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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. What if I told you that Elemental will make it 45-52 days 😎
  2. I already told you 20+ a while ago 😛
  3. 8+ for th would be a good sign definitely, still not a particularly impressive opening for the franchise though
  4. What is this even supposed to mean? Do you think box office hobbyists relentlessly mocking Flash’s epic flop had any kind of effect on its gross?
  5. I think the 7 is much more important than the pt1
  6. That is also up from last week for SOF. 20+ wknd a go
  7. I mean if it does like 8.8 wed or whatever then like 40M FSS into losing all PLF... 🤷‍♂️
  8. I haven’t done the math but presumably Ava weekend can’t catch Aeg even on admits and ends up #2?
  9. Very unlikely. Last weekend was 130, say holdovers to 75 and MI 65 is 140, then holdovers to 60+Oppenheimer 60+Barbie 150 is still a miss: 1 Apr 26, 2019 $401,994,732 Avengers: Endgame $357,115,007 2 Dec 18, 2015 $313,076,133 Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens $247,966,675 3 Apr 27, 2018 $312,340,779 Avengers: Infinity War $257,698,183 4 Dec 25, 2015 $296,418,979 Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens $149,202,860 5 Feb 16, 2018 $286,496,153 Black Panther $202,003,951 6 Dec 17, 2021 $281,591,442 Spider-Man: No Way Home $260,138,569 7 Dec 15, 2017 $277,940,566 Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Last Jedi $220,009,584 8 Jun 22, 2018 $277,076,918 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom $148,024,610 9 Jun 12, 2015 $273,849,469 Jurassic World $208,806,270 10 Jun 15, 2018 $270,884,807 Incredibles 2 $182,687,905
  10. The 7day MA on log should be pretty smooth
  11. No one WATERS DOWN my 100m admit prediction
  12. Updated https://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart
  13. Jesus, let’s crank that SOF 2nd weekend to like… 14-17? Over flash DOM ? 👀
  14. Looks like day 21 will be a nailbiter but I’m keeping hope alive
  15. A recent history of 2nd weekends for A+ faith community adjacent movies (true FSS drop to be more apples to apples): Jesus Revolution -32.5% American underdog excluded for Xmas sat opening Overcomer -23% (~ -32% adjusting for labor sun) Unplanned -33% I can Only Imagine -14% The Case for Christ -30% (can’t find any preview fig) Miracles from Heaven -35% (midweek open) Woodlawn -36% (can’t find previews) War Room -12% (~ -24% adjusting for Labor sun) Overall I would guess perhaps 13-15M for SOF
  16. FWIW: Movie Shows Change Gross PSA Indiana Jones 5 68,347 -31.15% $27,000,000 $395 Insidious 6 63,877 $33,000,000 $517 Joy Ride 46,097 $5,850,000 $127 Elemental 36,597 -14.92% $9,600,000 $262 Ruby Gillman 31,974 -28.67% $2,800,000 $88 Sound of Freedom 31,280 $19,000,000 $607 Spider-Verse 2 30,229 -20.12% $8,000,000 $265 No Hard Feelings 27,981 -25.94% $5,250,000 $188 Transformers 6 23,616 -21.56% $5,000,000 $212 The Little Mermaid 17,956 -27.01% $3,500,000 $195 The Flash 12,416 -56.39% $2,215,000 $178 Asteroid City 12,045 -51.42% $2,240,000 $186 Past Lives 5,026 -55.09% $1,000,000 $199 Guardians Vol. 3 4,723 -45.08% $1,000,000 $212 Showcounts sourced from @katnisscinnaplex, an incomplete but substantial coverage. Ruby will get pasted, Joy Ride may have some 2 wk contract protection but it’s gone on barbieheimer wknd, and then there is a lot of 200ish stuff which can give up screens to provide some protection for Elemental/SV2/Indy. SOF may expand? The Sunday from marks suggests a great 2nd weekend imo retaining 2nd place PSA after MI and maybe even 2nd place gross if things get funky.
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