LeoC
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Posts posted by LeoC
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23 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
It added ¥0.64mn since Midnight and its barely 11AM in China. Shall hit ¥8mn easily.
I see it doing
8 Days Out ¥2.15
7 Days Out ¥5.03 133.95%
6 Days Out ¥8.00 59.05%
5 Days Out ¥11.00 37.50%
4 Days Out ¥14.50 31.82%
3 Days Out ¥19.00 31.03%
2 Days Out ¥25.00 31.58%
1 Day Out ¥35.00 40.00%
Final ¥60.00 71.43%Slows down a little bit this morning compared to yesterday morning. But I guess it’s normal since it’s weekend and many people are still asleep?
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That total doesn’t make sense. I am sure Disney will just fudge the numbers if it hits 695m.
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https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-avengers-endgame-tracking-for-titanic-265m-record-opening/
Long Range: Avengers: Endgame Tracking for Titanic $265M Record Opening
4/26/2019 Avengers: Endgame $265,000,000 NEW $695,000,000 NEW
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9 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
Captain Marvel is ahead of all MCU solo films in presales. In fact, it will be outpacing Venom by a bit at end of day, therefore I am bringing Venom in comp.
TimeCaptain Marvel Venom Ant-Man and The Wasp Black Panther Spider-Man: Homecoming Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change 14 Days Out 13 Days Out 12 Days Out ¥2.46 11 Days Out ¥3.15 28.05% 10 Days Out ¥2.82 ¥3.65 15.87% ¥1.86 9 Days Out ¥2.99 ¥3.47 23.05% ¥4.22 15.62% ¥2.60 39.78% 8 Days Out ¥2.15 ¥4.48 49.83% ¥4.09 17.87% ¥4.93 16.82% ¥3.70 42.31% 7 Days Out ¥5.03 133.95% ¥6.38 42.41% ¥4.81 17.60% ¥5.77 17.04% ¥4.80 29.73% 6 Days Out ¥8.50 68.99% ¥8.46 32.60% ¥5.87 22.04% ¥6.82 18.20% ¥6.00 25.00% 5 Days Out ¥10.30 21.75% ¥7.08 20.61% ¥8.19 20.09% ¥7.50 25.00% 4 Days Out ¥13.10 27.18% ¥8.43 19.07% ¥10.19 24.42% ¥9.00 20.00% 3 Days Out ¥17.84 36.18% ¥11.25 33.45% ¥14.03 37.68% ¥10.50 16.67% 2 Days Out ¥24.75 38.73% ¥15.42 37.07% ¥19.20 36.85% ¥13.75 30.95% 1 Day Out ¥34.09 37.74% ¥23.68 53.57% ¥26.78 39.48% ¥20.00 45.45% Final ¥60.06 76.18% ¥46.55 96.58% ¥45.50 69.90% ¥36.00 80.00% Opening Day ¥223.38 ¥154.49 ¥131.77 ¥134.63 PSm 3.72 3.32 2.90 3.74 Nice call! What number do you have for Sat?
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1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
Isn't that weird? I mean the pre-sales are supposed to get heavier by passing time.
It might have something to do with more theaters and screens being built and added? It provides room for a higher PSm.
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11 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
How about a 9.
Let’s take the average. 8.75 then.
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18 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:
Glad to know that CM is not the next Solo or MPR, as some might have expected it to be.
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9 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:
This guy spent years posting this but without ever giving a context or even writing a single sentence, just stats...like a bot..
This is a cool and enigmatic guy.
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6 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:
This looks like interesting data, but some of the columns seem to be running into each other and I have no idea what the context is.
I think this is presales data in Hong Kong but I am not entirely sure.
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600m is the prediction for OS number. This is the OS thread
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1 hour ago, POTUS 2020 said:
Too early to tell. 300k PS with 13k shows.
It should get over 1m quickly. We should have an Idea by Friday nite.
Probably best to compare to WW.at some point
It will surpass WW easily IMO.
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CM presales starting now!
Any good comparisons?
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1 minute ago, Deep Wang said:
That's a great idea!
👀
I am getting the "updates are coming" vibe.
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The magic of Goose!
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4 minutes ago, Porthos said:
Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-13 Days and counting
Sellouts
Showings
Seats left
Total Seats
Perct Sold
TOTALS
2
85
6951
10864*
36.02%
*NOTE: One theater removed a couple of blacked out seats for two of its showings, resulting in a net increase of 4 seats available
Total Seats Sold Today: 133
1.3554x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 13 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Black Panther's 30 days]*
.5046x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 13 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Infinity War's 41 days]
1.5050x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 13 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to DP2's 29 days]
1.1840x as many tickets sold as Solo 13 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Solo's 20 days]
2.6350x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 13 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to JW2's 22 days]
2.3787x as many tickets sold as Fantastic Beasts 2 13 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days]
* See spoiler box for different comps with BP
Day T-13 Comp:
BP: 135 tickets sold [1 sellout/68 showings | 3928/6815 seats left | 42.36% sold]
IW: 94 tickets sold [3 sellouts/118 showings | 3541/11295 seats left | 68.65% sold]
DP2: 96 tickets sold [0 sellouts/104 showings | 10369/12969 seats left | 20.05% sold]
Solo: 86 tickets sold [0 sellouts/87 showings | 6043/9348 seats left | 35.36% sold]
JW2: 77 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings | 8628/10113 seats left | 14.8% sold]
FB2: 57 tickets sold [0 sellouts/94 showings | 11732/13377 seats left | 12.30% sold]
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Further BP Comps inside Spoiler Box:
Looks healthy!
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1 minute ago, Deep Wang said:
That's so crazy that MT.com did away with their top 5.
But if CM is already appearing on there, that's a good sign.
If it can stay on there(barring the busy weekend) until release, then that's fantastic.
Any Deep Wang updates?
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2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
Black Panther was tracking for $150mn at higher end as per Deadline report, as I collect. He better leaves the BO thing to those who have thing for BO.
I just checked the tracking numbers for both movies. As a matter of fact, BP and CM are strikingly close in their trackings across THR, DL, and Variety when they were both at three weeks before release.
DL: CM 100m. BP 120-150 (4 days)
Variety: CM 100m+ BP 100m+
THR: CM 100m+ BP 100m-120m
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7 minutes ago, Porthos said:
Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 Days and counting
Sellouts
Showings
Seats left
Total Seats
Perct Sold
TOTALS
2
83
7127
10705
33.42%
Total Seats Sold Today: 52
1.4580x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 16 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Black Panther's 30 days]*
.4813x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 16 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Infinity War's 41 days]
1.6312x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 16 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to DP2's 29 days]
1.1591x as many tickets sold as Solo 16 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Solo's 20 days]
2.8465x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 16 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to JW2's 22 days]
2.3885x as many tickets sold as Fantastic Beasts 2 16 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days]
* See spoiler box for different comps with BP
Day T-16 Comp:
BP: 202 tickets sold [1 sellout/66 showings | 4130/6584 seas left | 37.27% sold]
IW: 88 tickets sold [3 sellouts/117 showings | 3781/11215 seats left | 66.29% sold]
DP2: 126 tickets sold [0 sellouts/95 showings | 10072/12265 seats left | 17.88% sold]
Solo: 58 tickets sold [0 sellouts/87 showings | 6261/9348 seats left | 33.02% sold]
JW2: 106 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings | 8856/10113 seats left | 12.43% sold]
FB2: 58 tickets sold [0 sellouts/94 showings | 11879/13377 seats left | 11.20% sold]
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Further BP Comps inside Spoiler Box:
The CM/IW ration has been pretty consistent at around .48 for a week or two. That's a good sign!
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1) Avengers Endgame
2) Captain Marvel
3) Us
4) Godzilla
5) Spiderman far from home
6) Shazam
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3.88m till Saturday, per BOM.
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1 minute ago, Rorschach said:
Infinity War was everything I wanted it to be and it lived up to those expectations. Not shocked this made the list in the slightest.
I remembered quite a few listed it as their favorite film of the year in the thread. I thought it will at least make itself into Top 10 since more weight will be given to the Top 1 pick.
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3 minutes ago, Telemachos said:
It missed the top 25.
I have faith in humanity.
The avengers saved half of us from vanishing. Be greatful.
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
in China At The Box Office
Posted
Venom also slowed down on Saturday. I wonder if there is a pettern out there.