix what isn't working instead of just keeping the same dudes at helm. 

     

    Every time I read "boom," I lol'ed. It's so dramatic. 

    • Like 1

    Thursday - SS 8.2 JB 2.24 BM 2.17

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    15 minutes ago, Gopher said:

    That Pajiba WB letter is fascinating. And seems fairly true. Dark Shape, an insider over at KJ, said to NOT hold out hope over Wonder Woman. Given that it wrapped shooting even before BvS opened that makes sense to me.

     

    This isn't good publicity regardless of whether it's reliable or not.

    Wed#s SS 9.81 Guru....many soft drops for a Wednesday....Jesus Christ, that's a soft drop for Bourne, Sexy Legs for Moms, Pets -28% from last week and going for IO, FTSBF less than 10% drop....no sign of THE V

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    29 minutes ago, Nova said:

    Really? I do it on mobile all the time. Sometimes there's a lag though so you have to be patient when typing out the users name 

     

    Thanks for the advice. Anyhow, I hope that SS has a huge percentage increase today. Something north of 65% would be nice.

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