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Hilts

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Everything posted by Hilts

  1. Priscilla OK Thursday - showings starting 4pm ATP $13.20 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-5 7 14 4 23 1,471 1.56% 21.05% T-4 7 14 13 36 1,471 2.45% 56.52% T-3 7 14 17 53 1,471 3.60% 47.22% T-2 7 15 17 70 1,491 4.69% 32.08% T-1 8 20 4 74 2,010 3.68% 5.71% MTC1 4 9 +2 43 768 5.60% 4.88% MTC2 2 5 +3 11 519 2.12% 37.50% MTC3 2 6 -1 20 723 2.77% -4.76% Comps Asteroid City 0.356x = $0.39m My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 0.685x = $0.38m A Haunting In Venice 0.302x = $0.36m Comp average: $380k Quietest day at T-1 I have tracked. Ran the numbers twice to be sure. Shame.
  2. The Marvels OK Thursday - showings starting 3pm ATP $16.75 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-13 21 173 13 604 32,650 1.85% 2.20% T-12 21 173 24 628 32,650 1.92% 3.97% T-11 21 173 29 657 32,650 2.01% 4.62% T-10 21 171 33 690 31,973 2.16% 5.02% T-9 25 188 36 726 33,709 2.15% 5.22% MTC1 8 59 +20 368 10,485 3.51% 5.75% MTC2 4 48 +4 97 8,204 1.18% 4.30% MTC3 3 39 +4 196 8,077 2.43% 2.08% Other 10 42 +8 65 6,943 0.94% 14.04% Comps Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 0.685x = $4.93m Barbie 0.271x = $6.01m Oppenheimer 0.539x = $5.66m Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.911x = $8.02m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.578x = $8.84m Five Nights at Freddy's 0.537x = $5.53m Matinee: 2.62% 3D: 9.50% PLF: 61.43% Comp average: $6.50m Usual last local chain added at T-9. Unfortunately it had hardly sold anything so far so lost more ground than expected as my comps get an unnatural bump today typically (which this didn't). For example, FNAF "growth" at T-9 was over 10%, over double the previous day. Here "growth" is basically identical to yesterday.
  3. Priscilla OK Thursday - showings starting 4pm ATP $13.24 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-6 7 14 6 19 1,471 1.29% 46.15% T-5 7 14 4 23 1,471 1.56% 21.05% T-4 7 14 13 36 1,471 2.45% 56.52% T-3 7 14 17 53 1,471 3.60% 47.22% T-2 7 15 17 70 1,491 4.69% 32.08% MTC1 4 7 +12 41 564 7.27% 41.38% MTC2 1 2 -2 8 204 3.92% -20.00% MTC3 2 6 +7 21 723 2.90% 50.00% Comps Asteroid City 0.424x = $0.47m My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 0.824x = $0.45m A Haunting In Venice 0.378x = $0.45m Comp average: $460k
  4. Low scoring week as expected with 3 sub-$500k but I will take it, looks like Taylor paid me back for last week's debacle 🙂 This week is not exactly pumping in much fresh blood, good luck with the picks Chip hehe.
  5. Priscilla OK Thursday - showings starting 4pm ATP $12.99 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-7 7 14 2 13 1,471 0.88% 18.18% T-6 7 14 6 19 1,471 1.29% 46.15% T-5 7 14 4 23 1,471 1.56% 21.05% T-4 7 14 13 36 1,471 2.45% 56.52% T-3 7 14 17 53 1,471 3.60% 47.22% MTC1 4 6 +7 29 544 5.33% 31.82% MTC2 1 2 +2 10 204 4.90% 25.00% MTC3 2 6 +8 14 723 1.94% 133.33% Comps Asteroid City 0.421x = $0.46m My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 0.726x = $0.40m A Haunting In Venice 0.381x = $0.46m Comp average: $440k
  6. The Marvels OK Thursday - showings starting 3pm ATP $16.78 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-14 21 173 6 591 32,650 1.81% 1.03% T-13 21 173 13 604 32,650 1.85% 2.20% T-12 21 173 24 628 32,650 1.92% 3.97% T-11 21 173 29 657 32,650 2.01% 4.62% T-10 21 171 33 690 31,973 2.16% 5.02% MTC1 8 59 +15 348 10,485 3.32% 4.50% MTC2 4 48 +6 93 8,204 1.13% 6.90% MTC3 3 39 +12 192 8,077 2.38% 6.67% Other 6 25 0 57 5,207 1.09% 0.00% Comps Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 0.669x = $4.82m Barbie 0.302x = $6.71m Oppenheimer 0.578x = $6.07m Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.919x = $8.09m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.647x = $9.22m Five Nights at Freddy's 0.565x = $5.82m Matinee: 2.46% 3D: 10.14% PLF: 61.45% Comp average: $6.79m Lost a couple of shows that had sold nada. Despite average drop, gained on Indy (again) and FNAF today.
  7. Well since my data is under-indexing it's tricky for me to predict at this time. We are only halfway through the pre-sale cycle and if walkups are even just slightly better than Eras (which should not be difficult) I don't see why it couldn't reach $4m-5m previews / $20m-$25m OW.
  8. Sorry didn't get round to replying earlier but XXR covered it. It was only a couple of shows for 1 theatre I track so in isolation it's no big deal, just wanted to point it out. It is performing weaker in the region I track compared to Eras given the demographics so not too surprising. Plus we are still a month away from release so undoubtedly the number of show times will increase again as we get closer to opening.
  9. Wish OK Saturday - 4pm - Early Access Screening ATP $11.20 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-22 6 6 2 2 813 0.25% - T-21 6 6 5 7 813 0.86% 250.00% T-20 6 6 2 9 813 1.11% 28.57% MTC1 2 2 -2 0 230 0.00% -100.0% MTC2 2 2 0 0 224 0.00% - MTC3 2 2 +4 9 359 2.51% 80.00% Tuesday - showings starting 3pm ATP $12.99** Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-27 20 86 1 48 13,478 0.36% 2.13% T-26 20 86 4 52 13,478 0.39% 8.33% T-25 20 86 0 52 13,478 0.39% 0.00% T-24 20 86 0 52 13,478 0.39% 0.00% T-23 20 86 2 54 13,478 0.40% 3.85% MTC1 7 28 0 41 3,970 1.03% 0.00% MTC2 4 23 0 6 3,687 0.16% 0.00% MTC3 3 14 0 5 2,590 0.19% 0.00% Other 6 21 +2 2 3,231 0.06% - Comps Raw ATP adj* Haunted Mansion 0.788x = $2.44m $1.83m Trolls Band Together 0.840x *75% **only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 29.63% 3D: 31.48% Spot check of Wednesday was 29 tickets sold so 53.7% of Tues. Hopefully this picks up. EA has been quiet also. Now this is obviously nowhere near perfect data but extrapolating above in comparison to Encanto/Strange World (with another caveat that they started at 6pm) would near enough get to $50m 5 day OW which seems to be on the low end range everyone was discussing so I would say it has a bit of work to do but there is still time. Trolls seems to be diverting the attention somewhat for now.
  10. Trolls Band Together OK Saturday - 2pm - Early Access Screenings ATP $9.74 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-10 10 10 0 103 1,481 6.95% 0.00% T-9 11 11 10 113 1,953 5.79% 9.71% T-8 11 11 18 131 1,953 6.71% 15.93% T-7 11 11 7 138 1,953 7.07% 5.34% T-6 11 11 43 181 1,953 9.27% 31.16% MTC1 3 3 +13 78 604 12.91% 20.00% MTC2 2 2 +6 16 239 6.69% 60.00% MTC3 3 3 +19 67 634 10.57% 39.58% Other 3 3 +5 20 476 4.20% 33.33% Thursday - showings starting 2pm ATP $11.82 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-22 20 87 3 34 12,669 0.27% 9.68% T-21 20 87 0 34 12,669 0.27% 0.00% T-20 20 87 0 34 12,669 0.27% 0.00% T-19 20 87 2 36 12,669 0.28% 5.88% T-18 20 87 0 36 12,669 0.28% 0.00% MTC1 7 25 0 8 2,813 0.28% 0.00% MTC2 4 27 0 5 4,460 0.11% 0.00% MTC3 3 12 0 11 2,536 0.43% 0.00% Other 6 23 0 12 2,860 0.42% 0.00% Comps Haunted Mansion 0.486x = $1.51m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 0.444x = $1.71m Matinee: 30.56% 3D: 16.67% Good day for EA.
  11. Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé OK Thursday - showings starting 7pm ATP $26.81 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-36 18 59 5 432 12,627 3.42% 1.17% T-35 18 59 4 436 12,627 3.45% 0.93% T-34 18 59 0 436 12,627 3.45% 0.00% T-33 18 59 0 436 12,627 3.45% 0.00% T-32 18 57 7 443 11,663 3.80% 1.61% MTC1 7 19 +3 300 3,910 7.67% 1.01% MTC2 4 21 +4 35 3,975 0.88% 12.90% MTC3 3 12 0 53 2,589 2.05% 0.00% Other 4 5 0 55 1,189 4.63% 0.00% T-0 Comp Raw ATP adj* Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour (Thursday) 0.494x = $1.38m $1.66m T-32 Comp Raw ATP adj* Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour (Friday) 0.041x = $1.43m $1.72m *+20% PLF: 54.63% Unless I am mistaken a couple of shows have given way to Godzilla instead.
  12. The Marvels OK Thursday - showings starting 3pm ATP $16.72 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-15 21 173 6 585 32,650 1.79% 1.04% T-14 21 173 6 591 32,650 1.81% 1.03% T-13 21 173 13 604 32,650 1.85% 2.20% T-12 21 173 24 628 32,650 1.92% 3.97% T-11 21 173 29 657 32,650 2.01% 4.62% MTC1 8 59 +10 333 10,485 3.18% 3.10% MTC2 4 48 +2 87 8,204 1.06% 2.35% MTC3 3 39 +14 180 8,077 2.23% 8.43% Other 6 27 +3 57 5,884 0.97% 5.56% Comps Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 0.660x = $4.75m Barbie 0.317x = $7.05m Oppenheimer 0.589x = $6.19m Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.911x = $8.02m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.752x = $9.81m Five Nights at Freddy's 0.562x = $5.79m Matinee: 2.59% 3D: 10.05% PLF: 61.49% Comp average: $6.93m Similar story to yesterday but Indy went up slightly (although much lower would be alarming).
  13. Hey, as always this is great. I have Indy 5 as $7.2m Thu, just wondering if that impacts any of your thoughts but I get this is mainly looking at the multis. (AMWQ is $17.5m but no biggie)
  14. The Marvels OK Thursday - showings starting 3pm Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-16 21 173 12 579 32,650 1.77% 2.12% T-15 21 173 6 585 32,650 1.79% 1.04% T-14 21 173 6 591 32,650 1.81% 1.03% T-13 21 173 13 604 32,650 1.85% 2.20% T-12 21 173 24 628 32,650 1.92% 3.97% MTC1 8 59 +13 323 10,485 3.08% 4.19% MTC2 4 48 +7 85 8,204 1.04% 8.97% MTC3 3 39 +4 166 8,077 2.06% 2.47% Other 6 27 0 54 5,884 0.92% 0.00% Comps Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 0.650x = $4.68m Barbie 0.333x = $7.39m Oppenheimer 0.600x = $6.30m Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.929x = $8.18m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.815x = $10.16m Five Nights at Freddy's 0.569x = $5.86m Comp average: $7.10m Better day but comps still dropped slightly.
  15. Box Office: Five Nights at Freddy’s Sees ‘Oppenheimer’-Like $10M Previews – Deadline Got the title wrong (corrected for you) but it was the preview number I was after, thanks. 100k off when looking at low figures like that and terrible comps, not bad
  16. The Marvels OK Thursday - showings starting 3pm Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-17 21 173 18 567 32,650 1.74% 3.28% T-16 21 173 12 579 32,650 1.77% 2.12% T-15 21 173 6 585 32,650 1.79% 1.04% T-14 21 173 6 591 32,650 1.81% 1.03% T-13 21 173 13 604 32,650 1.85% 2.20% MTC1 8 59 +5 310 10,485 2.96% 1.64% MTC2 4 48 +2 78 8,204 0.95% 2.63% MTC3 3 39 +4 162 8,077 2.01% 2.53% Other 6 27 +2 54 5,884 0.92% 3.85% Comps Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 0.649x = $4.67m Barbie 0.336x = $7.45m Oppenheimer 0.626x = $6.57m Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.918x = $8.08m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.942x = $10.88m Five Nights at Freddy's 0.575x = $5.92m Comp average: $7.26m FNaF now properly added. Hopefully on the up from here (all comps down again though).
  17. The Marvels OK Thursday - showings starting 3pm Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-18 21 173 14 549 32,650 1.68% 2.62% T-17 21 173 18 567 32,650 1.74% 3.28% T-16 21 173 12 579 32,650 1.77% 2.12% T-15 21 173 6 585 32,650 1.79% 1.04% T-14 21 173 6 591 32,650 1.81% 1.03% MTC1 8 59 +4 305 10,485 2.91% 1.33% MTC2 4 48 0 76 8,204 0.93% 0.00% MTC3 3 39 0 158 8,077 1.96% 0.00% Other 6 27 +2 52 5,884 0.88% 4.00% Comps Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 0.654x = $4.71m Barbie 0.354x = $7.85m Oppenheimer 0.649x = $6.82m Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.937x = $8.24m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.957x = $10.96m Five Nights at Freddy's 0.604x Double ouchie! Zero impact. Added TMNT which will likely come down shortly (maybe not tomorrow as that was a slow day, but after that). Blue Beetle comp in a few days once it's a bit more established.
  18. After Death OK Thursday - showings starting 5pm Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-4 12 23 5 106 2,020 5.25% 4.95% T-3 12 23 17 123 2,020 6.09% 16.04% T-2 17 33 24 147 2,950 4.98% 19.51% T-1 19 43 23 170 3,520 4.83% 15.65% T-0 19 43 54 224 3,520 6.36% 31.76% MTC1 6 14 +25 63 1,001 6.29% 65.79% MTC2 4 8 +1 34 860 3.95% 3.03% MTC3 3 6 +12 105 706 14.87% 12.90% Other 6 15 +16 22 953 2.31% 266.67% Comps Asteroid City 0.657x = $0.72m Sound of Freedom 0.054x = $0.28m The Last Voyage of the Demeter 0.833x = $0.62m My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 1.109x = $0.61m A Haunting in Venice 0.556x = $0.67m The Creator 0.376x = $0.60m Range of comps here but as Shawn alluded this is niche and unfortunately I only have SoF as something vaguely relevant. Trend is still downwards so I will go for $500k but could be wildly out here. Will be useful going forward for future faith-based titles.
  19. Freelance has sold 31 tickets in Oklahoma which points to $100k previews, let's see if they report it 🙂 Highly doubt it will reach $3m OW, my guess would be half that.
  20. Five Nights at Freddy's OK Thursday - showings starting 2pm Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-4 23 137 128 1,964 18,992 10.34% 6.97% T-3 23 141 231 2,195 19,325 11.36% 11.76% T-2 24 163 308 2,503 21,648 11.56% 14.03% T-1 24 187 571 3,074 24,654 12.47% 22.81% T-0 24 203 1,209 4,283 25,304 16.93% 39.33% MTC1 7 52 +370 1,476 5,169 28.55% 33.45% MTC2 4 64 +266 954 8,171 11.68% 38.66% MTC3 3 39 +355 1,096 6,395 17.14% 47.91% Other 10 48 +218 757 5,569 13.59% 40.45% Comps Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 1.364x = $12.00m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.801x = $10.09m Haunted Mansion 3.578x = $11.09m Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 1.420x = $10.22m I may have got showing count slightly wrong yesterday but wasn't far out and at this point doesn't matter too much now. I forgot to mention but others already did that there were a few Dolby showings finally added, perhaps this could aid walkups later on. I'm still new to the growth rate thing so not sure if this is good or not... BUT it didn't lose a whole load of ground on comps, average now is ~$11m (not adjusted for ATP). Is there a simple way to calculate ATP? I think we are under-estimating how big a difference this could be (regional data from @keysersoze123 shows how low it is) and now I would not be surprised with under $10m, if not by much. My guess is it just misses and Uni rounds up 😉
  21. I've been thinking about the general shift to very early preview starting times, I understand in the summer it does make a bit more sense because of holidays etc. But why bother outside of that season as with work/school commitments those early afternoon shows are not exactly busy as shown by excellent recent data particularly from @vafrow - by the way are you extracting that manually? I am interested to do it but if it's a lot of extra time it may be too much for me. I know we are just looking at a few samples here and there and these earlier shows probably do fill up quite a bit in certain regions when fan driven. But it probably could do with some tidying up. Bad example probably but who is watching Freelance at 4pm? I'm not surprised the 2pm FNAF showings are dead as target audience are all still at school!
  22. Just saw that confirmed in the Wish thread so thanks for that. Selfishly was literally just thinking when posting my latest tracking update earlier that if Wish had EA screenings that would be helpful to align my current comps, and voila! Let's see how wide the rollout is but aligning with Trolls being on a Saturday I'm thinking these will be pretty busy too.
  23. Wish OK Tuesday - showings starting 3pm Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-30 20 85 0 45 13,313 0.34% 0.00% T-29 20 85 2 47 13,313 0.35% 4.44% T-29 20 86 0 47 13,478 0.35% 0.00% T-28 20 86 0 47 13,478 0.35% 0.00% T-27 20 86 1 48 13,478 0.36% 2.13% MTC1 7 28 +1 37 3,970 0.93% 2.78% MTC2 4 23 0 6 3,687 0.16% 0.00% MTC3 3 14 0 5 2,590 0.19% 0.00% Other 6 21 0 0 3,231 0.00% - Comps Haunted Mansion 0.686x = $2.13m Trolls Band Together (exc EA) 1.778x Trolls Band Together (inc EA) 0.615x Still not much activity at the moment. This will be tricky to comp given the time of year and being a Tuesday preview. Encanto or Strange World would be ideal.
  24. The Marvels OK Thursday - showings starting 3pm Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-19 21 173 27 535 32,650 1.64% 5.31% T-18 21 173 14 549 32,650 1.68% 2.62% T-17 21 173 18 567 32,650 1.74% 3.28% T-16 21 173 12 579 32,650 1.77% 2.12% T-15 21 173 6 585 32,650 1.79% 1.04% MTC1 8 59 +1 301 10,485 2.87% 0.33% MTC2 4 48 0 76 8,204 0.93% 0.00% MTC3 3 39 +3 158 8,077 1.96% 1.94% Other 6 27 +2 50 5,884 0.85% 4.17% Comps Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 0.673x = $4.85m Barbie 0.377x = $8.38m Oppenheimer 0.683x = $7.18m Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 1.025x = $9.02m Five Nights at Freddy's 0.622x Ouchie. Bottom of the U.
  25. Five Nights at Freddy's OK Thursday - showings starting 2pm Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-5 23 133 133 1,836 18,653 9.84% 7.81% T-4 23 137 128 1,964 18,992 10.34% 6.97% T-3 23 141 231 2,195 19,325 11.36% 11.76% T-2 24 163 308 2,503 21,648 11.56% 14.03% T-1 24 187 571 3,074 24,654 12.47% 22.81% MTC1 7 42 +163 1,106 5,005 22.10% 17.29% MTC2 4 58 +145 688 7,685 8.95% 26.70% MTC3 3 39 +162 741 6,395 11.59% 27.98% Other 10 48 +101 539 5,569 9.68% 23.06% Comps Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 1.441x = $12.68m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 2.048x = $11.47m Haunted Mansion 3.992x = $12.38m Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 1.502x = $10.82m Couple comps up, couple down. Threading the needle and remaining broadly steady overall, still looking at ~$12m for now. Highest number of shows I have tracked except Barbie and Eras. Sold more at T-1 today than anything I have tracked except Barbie. Jumped back ahead of Oppenheimer after many days pacing behind it here which may bode well for tomorrow.
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