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Joel M

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Posts posted by Joel M

  1. 7 hours ago, The Futurist said:

    Actors and actreses don't choose their careers & films, directors & producers do.

    Margot and her team didn't choose to be in this film.

     

    If they 're succesfull and in demand they can choose from many options or even push the projects they want. Robbie after just Wolf basically had to wait for anything that wasn't "hot girlfriend of X 50 year old movie star", but now after continued success in different genres she definately has a say and a lot of options. Same goes for Lawrence, Stone and any IT girl that lasted more than a year. And for male actors that make it big it's even easier to have power to choose projects.

     

    5 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

    Closer to Sniper than the other two imo.

     

    I'm not so sure about it only because I think Tarantino while a mainstream favorite has a ceiling with the GA

    • Like 1
  2. 10 hours ago, Godzilla said:

    I wonder how much an MJ film would make if done properly...

    yeah that's not happening any time soon. Even if they movie ends before the 90s without any reference to the scandals, I think it would still bring back all the bad stuff that everyone willfully forgot the minute MJ died. Freddie Mercury didn't have that kind of baggage.

     

    The only other that could potentially be this big is a Beatles biopic, but Paul and Yoko have to die first.

    • Like 2
  3. 1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

    Affleck. Sympathy votes for snubs. She still won GG. Now if the same actress wins both SAG and BAFTA I guess game almost over. But sympathy's powerful tool.

     

    Outside of sympathy I think King beneftis from a very weird Supporting Actress field because of the Favorite ladies. It would be different if one of them was winning stuff and the other one was the bonus nomination like Rockwell-Harelson were last year. But every award body has treated them equally, they are both almost locked for an oscar nom and they are splitting votes everywhere. The only place I see them breaking the "tie" is with Weisz at BAFTA because she's a Brit and hasn't been in the awards rodeo for a long time, but she ain't winning the oscar just with that. Whoever ends up fifth of Robbie,Blunt,Foy also doesn't seem like they 'll be winning anywhere. So the only alternative to take both SAG and BAFTA is Adams and her narrative, but that IT'S TIME narrative hasn't picked up at all yet. Maybe it will if she wins the SAG, maybe it won't. 

  4. 19 hours ago, CoolioD1 said:

    i agree. star is born is still a strong contender for the win

     

    Same. If Globes showed anything is that it can't win 3-4 big oscars like some were predicting a month ago because nothing sweeps anymore. ASIB winning "just" BP, Song and one of Cooper's multiple possible nominations is more in line with how movies are winning in the current system. The BP-Actress-Actor-Song and change that we thought could happen wasn't very realistic. 

     

    Song is pretty much locked and Gaga seems dead at Actress. If Cooper gets one of Actor-Director-Screenplay, BP can happen. 

    • Like 1
  5. On 12/30/2018 at 11:12 PM, Taruseth said:

    It kind of really does, but to be honest the big European markets and the US are the main markets were it didn't go absolutely crazy, like it did in Korea or Japan or even in smaller European markets.

     

    It did go crazy even in Big European markets, I think it's just that the $$$ totals from SK and Japan have a higher ceiling when a movie breaks out. For 2018 it's #3 in SK and will also land in the top-3 in Japan maybe even #1. In European big markets it is already #1 in Italy, #2 in Spain and #5 in the UK.  It's #6 and #7 in France and Germany but will end up in the top-5 there too. It's performing like a huge tentpole in Europe. The over-performance of this movie is simply NUTS.

    • Like 5
    • Astonished 1
  6. Heard great things about this show from friends and finally gave it a chance.

    After the first episode I was so hooked I ended up watching the first 2 seasons and the Christmas special in a couple of days. I watched them in proper order and it's neat how there's the same 3 "types" of episode in each season but the order is reversed in the second one. There's a political satire, a dystiopian-ish future and a more emotional character piece and in both seasons the third kind was my favorite. But really all episodes except one were very good to great. Even something like White Bear which seemed like a pretty generic Purge rip-off for half its runtime throws you an OMFG twist that puts everything in a new context. That said I hope there's more variation in the "types" of episodes in future seasons because they 'll run out of good ideas pretty quickly otherwise. Atm just froms these 7 episodes I'm seriously impressed by the show. I 've been a huge X-files fan and especially an X-Monster-of-the-week fan and this the first show that managed to scratched that itch since forever.

     

    Ranking

    1.Be Right Back

    2.The Entire History of You

    3.National Anthem

    4.White Bear

    5.Fifteen Million Merits

    6.White Christmas

    7.The Waldo Moment

  7. 12 hours ago, PANDA said:

    Realistically, A Star is Born is the front runner right now.  That’s also why I’m thinking it’s the most in danger out of the contenders to underperform.

     

    The arguments for it are eerily similar to La La Land.

     

    But it's not the same situation. Many people argued last year that despite almost all things pointing to a Shape of Water/3BB run for the win they will both lose to either Lady Bird or Get Out because LLL lost to Moonlight. A Star is Born has great reviews but not the over the top ones that LLL had and rubbed many people the wrong way. Also it doesn't fit the technical achievement that will sweep the techs anyway narrative that so many recent runner-ups had including LLL. 

     

    Something might emerge that will beat it, no one knows shit about who's winning until the Guild awards anyway. But I don't see how Roma is gonna be the "Moonlight" to take it down. I don't see how a netflix movie from a Director already hugely rewarded just 5 years ago is gonna generate enough of a consesus to win.

  8. 2 hours ago, Damianport1 said:

    Its gonna do 400M WW

     

    Japan will tell the tale. If it's treated like a must-see musical there it will be enough to push it over 400M. In South Korea the other big musical-friendly Asian market, it opened to much much lower numbers than LLL and Showman. But Japan has always been a weird market that does its own thing.

     

    Even if it doesn't though, 150M+ OS is more than double of what was expected from a country musical.

    • Like 2
  9. 19 hours ago, The Futurist said:

    Robin Williams performance in Aladdin changed Hollywood forever, Dreamworks Animation was built on this Jeffrey Katzenberg's idea :

     

    give funny animals the voices and faces (for promotion) of Hollywood stars.

     

    Interesting to note that Lasseter never really believed in that mantra and Disney and Pixar movies are quite low on movie star as far as their castings.

     

    They do it but less.

     

     

     

    It was a BIG thing for a time that isn't much of a selling point anymore. The Shrek cast and to a lesser extent the Madagascar cast I think were the big ones where the GA was hyper-aware who's voicing the characters in an animation and DW was putting them front and centre everywhere. I even remember press reporting on the huge salaries Diaz, Murphy and Mike Meyers were getting for Shrek 2, it was as if they were talking for a live action comedy where you could actually see the actors. Shark Tale was this trend stretched to extreme where the whole thing was what Will Smith, Jolie and De Niro would look like if they were fish. 

     

    But it has died down a lot ever since Madagascar 2. Studios still put stars on animation to have something to talk about in the marketing, and the stars do it for an easy paycheck but hardly anyone cares that much. Even Sandra Bullock wasn't as front and centre on the Minions marketing as lesser stars than her were fifteen years ago. 

  10. 10 minutes ago, Dr Loomis baumer said:

     

    North American release...so LSTSB counts for sure.

    per imdb Lock Stock US release was March of '99, but it had already premiered in the UK and half of Europe in '98.

     

    I 've got 4 movies on my list that don't meet the North American release criteria, but @Slambros said it's ok if they were released in their country of origin in 1998.

  11. On 10/9/2018 at 8:06 PM, Slambros said:

     

    I'll allow it. Though if a film that is under that predicament makes the list, it would be courteous to have the film be ineligible for an eventual 1999 one -- keep that in mind as you curate the list.

     

    I'm pretty passionate about Run Lola Run myself, so I'll probably vote for that film as well.

    Do British movies also count if they premiered in the UK and other countries in 1998? Lock Stock and Wisdom of the Crocodiles are gonna be on my list if they are eligible.

  12. Could we do foreign movies that premiered at their country of origin in '98? pretty please? There's some foreign movies like Run Lola Run and Kirikou and the Sorceress that are being listed as 1998 movies everywhere. I understand why we 're going by US-release in recent years but 20 years ago? who cares? Many foreign movies were premiering 2-3 years after their release in the US back then.

  13. 10 hours ago, PANDA said:

    Then again, Spotlight and 12YAS were also early frontrunners (id say 12YAS was viewed as more likely than Gravity most of the way through 2013)

     

    I think both of those got upstaged by bigger and flashier stuff shortly after they got frontrunner status early in the season and especially during the final stretch when most of the blacklash happens people were busy taking down Gravity and American Hustle and the Revenant and even Big Short. ASIB's problem might be that none of the stuff that comes after it will be big enough to assume the target. Maybe if First Man truly broke out, but it looks like it 'll be a modest hit at best.

    • Like 2
  14. 18 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

    Probably still a long shot, but ASIB could have the best legitimate shot at pulling off the coveted big 5 sweep of anything in a very long time. Really has a lot going for it in all those cats.

     

    Not really, only because that would mean Bradley Cooper will have to win 4 personal oscars in a single ceremony. They didn't even do that in the 80s and 90s were sweeps happened all the time. 

    • Like 1
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