With ~156M IO2 scores 6th biggest 2nd week, as expected. Only behind AEG outside of xmas period
Updated est of mid 90s for 3rd week, guessing it will just short of Av2 for 4th, but top 3 definitely in play. Should definitely surpass Barbie for biggest 3rd week outside xmas
May do 4ths in a bit if I get some time to kill
Anyway bit weak Th for IO, hop it can come in more like 11.5 but probably looking at 55-60ish
Looking very bad reception for AQP which I think will cost the weekend, but still have it mid 50s so very much a competitive race
Realistically there are no good comps for twisters from a PS length+genre combo. I wouldn’t worry much about comps until we get a week or two closer (this is not to say they’ll necessarily make some huge improvement, just that that’s a defensible prior)
No he’s saying that in big cities it looks like a 10M opener and in west/midwest it looks like 30. If you take that at face value then because cities are the main BO driver it would suggest 13-17 or something (I would say more like 8&25 for 10-12ish
Yeah taking everything into account I would probably say Reloaded corresponds to >300M OW nowadays. Now does that guarantee DPW can do 2/3 of that? Not whatsoever. But I think people are a bit overly concerned with the R “ceiling” — the real r ceiling is like 350M or something, it’s not remotely in play here
Didn’t necessarily want to comment but I guess it’s unavoidable now. Very strong “IO2 80M” vibes for me with that 150 expectation.
And I would be very careful using Sacto as your primary market for this — I know we like to joke about black magic but it is still just one city at the end of the day that will occasionally have idiosyncratic behavior, and it’s under indexing there massively right now just as it has since D1. I would guess that Sacto will come into line with more national picture by D-1 or whenever but until then… we’ll it’s a gap worth minding is all
We have definitely discussed it and it's definitely possible, no reason to wait on either point. If they'd asked will it happen that would be a different story
For @charlie Jatinder, ranked 2nd and 3rd weeks. This is from movies with 500+ total DOM only to avoid having to comb too many small Dec movies, but if anyone wants to add any that would make the top 10 (cutoffs 148M/81M) feel free to respond and I’ll add them in.
2nd Weeks
3rd Weeks
* SMB is the only non Fri opener, weeks reflect D8-14 and D15-21 respectively. Please use same method for any suggested adds
The I1 to I2 admit bump would take it to ~745M so still not quite that crazy
Movie Adjusted ow -> adjusted DOM:
I1 126-> 467.5
I2 223 -> 743 (+77% -> +59%)
IO1 119-> 469
IO2 154 -> ? (+29.5% -> +?%)
I guess tbf CS was flat from I1 to I2 so flat from IO1 -> IO2 no issue — 745 or flop @charlie Jatinder 😤