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Everything posted by nomyth
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So, that's a 29% increase on Saturday minus previews? That's crazy good. I may have overpredicted the OW a bit but I never expected such a big Saturday jump. Initially, I though 25% was too optimistic. I'm incredibly confident actuals will go up. Fantastic OS performance as well! I'm just shooting for 600M WW right now and I don't think that will be a problem.
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35 would be a great #. Pretty sure it can reach 100 no problem with that #, if barely squeaking by. A 3X multi is a tall order for any superhero film in the summer, no matter how positive the buzz, but I'm still hopeful for a 300M finish. I don't know why but 300M has always felt like my weird arbitrary goal for this movie. It's just like, no matter what you may have expected, nobody can fuck with that kind of gross for a non-sequel. Thank goodness it doesn't have much competition next weekend! ?
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I would love for this to happen just so we can finally normalize female led comic book movies. Hopefully, in a couple years, it won't be treated like this freak of nature film that we all need to put some much pressure on. I'm honestly glad the film is out now and is doing well critically and commercially because I had this stupid fear that if this film somehow disappoints we won't get another like it. And, frankly, that's just absurd.
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So, some of us got a little carried away with our predictions (which always happens anyway), but 38.8M is a VERY good opening day #. My final prediction in the derby was 115M and the average was slightly below that, so this film will not end up over predicted the way some make it sound. Plus the A CinemaScore is very encouraging. I'm incredibly hopeful for a sequel. I'm finally seeing it myself later today. I hope I love it as much as everyone else!
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I'm just shocked 33 is even on the table. I don't think it'll get more than 80 for the weekend with that. This film just seemed like the ultimate breakout to me. Don't get me wrong 80M is solid enough and since the reviews are so good, should still justify a sequel. But I'm honestly shocked interest in this isn't higher. Particularly with how huge CBM's have been lately. Still early on the west coast so who knows but I'm not getting my hopes up for anything more than 33 until we get some real #'s.
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I hate these early #'s because I have such a different reaction to the high vs low end. Can't lie, considering I've been so certain this was heading towards a breakout, 34M would be a bit disappointing. 37.5 on the other hand would be a lot easier to feel good about. Either way, it's still early. Hoping the #'s trend upwards.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
nomyth replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Well, WW is up to 23.6% on MT vs POTC5's 27.1%. The #'s will probably only update once more today so WW will probably come up just short of #1 today. Not that it matters all that much. WW is #1, 4 and 5 on Pulse. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
nomyth replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
MT 1. POTC5 - 28.2% 2. WW - 21.5% 3. Baywatch - 12.6% 4. GOTG2 - 8.1% 5. AC - 5.2% WW has seen some great gains today but I really hope it's at #1 by the end of the day. MT's #'s freeze pretty early in the night so it probably just has a couple hours left. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
nomyth replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I think Cars 3 and All Eyez are gonna do more than people expect. That could be a pretty huge weekend. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
nomyth replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
WW is #1, #3 and #5 on Pulse now. Very curious to see if it can climb to #1 on MT by tomorrow's end. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
nomyth replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
MT 1. POTC - 37.6% 2. GOTG2 - 12.9% 3. Baywatch - 10.3% 4. WW - 6.1% 5. AC - 5.5%