Rumpot

EC correcting to 12.75m+

Nah, this is o/u 450M and 500M is probably not even one SD off base case in a reasonable mental model. The rooting to what the first movie did and then the below average CBM multiple narratives being pushed are silly. The appeal is wide as the lore is taking hold. It'll have the fanatics watching it multiple times as well as the broad viewership of an animated movie in summer

This is not meant to take anything away from Mario, but Spider-Man is a far more saturated character in non-game media. That the animated version is working on the level of live action is pretty crazy, especially with another on the way in March. They've created a second and probably third Spider-Man persona on top of the original (Peter Parker) that people legitimately care about...no small feat!

Tomorrow could still be really special if this plays like a true hybrid CBM + kids movie. @TwoMisfits

Empire sticking with 52

Hello friends! Why would people think this is going to be so frontloaded? It doesn't come off of a cliff-hanger and it isn't the final movie in its own trilogy. On top of that it's animation....

Guess it reached that 110M he was boldly predicting

Just a weird weekend.

Given the opening weekend levels internationally, including countries that are good proxies for the US one can assume the different that is likely due to next weekend being Thanksgiving. After Black Friday I think we will see things differently. And ~130M is great anyway

F2 is doing very well in Virginia FWiW. Even the RealD showings largely filling up. Looks like a pretty monstrous Saturday around here anyway

This is different in the sense it replaces a social experience with pure consumption. This isn't just consolidation of hardware

Agreed. Direct to streaming is still very much unproven as far as the economics eventually working out. Don't let the stock market convince you differently. Theater release of a successful movie can offer tremendous returns immediately AND advertise the eventual streaming release. That said the box office studios are independent...and to think they would come together to save the box office...I just don't know. But they absolutely should. If theaters disappear then Disney better hope Star Wars and Marvel stay popular forever. Which we know very well will not happen. (not to mention a similarly wonderful economic situation Disney risks disrupting further when it comes to the cable bundle)

I haven't posted in over a year (I think) but I accept this judgement as quite fair! It says something when a person who doesn't post (me) feels annoyed enough that they are compelled to. Anyway, thanks. And...nice to see you as a moderator (dunno when that happened, but seems a good choice)

I guess if there are people who simply pine for the movie to flop due to some distorted internal mechanism by which this gives them pleasure then have at it... In the end, you're missing out. There'll be people who watch the movie and enjoy it. There'll be people who analyze the box office of the movie and enjoy it. And unfortunately you're going to miss all that to instead follow some hollow compulsion to annoy people with no payoff

JW3 is the best movie of all time and it's obvious that you think so too

IW made 16M on 3rd Friday so from here on would expect slightly worse legs than IW. Probably gonna finish 830-840M range in that case. IW made 130M after this weekend so I think 115-120 for EG likely

So the slew of people on here who said 300M is "impossible" ......a lesson that sometimes "impossible" is only a perception due to your own narrow mind and not an objective thing. Don't be boring.

In my opinion, if someone completely random hurts your enjoyment on a movie forum on a consistent basis then block/ignore them. Not saying to ignore someone just because they don't agree with you as that's not a big deal...but some people are literally here to annoy you as their primary goal. This isn't Thanksgiving with the extended family or your workplace where you have to just take it....don't let someone random hurt your experience on a forum you come to for mutual information/enjoyment/escape from the grind.

Why in the world are there people here who haven't banned Thrylos?....do it now...you'll regret waiting if you still haven't banned him by Saturday

Aw man I wanted to be the one who stands out by something that is quite likely is actually impossible. Congrats

I'm still waiting/hoping someone has an explanation for how Harry Potter DH2 made 43M from only midnight showings in 2011. Anyone?

Really expected to like Shazam. It had aspects I liked well enough, but overall I was disappointed when it ended. Maybe because it's aimed at a younger group

How does 300M hype feel compared to 250M hype? The last time I "felt" 300M hype was the movie Greta...that did not turn out to be the case.

It IS filler. But it's meant as filler for Disney streaming. Unlike Netflix Disney will have back "most" of the money for this piece of streaming content at the theater upfront though. I think people are failing to see the power of this business model. And of course the Disney ecosystem us built to monetize 10 different other ways.

That's what I liked most about Dumbo too.