Carlangonz
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Posts posted by Carlangonz
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NOVEMBER 23-25 WEEKEND. RALPH BREAKS INTO THE WEEKEND ON THE TOP AND A NEW RECORD FOR WDAS. CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD DERAILS AND BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY IS THIRD WITH STELLAR LEGS.
Ralph Breaks the Internet
- Biggest launch for a Walt Disney Animation title; 126% ahead of Frozen, 112% ahead of Moana and 51% above Zootopia.
- It has almost two weeks free before The Grinch opens, should finish o/u $300M but with a crowded December it’ll be hard for it to go further.
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
- 3.1% behind first Fantastic Beasts, however it had a weekend-to-weekend drop 13.5% bigger. First FB failed to reach $300M and this one is almost certain to fail too.
Bohemian Rhapsody
- Already surpassed Deadpool as 8th highest Fox grosser of all-time and is 11th highest grosser of the year, it’ll challenge Meg as 10th.
# MOVIE WEEKEND % CHANGE TOTAL (MXN) TOTAL (USD) ADM. TOTAL ADM. 1 Ralph Breaks the Internet $125.9 $125.9 $6.17 2.2 2.2 2 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald $38.6 -68,47% $226.19 $11.19 630.9K 3.9 3 Bohemian Rhapsody $21.83 -41,78% $354.44 $17.57 336.2K 6.3 4 Peppermint $16.02 $16.02 $785K 243.1K 243.1K 5 Loca por el Trabajo $9.37 -50,10% $42.97 $2.12 158.2K 816.5K 6 Instant Family $6.06 $8.01 $392K 106.2K 149.1K 7 Gon-Ji-Am $2.89 $2.89 $141K 52.6K 52.6K 8 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms $2.71 -73,91% $112.2 $5.55 54.74K 2.2 9 Chivas: La Película $2.39 $2.39 $117K 39.05K 39.05K 10 The Kindergarten Teacher $1.10 $1.10 $53K 14.5K 14.5K This Friday opens: Instant Family, Robin Hood, Widows, The Posession of Hannah Grace, Malicious, La Promesa, Tout Le Monde Debout, Resurrección and Roma (expansion).
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Starting this weekend, Cinépolis is rising ticket prices by 10% in all their complexes and for all formats.
Hasn't seen or heard anything about Cinemex but wouldn't surprise if they do it before winter season begins.
We'll see how this affects big releases upcoming, from Grinch until Creed 2.
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1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:
400M lc for Freddy?
Not sure it can make it, it'll be just over $350M tomorrow morning, but it helps that there's no big competition next weekend and is still pulling a great PSA
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Ralph is aiming to open somewhere in a range between $110M-$120M
Crimes of Grindelwald is looking to crash at the box office with a 70%+ drop
Bohemian Rhapsody maintains in Top 3 with a sub-50% drop.
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On 11/19/2018 at 12:42 PM, Purple Minion said:
Hope Roma expands, should resonate with the audience in these transition times.
Any negotiation with Cinépolis/Cinemex is beyond dead, Cinemex hasn't said anything but Cinépolis declared through their PR department that they won't show the movie as long as Netflix refuses to accept a 3-month release window before its arrival to the streaming platform.
However, near 60 theatres are ready to open the film between Nov 29 and Dec 6, -some of them are already sold-out for first weekend- and more theatres are still being added, all of them from independent chains and State-owned theatres (Cinetecas). Still, kinda sad this isn't getting a wider reach.
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Tickets for Aquaman are now on sale, it's opening on Dec 13th with 10 PM previews on Dec 12th.
Disney is been somehow lazy with WiFi Ralph marketing, but with lack of an animation since Smallfoot i guess it'll have a decent opening.
Roma is opening at 6 screens this wednesday and has sold-out 3 of them for the first 5 days. Netflix has tried to reach an agreement with Cinépolis and Cinemex to make it to more screens, could it make it?
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NOVEMBER 16-18 WEEKEND. CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD OPENS SLIGHTLY AHEAD PREDECESSOR. BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY CROSSES $300M LC AND NEARS A 3X MULTI. REMAINING HOLDOVERS GET THE IMPACT AND CRASH.
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
- 3.5% over first Fantastic Beasts, internal multi very similar to that one too which means it was equaly front-loaded across the weekend.
- Doesn’t have direct competition but Ralph is taking away screens from it this friday, then Robin Hood in two and Grinch in three. We’ll see how it stands but should end in the same area as Ant-Man and the Wasp and The Shape of Water ($270M-$280M)
Bohemian Rhapsody
- Good drop considering the Newt/Dumbledore/Grindelwald storm, plus, it’s still playing excellent on weekdays. Should pass $350M and come close to $380M, but could finish higher if manages to pull a big PSA.
# MOVIE WEEKEND % CHANGE TOTAL (MXN) TOTAL (USD) ADM. TOTAL ADM. 1 Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald $123.4 $124.4 $6.18 2.06 2.07 2 Bohemian Rhapsody $37.5 -50,69% $307.1 $15.24 626.43K 5.5 3 Loca por el Trabajo $18.78 $18.78 $934K 336.46K 336.46K 4 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms $10.39 -58,10% $102.3 $5.07 215.4K 2.05 5 Overlord $3.38 -71,97% $21.45 $1.05 65.4K 439.8K 6 First Man $3 -73,21% $18.8 $924K 42.2K 281.3K 7 The Girl in the Spider's Web $2.95 -78,46% $23.5 $1.15 48,83K 422.8K 8 Lino $2.83 -56,46% $11.3 $555K 50,51K 225.5K 9 Halloween $1.17 -82,53% $241.10 $12.29 22.5K 4.8 10 Inquilinos $1 -81,81% $28.2 $1.39 20.7K 617.02K This Friday opens: Ralph Breaks the Internet, Peppermint, Gon-Ji-Am, The Kindergarten Teacher, Estrellas Solitarias and Roma*.
*Opens on Wednesday.
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21 hours ago, Purple Minion said:
It did $1.9M on Fri, so looking to open in the $7-8M bracket by Sunday. Monday is bank holiday.
On par with first FB, only separated by a few thousand pesos. That's real consistency, we'll see how it legs with more competition than its predecessor.
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NOVEMBER 09-11 WEEKEND. BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY PASSES THE GREATEST SHOWMAN AND HEADS TOWARDS $300M LC. OPENERS DON’T SURPRISE AND VENOM ABOUT TO GO AS ONE OF 35 HIGHEST GROSSERS EVER.
Bohemian Rhapsody
-Already surpassed lifetime gross of last winter’s hit The Greatest Showman.
- If we consider this as a ‘musical’ then is already second biggest musical of all-time only behind Beauty and the Beast. Among biopics it is already #1.
TO PUT SOME PERSPECTIVE ON THIS WEEKEND FLOPS…
The Girl in the Spider’s Web
-33.36% behind The Girl on the Train and on par with Gone Girl.
First Man
-Above 1/3 of Interstellar’s opening and less than half of Blade Runner 2049’s first frame. Leave alone bigger comps as Gravity or The Martian.
# MOVIE WEEKEND % CHANGE TOTAL (MXN) TOTAL (USD) ADM. TOTAL ADM. 1 Bohemian Rhapsody $76.06 -28,78% $237.3 $11.81 1.2 4.1 2 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms $24.8 -44,71% $83.71 $4.16 493.9K 1.6 3 The Girl in the Spider's Web $13.7 $13.7 $673K 224.8K 224.8K 4 Overlord $12.06 $12.06 $592K 225.6K 225.6K 5 First Man $11.2 $11.2 $550K 154.1K 154.1K 6 Halloween $6.7 -67,94% $237.4 $12.11 132.4K 4.7 7 Lino $6.5 $6.5 $319K 127.3K 127.3K 8 Hunter Killer $5.7 -57,99% $25.19 $1.25 101.2K 477.6K 9 Inquilinos $5.5 -59,85% $24.7 $1.22 112.2K 531.08K 10 Venom $3.56 -57,51% $456.6 $23.92 75.34K 8.8 This Friday opens: Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindewald, Loca por el Trabajo, Le Retour du Héros and Muchos Hijos, Un Mono y Un Castillo.
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2 hours ago, Purple Minion said:
The first did almost 300M lc, ER was much better back then.
FB2 should open to 100M lc ($5M), but legs will be affected by The Grinch so 250M lc ($12.5M) is its highest achievable goal in my book.
Sounds about right. I think the HP franchise is developing a similar problem like the SW franchise and is that no one except the fanbase gets hyped about a new film. And Warner's marketing really hasn't helped.
The only way i could see a HP movie making big numbers -let's say $400M+- is if they make a sequel from the original series, if not then this franchise is going to the same status as the Star Wars saga.
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On 11/7/2018 at 10:05 AM, carlsalf38 said:
Well. I'm glad I don't do this for a living. 100 Million for Bohemain Rhapsody??? In no way I thought this would gross as much. I like Queen but didn't think the whole country loves them¡
Well, first trailer had social media activity only compared to a Marvel title, Fox was aggressive with marketing and presales were out of this world compared to any biopic and musical. It was a perfect combination of factors.
On 11/7/2018 at 10:05 AM, carlsalf38 said:Loca por el Trabajo can be a surprise but I haven't seen that much promotion for this one. First Man and Spider's Web will compete for the adult market so neither will break. I was really looking forward to see First Man until I began reading reviews it just sounds looooong.
Loca por el Trabajo can have a good opening but can't see it with legs, recently all local titles with good/excellent openings are more front-loaded than usual.
Never expected anything extraordinary foe neither First Man or Girl in Spider's Web, none of them seemed attractive for the market.
Saw First Man yesterday, didn't felt it long but it was ok at best, didn't loved it.
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On 11/6/2018 at 3:49 PM, Purple Minion said:
Btw @Carlangonz do you have an updated total for Coco?
Haven't got any
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NOVEMBER 02-04 WEEKEND. BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY ROCKS THE BOX OFFICE AND OUTGROSSES COMPS. NUTCRACKER DEBUTS AHEAD OF CHRISTOPHER ROBIN AND WRINKLE IN TIME AND VENOM REACHES $450M LC.
Bohemian Rhapsody
- Already outgrossed final numbers of titles such as A Star Is Born, La La Land, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again and Straight Outta Compton.
- Next week should beat final gross of The Greatest Showman. Also, we’ll give an idea if this can leg towards $300M, but we should seriously consider the possibility.
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
-174% ahead of A Wrinke in Time and 91% ahead of Christopher Robin. Should pass $100M if it doesn’t collapse, it doesn’t face competition until Ralph Breaks the Internet.
Halloween
-Has a chance to surpass The Conjuring as 6th highest horror film of all-time, also it could pass Anabelle as 5th.
# MOVIE WEEKEND % CHANGE TOTAL (MXN) TOTAL (USD) ADM. TOTAL ADM. 1 Bohemian Rhapsody $106.8 $106.8 $5.30 1.7 1.7 2 The Nutcracker and the Four Realms $44.86 $44.86 $2.22 807.1K 807.1K 3 Halloween $20.9 -54,23% $224.2 $11.46 398.06K 4.4 4 Inquilinos $13.7 $13.7 $680K 274.6K 274.6K 5 Hunter Killer $13.57 $13.57 $674K 239.5K 239.5K 6 Venom $8.38 $450.5 $23.62 169.9K 8.6 7 The House with a Clock In Its Walls $8.36 -57,34% $36.6 $1.84 172.02K 780.7K 8 A Star Is Born $3.69 -53,29% $72.2 $3.73 45.5K 1.07 9 Silencio $3.6 $3.6 $178K 67.16K 67.16K 10 Smallfoot $3.39 -29,37% $172.9 $9.10 55.9K 3.7 This Friday opens: First Man, Overlord, The Girl in the Spider’s Web, Loca por el Trabajo, Bayoneta, Lino and Gueule D’ Ange.
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21 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:
And I was wrong! Bohemian Rhapsody opened to a great $5.8M, over 100M lc.
Told ya' since beginning of the year that this was going to break-out. Mexico lovesssss Queen.
Actually Friday night i expected $85M+ but yesterday and today started to take screens from other movies including Nutcracker (lol).
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6 hours ago, carlsalf38 said:
Yeah. With that line-up that's going to be crazy. Specially because Mortal Engines, Bumblebee and Aquaman will eat each other. Aquaman does look interesting and will surely be the winner of these three but not sure if it will get to 400 Million total (like WW or JL did). Mortal Engines will die a horrible death with so much competition. Mary Poppins Return will have to take a back seat to the Grinch and Perfectos Desconocidos will probably get to 100M it if is funny.
And... Bohemian Rhapsody do you really think this will have such a great opening? More than 50 Million only on opening? That would really be crazy but hey you always know more than I do 😃.
Nutcracker will not get to 100Million although I really want to see it.
It's very likely that Warner moves Aquaman to the 14th, if they decide to go with it then Mortal Engines is beyond dead.
Mary Poppins could be a surprise hit but the original isn't really popular or known so could go either way, however i do believe Disney is going to put a lot of effort to it so it could become a success.
People who saw Perfectos Desconocidos at Morelia Film Fest say it'll play good with audiences, we'll see if Manolo Caro can replicate its success from TV (or well, Netflix) to movies.
About Bohemian Rhapsody, buzz through social media is big and marketing is everywhere, giving a look at presales i could argue that even $60M-$70M are on the cards but don't know how front-loaded is going to be from opening day and number of screens might limit it.
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Disney has decided not to extend the run for Coco re-release, so at the end won't top IW but at least it'll cross 24M admissions.
Bohemian Rhapsody and Nutcracker are both opening at 1,800+ screens, the former is getting IMAX and PLF screens and the later has received 4D screens.
Bohemian Rhapsody opening will be over or under Mamma Mia 2 lifetime gross ($50M)?
Nutcracker will be another Solo/Christopher Robin and fall short of $100M?
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OCTOBER 26-28 WEEKEND. HALLOWEEN REPEATS ON TOP AS IT BECOMES BLUMHOUSE’S HIGHEST GROSSER; HOUSE WITH A CLOCK HAS A MEH OPENING AND COCO RETURNS FOR A WEEK.
Halloween
-Already topped titles such as Split and A Quiet Place. Is going to cross $200M by Thursday and should finish with $220M+
The House With a Clock in its Walls
-A little behind Goosebumps 2 which came out three weeks ago, with a crowded market probably won’t pass further $60M-$70M
Coco
-It keeps playing until Thursday, but Disney has decided to down ticket prices for all shows of the week, it needs about $27M to take back the all-time crown.
# MOVIE WEEKEND % CHANGE TOTAL (MXN) TOTAL (USD) ADM. TOTAL ADM. 1 Halloween $45.67 -53,05% $181.93 $9.39 858.44K 3.5 2 The House With a Clock In Its Walls $19.6 $19.6 $1.00 388.6K 388.6K 3 Coco $18.8 $1120.24 $58.88 370K 23.8 4 Venom $17.9 -52,64% $434.08 $22.81 329.80K 8.3 5 Museo $10.02 $10.03 $515K 157.13K 157.14K 6 Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween $8.61 -51,62% $74.38 $3.88 183.3K 1.6 7 Replicas $8.05 $8.05 $414K 139.2K 139.2K 8 A Star Is Born $7.9 -39,46% $63.5 $3.30 102.5K 953.3K 9 Smallfoot $4.8 -50,31% $167.9 $8.86 101.1K 3.6 10 Si Yo Fuera Tú $3.09 -71,49% $19.63 $1.01 57.5K 379.8K This Friday opens: Bohemian Rhapsody, The Nutcracker and the Four Realms, Hunter Killer, Inquilinos, Silencio, Jusqu’à La Garde, Anna Karenina; Istoriya Vronskogo and Cygnus.
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A Star Is Born has legged towards $60M, a quite good 3x multi and is looking to finish with $70M. It has passed Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again but is finishing behind La La Land.
This friday opens Bohemian Rhapsody (known in the country as The Story of Freddie Mercury) and should top easily the three films already mentioned, but by how much? Could it reach Greatest Showman's heights?
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1 hour ago, feasby007 said:
What happens Thursday?
Día de Muertos. If gets the expansion then nov 1 and 2 are helping it to pass IW, last year the movie exploded on both days.
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3 hours ago, salvador-232 said:
Si Coco will be even more annoyingly close to 600M OS
It'll pass it if explodes on Thursday or gets the extension
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Halloween is comfortably repeating on top for the weekend after passing $150M today.
Coco and House with a Clock in its Walls are fighting over families to win no. 2 for the frame with $14M-$18M each one. Coco's total gross would be between $1,015-$1,020 by the end of the weekend, it would need an extension for another weekend to take back the all-time title from Infinity War.
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December is going to be such a monster month, is very very crowded, just confirmed dates for the most important movies:
Dec 7 - Grinch
Dec 14 - Mortal Engines
Dec 19 - Bumblebee
Dec 21 - Aquaman. Although Warner doesn't know what to do with this one while ironically is the one with most potential for the season along with Grinch.
Dec 25 - Mary Poppins Returns and Into the Spiderverse.
Jan 1 - Bad Times at El Royale
And that's not including local titles with some mojo.
Last year The Last Jedi was buried by Jumanji and The Greatest Showman, this year which could be the buried ones and the successful ones?
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On 10/24/2018 at 3:34 PM, carlsalf38 said:
What do we have for next month?
Bohemian Rhapsody, I'm going with 80M in total
Fantastic Beasts: 285M total
Ralph: 450M total
Way more for Bohemian Rhapsody
Spot on for FB2
Less for WiR2
This weekend Halloween should repeat on top and #2 is going to be a race between House of Clocks in its Walls, Coco and Museo.
Coco is going over 1,500 screens, seems Pixar wants that record back.
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2 hours ago, feasby007 said:
realistically how high can Coco get? Please say it can top IW again
Honestly this is by far the biggest re-release i've seen for any film, it's a wide re-release (over 1,000 screens) but it's only for a week and don't think can do good enough to pass IW.
Mexico Box Office | Inside Out 2 becomes highest grossing movie ever and first to cross $90M; good but softer than expected $12.6M OW for Despicable Me 4
in International Box Office
Posted
I think Ralph is going to hold well next weekend, it has no direct competition and won't lose many screens.
Agree with Grinch, it'll lose mojo since it has to deal with Ralph, Aquaman and Bee. Btw I'm hearing that Universal is going to bring a subbed version, that's very rare but lately is happening with some animated films.
Instant Family has been doing well on previews, considering they've been in a handful of theatres and a few shows. It may be a sleeper-hit, although not as big as Wonder last year.
Bohemian has a small shot to $400M, we'll see how it goes.