MCU brand can be a hindrance or a help depending on Marvels. If it’s great we can have a “is McU returning to good movies?” narrative. If it’s bad then simply “Gotg was an exception.”
I would think this start should be good for 360-400k sat, 3.5M Sun cume off 1.25 wk.
Aladdin had a 1.425 4th wk (jun 10-16) added ~7.4M (5.2x). A 940k 8th wk (Jul 8-14) and added ~2.6M (2.75x). I would guess Elemental adds ~3.2-4x the wk for ~7.5-8.5. May be just 7M if hit hard by MI but should be room for 2 to share the market fine.